New User? Sign Up / Forgot Your Password?
All Live
Projections
    All Live Projections

    NFL Trends Week 8 (10/22/14)

    By John Ewing Director of Research and Analytics @johnewing
    NFL Week 8 betting trends utilizing the Trend Machine.



    There is incredible power in understanding history. Though not predictive in nature, understanding how teams, players, leagues and markets have reacted to various scenarios for over 35 years and more than 9,000 games - as is the case with the information available in the Trend Machine for the NFL - is a tremendous supplement to any analysis of an upcoming matchup.

    Each week we will provide trends for the upcoming NFL games, some will be team specific, others situational – how often a team covers against-the-spread after covering three games in a row.

    Interested in additional trends? Check out the Trend Machine!

    Week 8 – Situational Trends

    Since 2004, teams that played the previous Thursday night game and are home favorites the following week are: 30-18 (63% ATS).

    • Games Matching this Criteria: Patriots (-6) vs. Bears and Jets (-3) vs. Bills.

    All-time, teams that have covered against-the-spread five straight games and are road favorites are: 24-19 (56% ATS).

    • Games Matching this Criteria: Colts (-3) @ Steelers.

    Since 2004, teams that lost by 21 or more points and are dogs the next week are: 175-140-9 (56% ATS).

    • Games Matching this Criteria: Falcons (+3.5) vs. Lions and Panthers (+5) vs. Seahawks.

    NFL Trends – Week 8
    Note: In our data "All-time" goes back to 1978 or when the team joined the league.

    Team Spread Trend
    AZ -2.5 vs. PHI Since 2004, the Cardinals as home favorites of 3 or fewer points are 11-5-2 (69% ATS).
    ATL +3.5 vs. DET Since 2008, the Matt Ryan era, the Falcons as road/neutral site dogs are 14-18 (44% ATS).
    BAL +1.5 @ CIN Since 2008, the Joe Flacco era, the Ravens as road dogs of 3 or fewer points are 11-6-3 (65% ATS).
    BUF +3 @ NYJ All-time, teams that are dogs against opponents that have lost six games in a row are 22-13-1 (63% ATS).
    CAR +5 vs. SEA Since 2011, the Cam Newton era, the Panthers as home dogs are 4-7 (36% ATS).
    CHI +6 @ NE Since 2009, the Jay Cutler era, the Bears as dogs of 3 or more points are 14-21 (40% ATS).
    CIN -1.5 vs. BAL All-time, against Baltimore at home, the Bengals are 11-7 (61% ATS).
    CLE -7 vs. OAK All-time, the Browns as favorites of 7 or more points are 17-25 (41% ATS).
    DAL -9.5 vs. WAS Since 2006, the Tony Romo era, the Cowboys as favorites of 9 or more points are 9-13 (41% ATS).
    DEN -7.5 vs. SD In the Peyton Manning era, the Broncos as favorites of 7 or more points are 15-7-2 (68% ATS).
    DET -3.5 @ ATL In all London games, the designated away team has been favored in 8 of 9 games and is 5-4 (56% ATS).
    GB +1.5 @ NO Since 2008, the Aaron Rodgers era, following a blowout (a win by 21 or more points) the Packers are 7-12 (37% ATS).
    HOU -1.5 @ TEN All-time, the Texans as road favorites are 9-13-2 (41% ATS).
    IND -3 @ PIT Andrew Luck as a road favorite is 6-1-1 (86% ATS).
    JAX +5.5 vs. MIA Since 2011, the Jaguars following a win are 2-8 (20% ATS).
    KC -7 vs. STL Since 2004, the Chiefs as home favorites of 3 or more points are 12-22-1 (35% ATS).
    MIA -5.5 @ JAX In the Ryan Tannehill era, the Dolphins are 1-4 (20% ATS) as a road favorite. Miami has never been this big of a road favorite with Tannehill.
    MIN +3 @ TB In the Vikings last 10 trips to Tampa Bay dating back to 1994, Minnesota is 2-8 (20% ATS).
    NE -6 vs. CHI Since 2001, the Tom Brady era, the Patriots following a Thursday night game are 5-2 (71% ATS).
    NO -1.5 vs. GB Since 2006, the Drew Brees era, the Saints as home favorites are 36-25-2 (59% ATS).
    NYJ -3 vs. BUF All-time, teams on a six game losing streak and are favorites are 13-22-1 (37% ATS).
    OAK +7 @ CLE All-time, teams that start the season 0-6 and go on the road are 1-22 (4%) straight-up.
    PHI +2.5 @ AZ All-time, teams that started the season 5-1 and are on the road are 25-39-1 (39% ATS).
    PIT +3 vs. IND Since 2004, the Ben Roethlisberger era, the Steelers following a Monday Night Game are 4-8-1 (33% ATS).
    SD +7.5 @ DEN Since 2006, the Philip Rivers era, the Chargers as road dogs of 7 or more points are 7-1-1 (88% ATS).
    SEA -5 @ CAR Since 2012, the Russell Wilson era, the Seahawks on the road are 12-7-2 (63% ATS).
    STL +7 @ KC Since 1995, when the Rams moved to St. Louis, the team is 0-5 straight-up and 0-5 ATS vs. the Chiefs.
    TB -3 vs. MIN All-time, the Buccaneers as home favorites of 3 or more points are 53-65-5 (45% ATS).
    TEN +1.5 vs. HOU All-time, the Titans as home dogs are 54-41-3 (57% ATS).
    WAS +9.5 @ DAL Since 2006, the Tony Romo era, the Redskins are 12-4 (75% ATS) when playing the Cowboys.

