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    Freeman on Vikes (10/07/13)

    John Ewing, Director of Research and Analytics, @johnewing
    By John Ewing
    There may have been a quarterback controversy in Minnesota before Josh Freeman arrived but now that he is there who should start? We simulated the rest of the season to find out.

    Josh Freeman signed a one-year deal worth approximately $3 million to become the newest member of the Minnesota Vikings quarterback club. Freeman joins Christian Ponder and Matt Cassel on the depth chart. A team source told ESPN Senior NFL Analyst Chris Mortensen that Minnesota will still list Ponder as their starter, but should they?
    We simulated the rest of the Vikings’ season with all three quarterbacks to find out which player gives Minnesota the best chance of winning.
    Christian Ponder
    Ponder has started three games this season for the Viking before missing Week 4 with a rib injury. Ponder has completed 59% of his passes this season for 691 yards and a 2/5 touchdown to interception ratio.
    Projected rest of season stats:
    Passing Yards Touchdowns Interceptions
    2,674.4 11.4 13.0

    With Ponder starting for the rest of the season, the Viking would finish with 5.2 wins and 10.8 losses.
    Matt Cassel
    Filling in for an injured Ponder, Cassel completed 64% of his passes for 248 yards and two touchdowns in a Week 4 win over the Steelers.
    Projected rest of season stats:
    Passing Yards Touchdowns Interceptions
    2,734.9 13.7 12.4
    With Cassel starting for the rest of the season, the Viking would finish with 5.3 wins and 10.7 losses.
    Josh Freeman
    Freeman is having his worst statistical season since his rookie year in 2009. Freeman has only completed 45.7% of his passes and has thrown more interceptions than touchdowns.
    Projected rest of season stats:
    Passing Yards Touchdowns Interceptions
    2,870.2 15.3 13.2
    With Freeman starting for the rest of the season, the Viking would finish with 5.6 wins and 10.4 losses.
    Despite spending $3 million, the addition of Freeman is worth just 0.3 wins over the remainder of the season for the Vikings. None of the options Minnesota has at quarterback will lead them to the playoffs this season. With Freeman or any of these quarterbacks, the Vikings have just a 2.5% chance of making the playoffs. 
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