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    ADP Update (08/24/15)

    By John Ewing Director of Research and Analytics @johnewing
    Average Draft Position – Which players are on the rise?



    We are two weeks into the preseason and at the height of fantasy drafts. Performance and injuries have caused players average draft positions to rise and fall.

    As you prepare for your fantasy draft, which players are no longer sleepers and what players are now undervalued?

    John Brown (ADP increased from 130th to 109th)

    Brown is one of our fantasy sleepers – a player not being drafted as a starter but should be. Other owners are wising up to Brown's value, but the Cardinals receiver is still going in the 12th round or later in most drafts.

    Devin Funchess (ADP increased from 239th to 152nd)

    The second-round pick has seen his fantasy stock rise following Kelvin Benjamin's ACL tear last week. Funchess is a big target; we project the rookie to catch 55.2 passes for 674.3 yards and 5.4 touchdowns. His current ADP is in line with our projections.

    Randall Cobb and Davante Adams

    Jordy Nelson is expected to miss the season with an ACL injury. It has been less than 24 hours since Nelson's injury but Cobb and Adams' average draft position are beginning to move. For the full analysis on the impact of Jordy Nelson's injury including updated fantasy projections – click here.

    Eddie Royal (ADP increased from 273rd to 162nd)

    Royal's bandwagon is starting to get full and even with a big jump in ADP there is still value to be had drafting Chicago's new receiver. Kevin White's injury makes Royal a top 50 receiver and even more valuable in point-per-reception leagues.

    Kevin White (ADP decreased from 80th to 148th)

    Speaking of White. The No. 7 overall pick in the 2015 draft will begin the season on the physically unable to perform list after undergoing surgery to repair a stress fracture in his left shin. White will miss a minimum of six games but likely the entire season, he should only be drafted in keeper leagues.

    Lance Dunbar (ADP decreased from 234th to 258th)

    The Cowboys third string running back is not on fantasy owner's radars and his average draft position continues to slide. That is a mistake. Darren McFadden is oft-injured and isn't a threat for serious touches. Joseph Randle is going to be the starter but there will be a nice role for Dunbar. We project the lightly used back to have nearly a 1,000 combined yards and 6.4 touchdowns.

    Robert Griffin III (ADP decreased from 181st to 214th)

    A week ago RG3 said he was the best quarterback in the league. A few days later Washington's quarterback left a preseason game with a concussion and a shoulder stringer. Griffin's 2013 rookie season seems like a long time ago and the former second overall pick remains undraftable in our projections.

