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    CFB Conference Odds (07/23/13)

    John Ewing, Director of Research and Analytics
    By John Ewing
    Can Alabama repeat in the SEC? How big of a favorite is Ohio State to win the Big 10? Will Oregon compete without Chip Kelly? A look at College Football Conference Championship odds. Lines courtesy of the Las Vegas Hotel Superbook.


     
    With fall fast approaching it is not surprising to see the NCAA and college football in the headlines. However, in the last few weeks it has had little to do with the play on the field. Recently the NCAA ended its relationship with EA Sports, current players joined an antitrust lawsuit and college football power conferences have considered breaking away from the NCAA.
     
    I do not care about any of that as long as it does not impact my ability to watch (wager on) games. With that being said we turn our attention to more important matters. The LVH SuperBook released its odds for seven college football conference championships. Below we look at the notable odds for each conference.
     
    ACC
    Championship Game, Saturday December 7, 2013. @ Charlotte, NC

    Florida State went 12-2 (7-1 ACC) last year and won their first conference championship game in seven years. The Seminoles lost ELEVEN players to the NFL draft. Nonetheless they are still favorites to repeat. There is stumbling block for FSU named Clemson (2/1). The Tigers get to host the Seminoles October 19th with the winner of this matchup most likely representing the Atlantic Division in the championship game.

    Team Odds
    Florida State 5/4
    Clemson 2/1
    Virginia Tech 6/1
    Miami FL 6/1
    North Carolina 10/1
    Georgia Tech 18/1
    Pittsburgh 40/1
    NC State 50/1
    Virginia 50/1
    Syracuse 60/1
    Duke 60/1
    Wake Forest 100/1
    Boston College 100/1
     
    Big 10
    Championship Game, Saturday December 7, 2013. @ Indianapolis, IN

    Ohio State (4/5) is the biggest favorite to win its conference championship game (Alabama and Oregon are both 10/11). The Buckeyes return 13 starters including Braxton Miller (6/1 to win Heisman). Ohio State gets both Wisconsin and Penn State at home while avoiding Michigan State and Nebraska. The Buckeyes look primed for a strong return to postseason play.

    Team Odds
    Ohio State 4/5
    Michigan 9/2
    Nebraska 9/2
    Michigan State 5/1
    Wisconsin 9/1
    Northwestern 12/1
    Iowa 40/1
    Indiana 50/1
    Minnesota 50/1
    Purdue 100/1
    Illinois 100/1
    Penn State N/A
     
    Conference USA
    Championship Game, Saturday December 7, 2013. @ Highest Seeded Team

    Tulsa (3/2) is the defending champion but the road back to the CUSA Title game will be difficult. The Hurricanes draw both East Carolina (3/1) and Marshall (3/1) from the East Division. Marshall (4-4 CUSA last season) could be one of the most improved teams in 2013 with a number of defensive transfers and a potent offense. East Carolina returns 18 starters making them a threat to win the conference crown.

    Team Odds
    Tulsa 3/2
    Marshall 3/1
    East Carolina 3/1
    Rice 10/1
    Southern Miss 12/1
    LA Tech 18/1
    North Texas 18/1
    Middle Tennessee State 18/1
    UTEP 40/1
    UAB 40/1
    Florida Atlantic 50/1
    Florida Intl.  50/1
    Tulane 50/1
    Texas San Antonio 75/1
     
    MAC
    Championship Game, Saturday December 6, 2013. @ Detroit, MI

    Northern Illinois is the favorite after winning each of the last two conference championships, which would have been three in a row but the Huskies were upset in 2010 by Miami OH. Northern Illinois has gone 23-1 in conference play since 2010.

    Team Odds
    Northern Illinois 3/2
    Bowling Green 11/4
    Ohio 5/1
    Toledo 6/1
    Ball State 7/1
    Buffalo 15/1
    Western Michigan 15/1
    Kent State 25/1
    Central Michigan 40/1
    Akron 50/1
    Miami OH 60/1
    Eastern Michigan 60/1
    U Mass 100/1
     
    Mountain West
    Championship Game, Saturday December 7, 2013. @ Highest Rated BCS Team

    To no one’s surprise Boise State (6/5) and Fresno State (8/5) are the heavy favorites to win the championship game. But the new look Mountain West could prove treacherous as five other teams played in bowl games last season.

    Team Odds
    Boise State 6/5
    Fresno State 8/5
    Utah State 7/1
    San Jose State 7/1
    San Diego State 10/1
    Nevada 20/1
    Air Force 30/1
    Wyoming 40/1
    Colorado State 50/1
    Hawaii 50/1
    New Mexico 100/1
    UNLV 100/1
     
    PAC 12
    Championship Game, Saturday December 6, 2013. @ Highest Seeded Team

    Despite the loss of Chip Kelly, Marcus Mariota, De’Anthony Thomas, along with 13 other returning starters, are challengers for the PAC 12 Title as well as the National Title. Stanford exceeded expectation last season winning the PAC 12 but this year they draw both USC and Arizona State (best from the South Division) making their trip back to the title game a little more difficult.

    Team Odds
    Oregon 10/11
    Stanford 5/2
    USC 9/2
    Arizona State 8/1
    Oregon State 20/1
    UCLA 20/1
    Washington 20/1
    Arizona 20/1
    Utah 40/1
    Washington State 100/1
    California 100/1
    Colorado 100/1
     
    SEC
    Championship Game, Saturday December 7, 2013. @ Atlanta, GA

    Just as the SEC has dominated college football, winning the last seven BCS National Titles, Alabama has dominated the SEC. The Tide have won two straight National Titles and three of the last four. Bama (10/11) avoids Georgia, South Carolina and Florida from the SEC East and gets a bye the week before playing Texas A&M. It would be surprising if Alabama did not return to the SEC Title game.

    Team Odds
    Alabama 10/11
    Georgia 4/1
    Texas A&M 6/1
    South Carolina 6/1
    Florida 8/1
    LSU 10/1
    Ole Miss 25/1
    Missouri 50/1
    Vanderbilt 60/1
    Auburn 60/1
    Tennessee 60/1
    Mississippi State 75/1
    Arkansas 100/1
    Kentucky  500/1

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