New User? Sign Up / Forgot Your Password?
All Live
    All Live Projections

    Kentucky 40-0? (02/16/15)

    By John Ewing Director of Research and Analytics @johnewing
    Can Kentucky go 40-0?

    The Wildcats are 25-0, which ties the best start in school history (1953-54). The regular season is coming to an end and March Madness is just around the corner. What's the chance that Kentucky goes undefeated?

    Using the Predictalator, we simulated the remainder of the regular season, the SEC Tournament and the NCAA Tournament 50,000 times to see if 40-0 is a possibility.

    The Regular Season

    Kentucky has six regular season games left. The first three come against teams ranked 79th or worst in our Power Rankings. The final three are against stiffer competition, vs. Arkansas, at Georgia, and vs. Florida, teams that rank 30th, 29th and 33rd respectively.

    Regardless of the opposition, Kentucky, the only team in college basketball to rank in the top ten in both offensive and defensive efficiency, easily dispatches its SEC contemporaries. The Cats are greater than 80% likely to win each of its regular season games.

    John Calipari's team is 55% likely to finish the regular season undefeated.

    Game Kentucky Win%
    @ Tennessee 88.5%
    vs. Auburn 97.3%
    @ Mississippi State 92.4%
    vs. Arkansas 93.3%
    @ Georgia 80.5%
    vs. Florida 92.3%

    The SEC Tournament

    Kentucky will earn the number one seed in the conference tournament guaranteeing a double-bye into the quarterfinals. The Wildcats will need to win three games to capture its first SEC Championship since 2011.

    Based on current conference standings and our simulations, Kentucky is most likely to face Florida, Ole Miss and Arkansas. The Cats are projected to win each matchup by double-digits.

    Kentucky is 68% likely to win the SEC Tournament. The chance the Wildcats are undefeated heading into the NCAA Tournament is 37%.

    Game Kentucky Win%
    Florida in Quarterfinals 88.7%
    Ole Miss in Semifinals 84.3%
    Arkansas in Championship 86.1%

    The NCAA Tournament

    There have been eighteen teams that entered the NCAA Tournament undefeated (Wichita State did it last year), seven won it all. The last team to accomplish that feat was Indiana in 1976.

    Using Joe Lunardi's Bracketology, we simulated what the NCAA Tournament could look like 50,000 times. Kentucky is a big favorite to win it all. The Wildcats are 83% likely to reach the Sweet 16, 54% likely to make the Final Four and 28% likely to win it all.

    With a 55% chance to finish the regular season undefeated, a 68% chance to win the SEC Tournament and a 28% chance to win the NCAA Tournament, Kentucky has a 10% chance to finish the season a perfect 40-0.

    Print This Article
    WCC Tourney (03/05/15)
    Life Without Kentucky (02/11/15)
    Want More Tips and Information? Click To Register!





    The Predictalator

    The Predictalator is the most advanced sports forecasting software available today because it has the ability to account for all of the relevant statistical interactions of the players, coaches, officials, home field advantage and weather in each game.

    Picks for every game, including our Play Value Key and Calculator recommendations for optimal bankroll management and access to the Play Analyzer can be purchased in the Shop or by game here.

    07/17/2017 Highlight: As the MLB season enters its second half, we can leverage our ResultsFinder tool to take a look at our performance. Our model's picks have been downright spectacular in July, with our baseball engine generating $680 in profits for an average $50 bettor on combined sides and totals. "Normal" or better sides (stronger plays) are a perfect 4-0 in July, producing $218 in profits on those plays alone.

    Football season is slowly approaching and as we look back at our previous seasons, we can see that ATS picks in the NFL regular season have topped 56% ATS four times in seven years, and have been profitable in all but one season on the site. NFL Playoff picks are also a stellar 50-25 (67% ATS) in our history.

    In college football, "normal" or better totals are 58% all-time and have been profitable in five of the previous seven years. Meanwhile, our strongest ATS pick each week in college football is 69-40 (63% ATS) all-time. With college football season win totals being posted this week, we can also note that last season, playable win total picks in went 28-19 (60% O/U) to turn a profit of +$899 for a normal $50 player using our play value recommendations.

    Check out the Shop now to learn more.

    Recommended Features



    College Win Total Picks (5 Books) - 2017 Preview
    Over/Under Season Win Total picks are now available for every college football team at five different books.

    MLB - The So What?
    We use 50,000 simulations of the rest of the MLB season to analyze the impacts of various roster changes, including injuries to Carlos Correa and Michael Pineda.



    All registered accounts are subject to our General Terms Of Service. Content is intended for informational purposes only. This is not a gambling website.

    FSTA Member 2015
    Home | The Predictalator | Blog | Privacy |  Media Contact |  B2B Solutions |  Sitemap |  Customer Support | 
    © 2010-2015, LLC. All rights reserved. | Site Designed by