    Average Draft Position Change

    Player Position Team ADP 8.10.15 ADP 8.24.15 Difference
    Devin Funchess WR CAR 239 152 87
    Eddie Royal WR CHI 237 162 75
    Malcom Floyd WR SD 226 196 30
    Jonas Gray RB NE 170 141 29
    Kenny Stills WR MIA 195 167 28
    Terrance West RB CLE 212 187 25
    Steve Johnson WR SD 214 191 23
    Danny Woodhead RB SD 169 147 22
    Kyle Rudolph TE MIN 180 158 22
    John Brown WR ARI 130 109 21
    David Cobb RB TEN 156 135 21
    Ameer Abdullah RB DET 89 71 18
    Austin Seferian-Jenkins TE TB 213 195 18
    Michael Crabtree WR OAK 173 157 16
    Mason Crosby K4 GB 146 130 16
    Sam Bradford QB PHI 143 128 15
    Alfred Blue RB HOU 113 98 15
    Phillip Dorsett WR IND 231 216 15
    Doug Martin RB TB 98 84 14
    Justin Tucker K5 BAL 158 144 14
    Pierre Garcon WR WAS 131 118 13
    Connor Barth K7 DEN 172 159 13
    Christopher Ivory RB NYJ 88 77 11
    Jarvis Landry WR MIA 74 63 11
    Tyler Eifert TE CIN 186 175 11
    Denver Broncos DS DEN 161 150 11
    Allen Robinson WR JAC 95 85 10
    Davante Adams WR GB 135 125 10
    Terrance Williams WR DAL 148 138 10
    Larry Fitzgerald WR ARI 105 96 9
    Lorenzo Taliaferro RB BAL 207 198 9
    Steve Smith WR BAL 99 91 8
    Philip Rivers QB SD 103 95 8
    Charles Johnson WR MIN 107 99 8
    Kendall Wright WR TEN 147 139 8
    Darren Sproles RB PHI 140 132 8
    Steven Hauschka K2 SEA 144 136 8
    Dan Bailey K6 DAL 142 134 8
    Julian Edelman WR NE 50 43 7
    Martavis Bryant WR PIT 72 65 7
    Eric Decker WR NYJ 115 108 7
    Anquan Boldin WR SF 120 113 7
    Victor Cruz WR NYG 96 89 7
    St. Louis Rams DS STL 101 94 7
    Lamar Miller RB MIA 36 30 6
    Amari Cooper WR OAK 52 46 6
    Ben Roethlisberger QB PIT 48 42 6
    Jeremy Maclin WR KC 67 61 6
    Doug Baldwin WR SEA 184 178 6
    Eric Ebron TE DET 194 188 6
    Nick Novak K1 SD 245 239 6
    Brandin Cooks WR NO 40 35 5
    Andre Ellington RB ARI 49 44 5
    Brandon Marshall WR NYJ 63 58 5
    Golden Tate WR DET 57 52 5
    Drew Brees QB NO 42 37 5
    Vincent Jackson WR TB 75 70 5
    Martellus Bennett TE CHI 65 60 5
    Mike Wallace WR MIN 85 80 5
    Nelson Agholor WR PHI 91 86 5
    Torrey Smith WR SF 102 97 5
    Delanie Walker TE TEN 127 122 5
    Dwayne Bowe WR CLE 238 233 5
    Matt Bryant K9 ATL 187 182 5
    Andrew Luck QB IND 13 9 4
    Greg Olsen TE CAR 51 47 4
    Travis Kelce TE KC 54 50 4
    Tony Romo QB DAL 61 57 4
    Jordan Cameron TE MIA 94 90 4
    Marques Colston WR NO 118 114 4
    Carson Palmer QB ARI 149 145 4
    Jerick McKinnon RB MIN 233 229 4
    Arizona Cardinals DS ARI 114 110 4
    Detroit Lions DS DET 227 223 4
    Frank Gore RB IND 34 31 3
    Jordan Matthews WR PHI 41 38 3
    Latavius Murray RB OAK 43 40 3
    Andre Johnson WR IND 44 41 3
    Matt Ryan QB ATL 59 56 3
    Rashad Jennings RB NYG 69 66 3
    Eli Manning QB NYG 86 83 3
    Jason Witten TE DAL 81 78 3
    Shane Vereen RB NYG 106 103 3
    Roy Helu RB OAK 215 212 3
    Cordarrelle Patterson WR MIN 203 200 3
    Adam Vinatieri K3 IND 109 106 3
    Rob Gronkowski TE NE 15 13 2
    DeMarco Murray RB PHI 16 14 2
    T.Y. Hilton WR IND 24 22 2
    Mark Ingram RB NO 30 28 2
    Jimmy Graham TE SEA 27 25 2
    Peyton Manning QB DEN 29 27 2
    Sammy Watkins WR BUF 53 51 2
    Tom Brady QB NE 71 69 2
    Heath Miller TE PIT 176 174 2
    Cody Latimer WR DEN 162 160 2
    Ladarius Green TE SD 230 228 2
    Cody Parkey K8 PHI 174 172 2
    Le'Veon Bell RB PIT 4 3 1
    Jamaal Charles RB KC 3 2 1
    Demaryius Thomas WR DEN 12 11 1
    Julio Jones WR ATL 18 17 1
    Jeremy Hill RB CIN 17 16 1
    Calvin Johnson WR DET 19 18 1
    A.J. Green WR CIN 21 20 1
    Randall Cobb WR GB 22 21 1
    Justin Forsett RB BAL 25 24 1
    Aaron Rodgers QB GB 11 10 1
    DeAndre Hopkins WR HOU 37 36 1