    Print This Article
    NEXT ARTICLE
    Intro to Bankroll Management (9/7/10)
    Want More Tips and Information? Click To Register!

    COMMENTS

    SEARCH BLOGS

    ARCHIVE

    Ad

    The Predictalator

    The Predictalator is the most advanced sports forecasting software available today because it has the ability to account for all of the relevant statistical interactions of the players, coaches, officials, home field advantage and weather in each game.

    Picks for every game, including our Play Value Key and Calculator recommendations for optimal bankroll management and access to the Play Analyzer can be purchased in the Shop.

    10/20/2014 Highlight: Using the ResultsFinder for the Week of October 13 - 19, one could find that all playable NFL against-the-spread picks went 9-2 (82% ATS). This includes the Week 7 NFL Lock of the Week, Arizona (-3.5) at Oakland that covered in a 24-13 win. The College Football Lock of the Week, Michigan State (-14) at Indiana, also covered the spread. Football Locks of the Week are 5-1 (83% ATS) in the last three weeks and are 102-58 (64% ATS) since the site launched in 2010.

    With the first pitch of the World Series Tuesday night, don't miss out on any of the action as all normal or better MLB Playoff picks have gone 4-2 (67% ML, O/U and RL) this postseason and all playable picks have generated a +$559 profit for a normal $50 player using play value recommendations. All-time, in the MLB postseason, all "normal" or better baseball plays are now 29-11 (73% ML, O/U and RL).

    And with the season starting in less than a week, highlighted, "normal" or better Over/Under Season Win Total Picks in the NBA are 24-13 (65% O/U) all-time. Meanwhile, for the 2013-14 NBA season, "normal" or better full game and halftime picks generated a $4,311 profit for a normal $50 player using play value recommendations, including hitting 59% on normal over/under plays.

    Recommended Features

    LOGIN

    LATEST ARTICLES

    NFL Picks - Week 8
    For Week 8 in the NFL, there are a total of 11 games with a playable against-the-spread pick, including three predicted outright upsets. See the Green Bay Packers @ New Orleans Saints and more.

    College Picks - Week 9
    For Week 9 in the College Football, there are a total of ten plays that cover the spread greater than 57% of the time to be considered "normal" or better, including three picks that cover more than 60% of the time and two predicted outright upsets. See West Virginia @ Oklahoma State and more.

    FIND US ONLINE


    Statistical Information Provided by: SportsData © 2012

    All registered accounts are subject to our General Terms Of Service. Content is intended for informational purposes only. This is not a gambling website.
    Home | The Predictalator | Features | Privacy |  Customer Support |  Media Contact |  Sitemap
    © 2010-2014 PredictionMachine.com, LLC. All rights reserved. | Site Designed by Randombell.com