New User? Sign Up / Forgot Your Password?
All Live
    All Live Projections

    Bessire: Rookie Classes + UDFA

    by Paul Bessire,
    Last Updated: 8/31/2015 2:15 PM ET
    Earlier this week, I utilized the NFL Draft Machine to rank draft classes by Overall Value, 2015 Wins Added and net gain in Power Rankings. That did not tell the whole story of the ways in which teams are improving and building with rookies this time of year.

    For instance, at that time, I noted that Houston, Indianapolis and Baltimore did not add any player through the draft who graded high enough to consider a projected starter for 2015. However, then Indianapolis signed undreafted free agent CB Donald Celiscar and Houston signed UDFAs Safety Kurtis Drummond and DE (also played TE in college) Lyden Trail to change those opinions. Now, only Baltimore failed to sign or draft a rookie worth starting (but that has more to do with our very strong positive grades for current players Marlon Brown, Brandon Williams and Crockett Gilmore than the drafted class).

    Below, we have updated our Rookie Class Rankings (read more about this analysis here) to include all drafted players, UDFAs and rookie camp invites (as Brian Carriveau noted, we think James Castleman has a chance to stick to Green Bay's roster). Some teams like Dallas with the signing of La'el Collins and Antwan Goodley and the New York Jets with Taiwan Jones, Wes Saxton and others improve significantly by this expanded analysis. There is also a change at the top. While neither team has a likely future starter among its UDFA signings, Cleveland did just enough with its non-drafted rookie pool to jump over New Orleans as the best draft

    Ranking Team New Rank Prev Rank Wins Added
    1 Cleveland Browns 27 28 1.37
    2 New Orleans Saints 21 22 0.69
    3 Oakland Raiders 28 30 1.66
    4 Jacksonville Jaguars 31 31 0.68
    5 St. Louis Rams 16 17 0.65
    6 Indianapolis Colts 4 4 0.18
    7 Cincinnati Bengals 14 20 0.95
    8 Washington Redskins 22 21 0.62
    9 New York Jets 17 26 1.19
    10 Minnesota Vikings 20 24 0.85
    11 Kansas City Chiefs 26 19 0.18
    12 Pittsburgh Steelers 7 7 0.18
    13 Tennessee Titans 30 29 0.78
    14 Atlanta Falcons 13 15 0.56
    15 Dallas Cowboys 9 10 0.27
    16 Miami Dolphins 5 5 0.24
    17 San Diego Chargers 24 25 0.59
    18 Houston Texans 25 23 0.36
    19 Denver Broncos 2 3 0.59
    20 Green Bay Packers 3 2 0.10
    21 Buffalo Bills 19 14 0.09
    22 Carolina Panthers 8 11 0.29
    23 Baltimore Ravens 11 9 N/A
    24 San Francisco 49ers 18 16 0.28
    25 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 32 32 0.57
    26 Chicago Bears 29 27 0.20
    27 New England Patriots 6 6 0.10
    28 Philadelphia Eagles 12 12 0.25
    29 Detroit Lions 15 13 0.24
    30 Seattle Seahawks 1 1 0.05
    31 Arizona Cardinals 23 18 0.12
    32 New York Giants 10 8 0.14

    Print This Article
    Matt Richner Bio: NFL Draft Expert
    Richner: 2015 Draft Review
    Want More Tips and Information? Click To Register!


    The Predictalator

    The Predictalator is the most advanced sports forecasting software available today because it has the ability to account for all of the relevant statistical interactions of the players, coaches, officials, home field advantage and weather in each game.

    Picks for every game, including our Play Value Key and Calculator recommendations for optimal bankroll management and access to the Play Analyzer and Halftime Picks can be purchased in the Shop or by game here.

    Check out what is New for 2015 Football Season, including the free Trend Machine, the launch of Live Soccer and our brand new, state-of-the-art Daily Fantasy Tools and Analysis (powered by the geniuses at Perduco Sports).

    8/31/2015 Highlight: Using the ResultsFinder for the week of August 24th-30th, one could find that all "playable" or better MLB over/under picks went 26-16 (62% O/U). For the month of August, all playable over/under picks have gone 105-82 (56% O/U), generating a profit of +$633 for a normal player using confidence percentages and our play value recommendations. The baseball season is in the final stretch as the football season is set to kickoff.

    This technology has consistently generated great returns in college football. College Football Locks of the Week on the site are 53-24 (69% ATS) over five seasons, which includes going 24-8 (75% ATS) in the last two seasons. Featured, "normal" Over/Under plays (greater than 57% confidence in the pick) have gone 348-255 (58% O/U) all-time.

    Check out the Shop or Individual Picks pages now to learn more.



    Fantasy Cheat Sheets - 2015 NFL Preview
    View full season and week-by-week projections and positional cheat sheets for over 350 fantasy football players.

    Win Total Picks - College Preview
    Over/Under Season Win Total picks are now available for all 128 FBS teams.


    Statistical Information Provided by: SportsData © 2012

    All registered accounts are subject to our General Terms Of Service. Content is intended for informational purposes only. This is not a gambling website.

    FSTA Member 2015
    Home | The Predictalator | Blog | Privacy |  Media Contact |  B2B Solutions |  Sitemap |  Customer Support | 
    © 2010-2015, LLC. All rights reserved. | Site Designed by