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    3 Up 3 Down (College Week 2)

    John Ewing, Director of Research and Analytics, @johnewing
    By John Ewing
    A review of the week that was with a look at three college football teams that stood out for good reasons and three whose weekends did not turn out as successfully as anticipated.

    Three Up



    Oregon Ducks
    2014 Record: Straight-Up 2-0, Against-the-Spread 1-1

    Oregon trailed Michigan State 27-18 in the third quarter before the Ducks scored four unanswered touchdowns to win 46-27. Oregon's 46 points were the most the Spartans had allowed since losing 49-7 to Alabama in 2011.

    Marcus Mariota led the Ducks with 318 passing yards and three touchdowns. The Heisman hopeful now has 69 career touchdowns, an Oregon record.

    Sparty was never greater than 54 percent likely to win, even with a two score lead.

    Next Up: Wyoming

    Trends
    The total has gone over in 4 of Wyoming's last 6 games on the road.
    Oregon is just 2-5 against-the-spread in its last 7 games.

    Notre Dame
    2014 Record: Straight-Up 2-0, Against-the-Spread 2-0

    Michigan may lead the series 24-17-1 but Notre Dame got the last laugh. The Fighting Irish defeated the Wolverines 31-0 in the series finale. Michigan had not been shut out since 1984, an FBS record of 365 straight games.

    Everett Golson continues to excel in his return from academic suspension, throwing for 226 yards and three touchdowns. The Golden Domers were outgained by the Wolverines 289 to 280, but Notre Dame won the turnover battle forcing four Michigan errors.

    Notre Dame was favored for the entire game and spent the majority of the fourth quarter being 99 percent likely to win.

    Next Up: Purdue

    Trends
    The total has gone over in 5 of Purdue's last 6 games.
    Notre Dame has won the last five meetings against Purdue.

    Nebraska running back – Ameer Abdullah

    With one play Ameer Abdullah saved Nebraska's season and catapulted himself into the Heisman conversation.

    With less than a minute to play and tied with 34 point underdog McNeese State, Abdullah caught a pass, broke multiple tackles and sprinted for a 58-yard touchdown. The play is even more impressive set to music from Super Mario Bros.

    Abdullah was 33/1 to win the Heisman before the game. How much is a play like that worth to the voters?

    Three Down



    Ohio State Buckeyes
    2014 Record: Straight-Up 1-1, Against-the-Spread 1-1

    Entering the game, Ohio State had won 25 consecutive regular season games. The Buckeyes had also won 64 straight home games against unranked opponents. Those streaks are over after Virginia Tech sprung the upset knocking off Ohio State 35-21.

    Penalties and turnovers were the Buckeyes undoing. The largest play-to-play swing occurred following J.T. Barrett's first interception of the fourth quarter. VaTech became 87 percent likely to win.

    Next Up: Kent State

    Trends
    The total has gone under in 4 of Kent State's last 5 games.
    Ohio State is 1-4 against-the-spread in its last 5 games at home.

    Texas Longhorns
    2014 Record: Straight-Up 1-1, Against-the-Spread 1-1

    It's been a rough week for Texas. The Longhorns were without starting quarterback David Ash (concussion), Charlie Strong suspended two more players and BYU rolled through Texas 41-7.

    A year after amassing 550 rushing yards, a Texas record for yards allowed, the Cougars once again embarrassed the Big 12 power handing the Longhorns their worst home defeat since 1997.

    BYU was a small road underdog but spent 98 percent of the game being our projected favorite.

    Next Up: UCLA

    Trends
    The total has gone over in 4 of UCLA's last 6 games.
    Texas is 2-4 against-the-spread in its last 6 games.

    Big Ten Bad Day

    It was a no good, very bad day for the Big Ten. Purdue lost to Central Michigan, Northwestern lost to Northern Illinois, Iowa barely beat Ball State, Western Kentucky gave Illinois all they could handle and the conference powers all got rocked.

    Michigan State, Michigan and Ohio State all lost. The last time those three programs all lost on the same day, September 17, 1988.

    As a whole, the conference went 8-5 straight-up, not terrible, but for Big Ten gamblers, 2-11 against-the-spread will ruin your weekend.


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