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    Post Draft Prop Bets (05/12/14)

    John Ewing, Director of Research and Analytics, @johnewing
    By John Ewing
    The NFL Draft is over and with players joining their new teams we look at a few prop bets. Plus updated odds to win 2015 Super Bowl XLIX. Odds courtesy of Bovada.lv.



    With the NFL Draft now in the books, we look at prop bets involving some of the biggest names and surprises in this year's draft class. Plus, updated Super Bowl XLIX odds.

    Will Michael Sam be on the Rams 53 man roster for Game 1 of the 2014 Season? Yes: 2/1

    Why Yes: Sam is a former SEC Defensive Player of the Year and will join one of the best defensive lines in the league. Sam can make the team as a situational pass rusher, which will highlight his strengths as a player.

    Why No: The Rams' defensive line is stacked and Sam was just the 11th best pass rusher in our rankings.

    Will Jadeveon Clowney win the 2014 Defensive Rookie of the Year? Yes: 2/1

    Why Yes: Clowney will be playing with J.J. Watt, the best defensive player in the league. How do you double-team both players?

    Why No: Only 31 rookies have managed double-digit sack seasons in the 32 years since the sack became an official stat. It'll be difficult for Clowney to meet the expectations (double digit sack total) that come with being selected No. 1 overall.

    Johnny Manziel – Total games started in the 2014 Regular Season: Over/Under 9.5.

    Why Yes: Manziel is a first round pick and the Browns have a stable of underperforming passers (Hoyer, Tanney, and Thigpen) on the roster. Plus, there will be a lot of pressure on the Browns to start Manziel, who already has the best-selling jersey on NFLShop.com.

    Why No:



    Khalil Mack – Total sacks in the 2014 Regular Season: Over/Under 8.

    Why Yes: Mack's sack total increased every year at Buffalo, meeting or exceeding the eight sack total in his junior and senior year.

    Why No: There were 39 players in the NFL last year that totaled eight or more sacks. Only one rookie, Ezekiel Ansah, was in that group.

    Who will start more games in the 2014 Regular Season – Teddy Bridgewater/Blake Bortles?

    Why Bridgewater: The Louisville product is the favorite at -150, the odds imply that Bridgewater has a 60 percent chance of playing more games than Bortles.

    Why Bortles: Even with Chad Henne on the roster, Bortles has a clear path to becoming the starter as teams do not often take a player with the third overall pick to warm the bench.

    Post-draft Super Bowl Odds

    Just like in our updated Power Rankings, the favorites to win the Super Bowl have remained unchanged while the teams in the NFL cellar are still long shots to win it all.

    Team Post Super Bowl Post Draft
    Seattle Seahawks 9/2 6/1
    Denver Broncos 8/1 7/1
    New England Patriots 14/1 15/2
    San Francisco 49ers 15/2 15/2
    Green Bay Packers 16/1 12/1
    Chicago Bears 25/1 20/1
    Indianapolis Colts 28/1 20/1
    New Orleans Saints 18/1 20/1
    Philadelphia Eagles 25/1 22/1
    Carolina Panthers 25/1 28/1
    Kansas City Chiefs 28/1 33/1
    Pittsburgh Steelers 33/1 33/1
    Arizona Cardinals 33/1 40/1
    Atlanta Falcons 25/1 40/1
    Baltimore Ravens 40/1 40/1
    Cincinnati Bengals 25/1 40/1
    Dallas Cowboys 33/1 40/1
    Houston Texans 40/1 40/1
    New York Giants 33/1 40/1
    San Diego Chargers 33/1 40/1
    Cleveland Browns 66/1 50/1
    Detroit Lions 33/1 50/1
    Miami Dolphins 50/1 50/1
    Minnesota Vikings 75/1 50/1
    St. Louis Rams 40/1 50/1
    Tampa Bay Buccaneers 50/1 50/1
    Washington Redskins 40/1 50/1
    New York Jets 50/1 66/1
    Buffalo Bills 75/1 75/1
    Tennessee Titans 50/1 75/1
    Jacksonville Jaguars 100/1 100/1
    Oakland Raiders 75/1 100/1

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