New User? Sign Up / Forgot Your Password?
All Live
Projections
    All Live Projections

    AAC Tourney (03/11/15)

    By John Ewing Director of Research and Analytics @johnewing
    Championship Week – which teams will win automatic bids to the NCAA tournament? We simulated each conference tournament to find out.



    Conference tournaments are the unofficial start of March Madness. In the last week before Selection Sunday, single-elimination tournaments will be played with automatic bids to the NCAA tournament at stake.

    We have simulated each conference tournament using our Bracket Simulator to predict which teams will punch their ticket to the Big Dance. The Bracket Simulator is a free tool that gives you the power to simulate the postseason for any sport. Create your own bracket now!

    PredictionMachine.com has been very profitable in conference tournaments. All-time on the site, "normal" or better conference tournament picks are 97-70 (58% ATS and O/U), through 2014. For access to conference tournament picks, click here.

    When: March 12-15

    Where: Hartford, CT

    The automatic bid goes to: SMU (34.1%)

    It has been an up and down year (player suspensions and academic improprieties) for SMU but the Mustangs won its first regular season conference title since it was part of the Southwest Conference twenty-two years ago. Larry Brown's team is also in line for its first NCAA Tournament appearance since 1993.

    And if they lose: Cincinnati (20.9%)

    The Bearcats finished the season with five straight wins and swept the regular season series with SMU all without Head Coach Mick Cronin on the sidelines. The AAC title might be enough to move Cincy out of an 8-seed or at least out of Kentucky's region, a reward in itself.

    Bid Thief:

    Temple: the Owls are likely in the NCAA Tournament with a marquee win over Kansas but an early exit in the AAC Tournament could change all of that. Temple needs at least one win and a good showing against SMU in the semifinals to secure an at-large bid.

    UConn: the defending champions finished tied for fifth in the league. The Huskies are a longshot to win the AAC Tournament and return to the Big Dance. Connecticut had worse odds last year to capture the NCAA title and that worked out for them.

    Odds to win the AAC Tournament (based on 50,000 simulations of the conference tournament)

    Seed Team Quarterfinals Semifinals Title Game Champ.
    1 SMU 100.0 80.8 52.7 34.1
    3 Cincinnati 100.0 60.6 40.6 20.9
    4 Temple 100.0 59.4 26.5 14.1
    2 Tulsa 100.0 69.4 30.7 12.7
    6 UCONN 79.6 35.5 20.3 8.7
    5 Memphis 100.0 40.6 15.4 6.7
    7 Tulane 52.4 16.9 4.9 1.0
    8 ECU 59.6 12.8 3.7 0.7
    10 Houston 47.6 13.8 2.7 0.7
    9 UCF 40.4 6.4 1.5 0.3
    11 S. Florida 20.4 3.8 1.0 0.1


    Print This Article
    PREVIOUS ARTICLE
    Cinderellas/Sleepers/Busts (03/16/15)
    NEXT ARTICLE
    SEC Tourney (03/10/15)
    Want More Tips and Information? Click To Register!

    COMMENTS

    SEARCH BLOGS

    ARCHIVE

    Ad

    The Predictalator

    05/10/2017 Highlight: With baseball season now into its second month, we can leverage our ResultsFinder tool to profile our season-to-date numbers. MLB sides and totals continue to remain extremely profitable despite a recent run of bad variance to start May. The Predictalator's record of 272-250 on sides and totals this season doesn't look all that impressive, but that's because the simulations have sided with underdogs more often than favorites. Through May 9, the Predictalator has generated $547 for an average $50 bettor. "Normal" or better sides, totals, and run lines (our strongest edges) are 14-10 (+$118) season-to-date.

    Check out the Shop now to learn more.

    Recommended Features

    LOGIN

    LATEST ARTICLES

    NHL Stanley Cup Preview
    We simulate the Stanley Cup Finals 50,000 times to provide each team's probability of hoisting the Cup, and break down the strengths and weaknesses of each team.

    MLB - The So What?
    We use 50,000 simulations of the rest of the MLB season to analyze major personnel changes, including the returns of Josh Donaldson and Troy Tulowitzki to the Blue Jays lineup.

    FIND US ONLINE


    SportsRadar


    All registered accounts are subject to our General Terms Of Service. Content is intended for informational purposes only. This is not a gambling website.

    FSTA Member 2015
    Home | The Predictalator | Blog | Privacy |  Media Contact |  B2B Solutions |  Sitemap |  Customer Support | 
    © 2010-2015 PredictionMachine.com, LLC. All rights reserved. | Site Designed by Randombell.com