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    3 Up 3 Down (College Week 14)

    John Ewing, Director of Research and Analytics, @johnewing
    By John Ewing
    A review of the week that was with a look at three college football teams that stood out for good reasons and three whose weekends did not turn out as successfully as anticipated. 



    Three Up
     
    Auburn Tigers
    2013 Record: Straight-Up 11-1, Against-the-Spread 10-2
     
    Auburn somehow topped the “The Immaculate Deflection.” Chris Davis returned a missed field goal attempt 109 yards for a touchdown on the final play of the Iron Bowl to keep Auburn’s BCS Title hopes alive.
     
    The Tigers were in position to win on the last play of the game because of a strong rushing performance. Auburn amassed 296 yards on the ground, the most that Alabama had allowed since 2011.
     
    Next Up: SEC Championship Game
     
    Trends
    The total has gone under in 4 of Missouri’s last 5 games
    The total has gone over in 6 of Auburn’s last 7 games
     
    Ohio State Buckeyes
    2013 Record: Straight-Up 12-0, Against-the-Spread 6-5-1
     
    Ohio State stifled a two-point conversion attempt by Michigan to keep its perfect season alive. The Buckeyes were only 50.9% likely to win when Michigan lined up to go for two instead of kicking the extra point to force overtime.
     
    With Alabama’s loss, the Buckeyes now need to win the Big 10 Championship to guarantee a trip to Pasadena and an appearance in the BCS Title game.
     
    Next Up: Big 10 Championship Game
     
    Trends
    The total has gone under in 4 of Ohio State’s last 5 games when playing Michigan State
    The total has gone under in 5 of Michigan State’s last 6 games
     
    Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles
    2013 Record: Straight-Up 1-11, Against-the-Spread 3-9
     
    The Golden Eagles had not won a game since December 24, 2011 when they defeated Nevada in the Sheraton Hawaii Bowl. Southern Miss snapped the nation’s longest losing streak at 23 games with a 62-27 victory.
     
    The Golden Eagles avoid suffering back-to-back winless seasons, that feat had only been accomplished by one other team in the last 30 years.
     
    Three Down
     
    SEC Championship Run
    The SEC has won the last seven national titles. With Auburn’s upset win over Alabama that streak may come to an end this season. Alabama had been the bookmakers’ pick to win as an even money favorite last week. Now, according to Bovada.lv, Florida State is the most likely BCS Title winner with 1/3 odds. The SEC’s best chance now resides with Auburn and Missouri with 5/1 and 12/1 odds respectively.
     
    Fresno State Bulldogs
    2013 Record: Straight-Up 10-1, Against-the-Spread 3-7-1
    Derek Carr threw for 519 yards and six touchdowns but it was not enough as San Jose State upset Fresno State and ruined the Bulldogs perfect season. The loss eliminates Fresno State from the BCS buster conversation.
     
    The two teams combined to score 114 points; this was the second-highest scoring game in the FBS this season just behind Baylor/West Virginia, which totaled 115 points.
     
    Next Up: Mountain West Championship Game
     
    Trends
    Utah State is 0-5 in its last 5 games when playing Fresno State
    The total has gone under in 4 of Fresno State’s last 6 games
     
    Clemson Tigers
    2013 Record: Straight-Up 10-2, Against-the-Spread 6-6
     
    Clemson has eclipsed double-digit wins in three straight seasons. Prior to this run the Tigers had not won ten games since 1990. Yet, Clemson lost once more to South Carolina. The Gamecocks now own a five game winning streak over the Tigers including the 31-17 win last weekend aided by six Clemson turnovers.
     
    Making matters worse is that the Tigers are 2-3 against ACC powerhouse Florida State during that same five-year span. In the last two seasons Clemson is 0-4 against Florida State and South Carolina but 21-0 against all other schools.
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