New User? Sign Up / Forgot Your Password?
All Live
Projections
    All Live Projections

    NFL Picks - 11/19/2012

    Last Updated: 11/14/2012

    NFL Picks Pages:
    November 15: Predictalator Picks 
    November 18: Predictalator Picks  Paul's Analysis
    November 19: Predictalator Picks  Paul's Analysis
    Play Analyzer - View Updated Picks on Current Consensus Lines
    Customize the Predictalator - Play the Games with Any Lines
    Buy Picks

    Learn more about the Predictalator Picks, Customizable Predictalator and Play Analyzer with this Tutorial Video.

    For each Monday during the NFL season, Paul Bessire thoroughly breaks down the Monday night ATS play. See Predictalator Picks for this game.

    ATS Top Play of the Day: Chicago +5 vs. San Francisco (Covers 54.9%)

    With the uncertainty surrounding the starting quarterbacks for this game and no strong opinion against-the-spread in the only lines we have seen posted, this game will not count as a Paul's Pick this week. However, it does appear as though there may be some strong value in the UNDER and we want to make sure that you are prepared to evaluate this game correctly as news about the quarterbacks breaks and lines settle. 

    In our current projection, we have Jason Campbell starting for Chicago and Alex Smith starting for San Francisco. But, we can provide the projections for all four possible scenarios here:

    • If Jason Campbell starts against Alex Smith, San Francisco wins 59.1% of the time and by an average score of 19.1-15.9.
    • If Jay Cutler starts against Alex Smith, San Francisco wins 55.4% of the time and by an average score of 19.0-16.8.
    • If Jay Cutler starts against Colin Kaepernick, San Francisco wins 50.2% of the time and by an average score of 18.1-17.9
    • If Jason Campbell starts against Colin Kaepernick, San Francisco wins 53.9% of the time and by an average score of 18.3-16.7.

    The analysis on this is pretty simple. These are two elite defensive teams taking on offenses that are essentially NFL average overall, yet do have two of the best backup quarterbacks in the league. From a fantasy standpoint, the only major difference is that Colin Kaepernick is worth owning if he is to start at quarterback due to his rushing ability. No other quarterbacks in the matchup should be considered for this week. 

    NFL Picks Pages:
    November 15: Predictalator Picks 
    November 18: Predictalator Picks  Paul's Analysis
    November 19: Predictalator Picks  Paul's Analysis
    Play Analyzer - View Updated Picks on Current Consensus Lines
    Customize the Predictalator - Play the Games with Any Lines
    Buy Picks

    Print This Article
    NEXT ARTICLE
    College Football Picks - 12/22/2014
    Want More Tips and Information? Click To Register!

    ARCHIVE

    Ad

    The Predictalator

    The Predictalator is the most advanced sports forecasting software available today because it has the ability to account for all of the relevant statistical interactions of the players, coaches, officials, home field advantage and weather in each game.

    Picks for every game, including our Play Value Key and Calculator recommendations for optimal bankroll management and access to the Play Analyzer can be purchased in the Shop.

    12/22/2014 Highlight: Using the ResultsFinder for the Week of December 15th - 21st one could find that all playable against-the-spread NFL picks went 7-5 (58% ATS), highlighted by the Week 16 Lock of the Week, the Minnesota Vikings (+6.5 @ Miami), covering in a two point loss. All playable NFL ATS picks over the last ten weeks, have been .500 or better each week and are 72-43 (63% ATS) overall. This is almost identical to last season when all playable NFL ATS picks in the second half of the season finished 71-41 (63% ATS), culminating in a 9-1-1 (90% ATS) playoff record.

    Against-the-spread halftime plays continue to be a money-maker. All featured, "normal" or better against-the-spread plays in the NFL, NBA and college football were profitable last week in each sport and combined to go 22-14 (61% ATS).

    Halftime performance was part of a strong overall week for the NBA. Full game, published "normal" or better plays for pro basketball went 10-6 (63% ATS and O/U) last week.

    Recommended Features

    LOGIN

    LATEST ARTICLES

    NFL Picks - Week 16
    Monday Night Football - Denver Broncos @ Cincinnati Bengals.

    Bowl Picks - All Games
    For Bowl season in College Football, there are a total of 18 picks that cover the spread greater than 57% of the time to be considered "normal" or better, as well as EIGHT predicted outright upsets. See picks for the College Football Playoff.

    FIND US ONLINE


    Statistical Information Provided by: SportsData © 2012

    All registered accounts are subject to our General Terms Of Service. Content is intended for informational purposes only. This is not a gambling website.
    Home | The Predictalator | Features | Privacy |  Customer Support |  Media Contact |  Sitemap
    © 2010-2014 PredictionMachine.com, LLC. All rights reserved. | Site Designed by Randombell.com