New User? Sign Up / Forgot Your Password?
All Live
Projections
    All Live Projections

    Switching Manning for Luck (01/07/15)

    By John Ewing Director of Research and Analytics @johnewing
    Broncos vs. Colts – what would happen if Peyton Manning and Andrew Luck switched teams?



    Sunday, the Broncos and Colts will meet in the AFC Divisional Playoffs. Denver has never beat Indy in the postseason. The Colts defeated the Broncos in the 2003 and 2004 AFC Wild Card games. Of course that was with Peyton Manning at quarterback.

    With Manning, we project Denver to beat Indianapolis this weekend. After 50,000 simulations, the Broncos win 70 percent of the time by an average score of 31-23.

    Peyton Manning and Andrew Luck will forever be linked due to their origin in Indianapolis. As such, let's have some fun and see what would happen if these quarterbacks switched teams.

    Switching quarterbacks, the Broncos (with Luck) would be victorious 59 percent of the time against the Colts (with Manning). The average projected score would be 28-24.

    The Broncos, even when switching Luck for Manning, are still the better overall team. Denver ranks No. 2 in our Power Rankings, Indianapolis No. 6. While Manning may have been a disappointment to fantasy owners down the stretch this season with the Broncos enjoying success running the ball, Peyton is still the superior quarterback to Luck as we expect the Colts (with Manning) to keep the contest in Mile High within a touchdown.

    What would happen if Peyton Manning were the quarterback for both the Broncos and Colts?

    In an all-Manning bowl, the Broncos (with Manning) would triumph over the Colts (also with Manning) 64% of the time. The average projected score after 50,000 simulations would be Denver 31, Colts 25.

    Denver and Indianapolis are fortunate to have Manning and Luck, two of the best quarterbacks in the league. Manning is arguably the best quarterback of all-time and almost every team would improve with his addition and regardless of what quarterback plays for Denver this weekend (Manning or Luck), the Broncos are a better overall team than the Colts.

    Switching Quarterbacks – projected scores

    Denver Indianapolis Winning Team Projected Score
    With Manning With Luck Denver, 70% of the time 31-23
    With Luck With Manning Denver, 59% of the time 28-24
    With Manning With Manning Denver, 64% of the time 31-25

    Print This Article
    PREVIOUS ARTICLE
    NFL Trends Divisional (01/07/15)
    NEXT ARTICLE
    GameChangers Wild Card (01/04/15)
    Want More Tips and Information? Click To Register!

    COMMENTS

    SEARCH BLOGS

    ARCHIVE

    Ad

    The Predictalator

    05/10/2017 Highlight: With baseball season now into its second month, we can leverage our ResultsFinder tool to profile our season-to-date numbers. MLB sides and totals continue to remain extremely profitable despite a recent run of bad variance to start May. The Predictalator's record of 272-250 on sides and totals this season doesn't look all that impressive, but that's because the simulations have sided with underdogs more often than favorites. Through May 9, the Predictalator has generated $547 for an average $50 bettor. "Normal" or better sides, totals, and run lines (our strongest edges) are 14-10 (+$118) season-to-date.

    The NBA Playoffs continue on in the Second Round and the Predictalator has been profitable on both sides and totals in this year's postseason. Despite being just 16-19 (45.7%) ATS in the NBA Postseason, the Predictalator has generated $46 of total profit, which is a testament to our play value recommendations. Totals have been the real moneymaker in this postseason though, as all playabale totals are 19-15 (55.9%) for a solid profit of $168.

    The NHL Playoffs have featured some very tight lines posted by oddsmakers, which has led to lower volume for the Predictalator. That hasn't let to less profits though. The Predictalator has posted 10 NHL positions (ML, O/U, or PL) in May, going 8-2 (80%) on those positions for a profit of $87. It is rare to find a big edge in the NHL this late in the year, but the Predictalator continues to chip away on small edges to provide solid returns.

    Check out the Shop now to learn more.

    Recommended Features

    LOGIN

    LATEST ARTICLES

    MLB Risers & Fallers - Power Rankings
    Mark Dankenbring discusses the biggest risers and fallers in our MLB Power Rankings over the course of the past week.

    MLB Futures Picks - Who to bet for the World Series
    Each Monday during the 2017 season, we will review free MLB Futures value picks.

    FIND US ONLINE


    SportsRadar


    All registered accounts are subject to our General Terms Of Service. Content is intended for informational purposes only. This is not a gambling website.

    FSTA Member 2015
    Home | The Predictalator | Blog | Privacy |  Media Contact |  B2B Solutions |  Sitemap |  Customer Support | 
    © 2010-2015 PredictionMachine.com, LLC. All rights reserved. | Site Designed by Randombell.com