New User? Sign Up / Forgot Your Password?
All Live
    All Live Projections

    3 Up 3 Down (College Week 6)

    By John Ewing Director of Research and Analytics @johnewing
    College Football Review – Week 6

    A review of the week that was with a look at three college football teams that stood out for good reasons and three whose weekends did not turn out as successfully as anticipated.

    Three Up

    Michigan Wolverines
    2015 Record: Straight-Up 5-1, Against-the-Spread 4-2

    Northwestern was yielding an FBS best seven points per game but gave that up in the first 13 seconds when Michigan's Jehu Chesson returned the opening kickoff 96 yards for a touchdown.

    The Wolverines became better than 90 percent likely to win after the kick return for a touchdown and never looked back. Jim Harbaugh's squad rolled Northwestern 38-0. Michigan has now won five straight games and pitched three straight shutouts (first FBS team in 20 years to accomplish that feat).

    Since a season-opening loss to Utah, the Wolverines have only allowed 14 points and have outscored its last three opponents 97-0. A showdown with rival Michigan State looms next week.

    Next Up: Michigan State

    Michigan is 1-6 straight-up in its last seven games against Michigan State.
    The total has gone under in five of the last six Michigan vs. Michigan State games.

    Texas Longhorns
    2015 Record: Straight-Up 2-4, Against-the-Spread 2-3-1

    The Longhorns entered the Red River Showdown as one of the biggest underdogs (17 points) in the storied history of the rivalry. Despite being left for dead, Texas stunned Oklahoma 24-17 Saturday. Texas totaled 313 rushing yards and six sacks in the victory.

    This was Texas' first win against a top ten team since 2010. For the effort, Charlie Strong not only gets to keep his job but he also gets to wear a gold cowboy hat.

    Texas is now 6-2 when unranked and facing a ranked Oklahoma squad. After a rough season, every Longhorns fan should enjoy this win.

    Next Up: Kansas State

    Texas is 3-6-1 against-the-spread in its last ten home games.
    Since 2011, Kansas State is 15-8 ATS on the road.

    TCU Horned Frogs
    2015 Record: Straight-Up 6-0, Against-the-Spread 2-4

    The Frogs trailed Kansas State 35-17 at the half (14 percent chance to win) but rallied to keep their playoff hopes alive. Heisman hopeful Trevone Boykin threw for 301 yards and two touchdowns adding 124 yards and two more scores on the ground.

    The biggest play of the game was a 55-yard touchdown pass from Boykin to Josh Doctson with 1:10 remaining that gave TCU the lead for good. The long touchdown pass increased the Frogs' expected win probability by 23 percent.

    Next Up: TCU

    TCU is 1-5 against-the-spread in its last six road games.
    Iowa State is 2-4 against-the-spread in its last six games when playing TCU.

    Three Down

    Georgia Bulldogs
    2015 Record: Straight-Up 4-2, Against-the-Spread 2-4

    Georgia blew a 21-point lead and a 98 percent win probability. The Bulldogs allowed 430 total yards and five touchdowns to Tennessee in the 38-31 defeat. Mark Richt's team had a chance to tie the game late but Reggie Davis dropped a potential 56-yard touchdown.

    To top it all off, the Bulldogs lost star running back Nick Chubb on the team's first offensive play. Note: the following gif is rough to watch.

    Next Up: Missouri

    Georgia is 4-1 straight-up in its last five home games.
    The total has gone under in each of Missouri's last five games.

    USC Trojans
    2015 Record: Straight-Up 3-2, Against-the-Spread 3-2

    The one-time favorites to win the Pac-12, USC was upset at home by Washington (17 point underdogs). The Trojans' high powered offense was held in check. Cody Kessler threw two interceptions and totaled just 156 passing yards.

    The loss, the second of the season for USC, to unranked Washington is considered unacceptable for a team that had national title hopes. So of course speculation has Chip Kelly, who is also having a rough season for the Eagles, coaching the Trojans next season.

    Kelly was widely considered one of the best coaches in college when he was at Oregon, if he decided to come back to the collegiate ranks USC would have stiff competition for his services.

    Next Up: Notre Dame

    USC is 5-1 straight-up in its last six games on the road against Notre Dame.
    The total has gone over in five of Notre Dame's last seven games at home.

    Oregon Ducks
    2015 Record: Straight-Up 3-3, Against-the-Spread 2-4

    Washington State upset Oregon 45-38 in double overtime. We could talk about the Ducks falling as 17 point favorites to a team it had beat eight straight times or how Oregon's program is in disarray but the real takeaway from this game is if you are going to talk smack, you have to back it up.

    Before the game, Oregon's mascot, Puddles, trolled Washington State mascot, Butch T. Cougar with a few Oregon Trail jokes. After upsetting the Ducks, Wazzu was the last ones laughing.

    Next Up: Washington

    The total has gone under in four of Oregon's last six games at Washington.
    The total has gone under in four of Washington's last five home games.

    Print This Article
    Conference Odds (10/13/15)
    College Football Playoff (10/07/15)
    Want More Tips and Information? Click To Register!





    The Predictalator

    Our models offer the most advanced sports forecasting software available today because they have the ability to account for all of the relevant statistical interactions of the players, coaches, officials, home field advantage and weather in each game.

    Picks for every game, including our Play Value Key and Calculator recommendations for optimal bankroll management and access to the Play Analyzer can be purchased in the Shop or by game here.

    07/27/2017 Highlight: Football season is slowly approaching and as we use our ResultsFinder tool to look back on previous seasons, we can see that ATS picks in the NFL regular season have topped 56% ATS four times in seven years, and have been profitable in all but one season on the site. NFL Playoff picks are also a stellar 50-25 (67% ATS) in our history.

    In college football, "normal" or better totals are 58% all-time and have been profitable in five of the previous seven years. Meanwhile, our strongest ATS pick each week in college football is 69-40 (63% ATS) all-time. With college football season win totals being posted this week, we can also note that last season, playable win total picks in went 28-19 (60% O/U) to turn a profit of $899 for a normal $50 player using our play value recommendations.

    MLB season is winding down but that hasn't stopped our models from generating insane profits. Our baseball engine is 130-109 picking baseball sides in the month of July, generating $822 in profits for an average $50 bettor. "Normal" or better sides (stronger plays) are a perfect 4-0 in July, producing $218 in profits on those plays alone.

    Check out the Shop now to learn more.

    Recommended Features



    NFL Preview - In-Depth Analysis
    In the most likely Super Bowl, the New England Patriots defeat the Seattle Seahawks. Check out in-depth analysis for every team in the league.

    College Win Total Picks (5 Books) - 2017 Preview
    Over/Under Season Win Total picks are now available for every college football team at five different books.



    All registered accounts are subject to our General Terms Of Service. Content is intended for informational purposes only. This is not a gambling website.

    FSTA Member 2015
    Home | The Predictalator | Blog | Privacy |  Media Contact |  B2B Solutions |  Sitemap |  Customer Support | 
    © 2010-2015, LLC. All rights reserved. | Site Designed by