    Joseph Randle RB DAL 55 54 1
    Keenan Allen WR SD 56 55 1
    T.J. Yeldon RB JAC 60 59 1
    Giovani Bernard RB CIN 73 72 1
    Matthew Stafford QB DET 76 75 1
    Teddy Bridgewater QB MIN 117 116 1
    James Starks RB GB 235 234 1
    Miami Dolphins DS MIA 152 151 1
    Adrian Peterson RB MIN 1 1 0
    Marshawn Lynch RB SEA 5 5 0
    Antonio Brown WR PIT 6 6 0
    Dez Bryant WR DAL 8 8 0
    Matt Forte RB CHI 7 7 0
    Alshon Jeffery WR CHI 23 23 0
    Mike Evans WR TB 26 26 0
    Roddy White WR ATL 82 82 0
    Isaiah Crowell RB CLE 87 87 0
    Devonta Freeman RB ATL 112 112 0
    Ryan Mathews RB PHI 104 104 0
    Tre Mason RB STL 100 100 0
    Bishop Sankey RB TEN 123 123 0
    Seattle Seahawks DS SEA 62 62 0
    Knile Davis RB KC 154 154 0
    Markus Wheaton WR PIT 185 185 0
    Kenny Britt WR STL 274 274 0
    Blake Bortles QB JAC 218 218 0
    Brandon Coleman WR NO 227 227 0
    Allen Hurns WR JAC 322 322 0
    Nick Foles QB STL 180 180 0
    Cameron Artis-Payne RB CAR 219 219 0
    Odell Beckham Jr. WR NYG 14 15 -1
    Alfred Morris RB WAS 31 32 -1
    Emmanuel Sanders WR DEN 28 29 -1
    Melvin Gordon RB SD 33 34 -1
    Carlos Hyde RB SF 38 39 -1
    Russell Wilson QB SEA 32 33 -1
    Brian Quick WR STL 192 193 -1
    Jay Cutler QB CHI 145 146 -1
    Devante Parker WR MIA 155 156 -1
    Larry Donnell TE NYG 220 221 -1
    Buffalo Bills DS BUF 78 79 -1
    New York Jets DS NYJ 139 140 -1
    Eddie Lacy RB GB 2 4 -2
    LeGarrette Blount RB NE 66 68 -2
    Reggie Bush RB SF 122 124 -2
    Vernon Davis TE SF 159 161 -2
    Houston Texans DS HOU 79 81 -2
    C.J. Anderson RB DEN 9 12 -3
    Jonathan Stewart RB CAR 45 48 -3
    DeSean Jackson WR WAS 46 49 -3
    Julius Thomas TE JAC 70 73 -3
    Colin Kaepernick QB SF 124 127 -3
    Dwayne Allen TE IND 108 111 -3
    Andre Williams RB NYG 150 153 -3
    Alex Smith QB KC 160 163 -3
    Theo Riddick RB DET 240 243 -3
    Stephen Gostkowski K1 NE 90 93 -3
    DeAngelo Williams RB PIT 125 129 -4
    Andrew Hawkins WR CLE 252 256 -4
    Carolina Panthers DS CAR 166 170 -4
    Joe Flacco QB BAL 121 126 -5
    Owen Daniels TE DEN 110 115 -5
    Andy Dalton QB CIN 164 169 -5
    Antonio Gates TE SD 116 121 -5
    Todd Gurley RB STL 47 53 -6
    C.J. Spiller RB NO 68 74 -6
    Dorial Green-Beckham WR TEN 177 184 -7
    Ryan Tannehill QB MIA 84 92 -8
    Brandon LaFell WR NE 93 101 -8
    Zach Ertz TE PHI 97 105 -8
    Breshad Perriman WR BAL 111 119 -8
    Josh Hill TE NO 163 171 -8
    Charles Clay TE BUF 168 176 -8
    LeSean McCoy RB BUF 10 19 -9
    Joique Bell RB DET 58 67 -9
    Percy Harvin WR BUF 133 142 -9
    Tevin Coleman RB ATL 77 88 -11
    Charles Sims RB TB 126 137 -11
    Coby Fleener TE IND 132 143 -11
    Jay Ajayi RB MIA 179 190 -11
    Cam Newton QB CAR 64 76 -12
    Duke Johnson RB CLE 137 149 -12
    Denard Robinson RB JAC 182 194 -12
    Jaelen Strong WR HOU 193 205 -12
    David Johnson RB ARI 151 164 -13
    Derek Carr QB OAK 167 181 -14
    Donte Moncrief WR IND 190 204 -14
    Michael Floyd WR ARI 92 107 -15
    Marcus Mariota QB TEN 153 168 -15
    Greg Jennings WR MIA 250 265 -15
    Chris Polk RB HOU 225 241 -16
    Matt Jones RB WAS 222 238 -16
    Marvin Jones WR CIN 189 207 -18
    Daniel Herron RB IND 228 246 -18
    Rueben Randle WR NYG 221 240 -19
    Darren McFadden RB DAL 83 102 -19
    Montee Ball RB DEN 136 155 -19
    Stevan Ridley RB NYJ 178 199 -21
    Javorius Allen RB BAL 243 266 -23
    Lance Dunbar RB DAL 234 258 -24
    Arian Foster RB HOU 39 64 -25
    Jordy Nelson WR GB 20 45 -25
    Jameis Winston QB TB 134 166 -32
    James White RB NE 232 264 -32
    Robert Griffin III QB WAS 181 214 -33
    Fred Jackson RB BUF 138 179 -41
    Jordan Reed TE WAS 205 250 -45
    Kevin White WR CHI 80 148 -68


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