New User? Sign Up / Forgot Your Password?
All Live
    All Live Projections

    Three Up Three Down (7/1/13)

    John Ewing, Director of Research and Analytics
    By John Ewing

    A sports rating system analyzes the results of sports competitions to provide objective ratings for each team. Rankings are then derived by sorting the team’s rating and assigning an ordinal rank. A lazy analyst will add the word Power to the beginning of their ranking for added significance. An even lazier analyst will skip the whole ranking ordeal and cherry pick a few teams to talk about - which leads us to June’s Three Up, Three Down column.


    Three Up

    Pittsburgh Pirates

    June: 17 Wins, 9 Losses, .654 Win Percentage, Leading NL Central by 4 games

    Season: .630 Win Percentage, 51 wins – 30 losses

    The Pittsburgh Pirates have the best record in baseball. Read that again, the Buccos, the franchise with the most consecutive losing seasons in North American professional sports history, are leading the Majors in wins. The Pirates just need to go .383 the rest of the way to end the streak. When Pittsburgh’s losing streak began in 1992 Justin Bieber was not born. simulated the remainder of the season 50,000 times and the Pirates finish 2nd in the NL Central with a projected Win-Loss record of 93-69, good for the first Wild Card in the NL.

    Toronto Blue Jays

    June: 17 Wins, 9 Losses, .654 Win Percentage, Leading AL East by 1 game

    Season: .494 Win Percentage, 40 wins – 41 losses

    The Blue Jays won 11 games in a row in June tying a team record and climbing back into the Wild Card race. A big reason for Toronto’s success was their bullpen. In the last 30 days, the pen has given up just 1.4 runs per nine innings compared to the season average of 3.5 runs. The Jays’ World Series odds improved from 40/1 to 12/1 after the 11 game winning streak. simulated the remainder of the season 50,000 times and the Blue Jays finish with a winning record, 82-80, but that is only good for 4th in a tight AL East.

    Miami Marlins

    June: 15 Wins, 10 Losses, .600 Win Percentage, Leading NL East by 0.5 game

    Season: .363 Win Percentage, 29 wins – 51 losses

    This is Miami’s first winning month since they went 21-8 in May 2012 (technically the Marlins went 2-1 last October but that does not count). After a 14-41 start, the month of June has been a nice reprieve for the Fish. The Marlins have allowed three runs or fewer in 12 of their last 13 games. Still, Miami has the worst record in baseball but like a Kindergarten graduation, it is important to celebrate mediocrity. simulated the remainder of the season 50,000 times and the Marlins finish last in the NL East with a projected Win-Loss record of 63-99. Miami finishes 29 games behind 1st place Atlanta.

    Three Down

    Chicago White Sox

    June: 8 Wins, 19 Losses, .296 Win Percentage, 8 games out of first in AL Central

    Season: .405 Win Percentage, 32 wins – 47 losses

    The White Sox are 10.5 games out of 1st in the AL Central and 13 games out of the Wild Card. If you are a fan of the South Siders then the trade deadline might bring the most excitement all season. Rumor has it that the Sox are actively shopping Alex Rios, Jake Peavy, Jesse Crain, and Alexei Ramirez. With a barren farm system Chicago needs to flip veterans to acquire prospects. simulated the remainder of the season 50,000 times and the White Sox finish 18 games out of first in the AL Central with a projected Win-Loss record of 72-90.

    San Francisco Giants

    June: 10 Wins, 17 Losses, .370 Win Percentage, 4.5 games out of first in the NL West

    Season: .481 Win Percentage, 39 wins – 42 losses

    The Giants are 2-8 in their last 10 games, including a season long 6 game losing streak. Part of the problem is San Francisco’s offense which is second to last in runs scored in June. The other problem, pitching. Tim Lincecum is mediocre at best, Barry Zito is wildly inconsistent and Ryan Vogelsong is on the DL. The only bright spot is Matt Cain who has rebounded after a less than stellar start. simulated the remainder of the season 50,000 times and the Giants finish third in the NL West, just two games back of the Rockies, with a projected Win-Loss record of 80-82.

    Tampa Bay Rays

    June: 13 Wins, 15 Losses, .464 Win Percentage, 5 games out of first in AL East

    Season: .524 Win Percentage, 43 wins – 39 losses

    Wil Myers, Baseball Prospectus’s no. 7 prospect (Tampa Bay’s no. 1), was called up this month. Myers, 66% owned in fantasy leagues, is raking in his first 13 games, .296/.309/.481 with three homers and nine RBI. The concern with Myers is a 14/1 K/BB ratio. Myer’s early career production has been for naught as the Rays find themselves near the bottom of the AL East in June.

    The Rays over was one of our normal win total picks. We are currently projecting our normal+ 2013 win total picks to go 7-4 (64% O/U). Our picks on Tampa Bay (over 86.5) and Arizona (under 81.5) are currently projected to lose by just tenths of a win on each bet. By the end of the season our record on normal picks could easily improve to 9-2. simulated the remainder of the season 50,000 times and the Rays finish third in the AL East, 5 games behind division leading Boston with a projected Win-Loss record of 86-76.

    Print This Article
    2013 Home Run Derby (07/10/13)
    Streaking Jays (06/24/13)
    Want More Tips and Information? Click To Register!





    The Predictalator

    05/10/2017 Highlight: With baseball season now into its second month, we can leverage our ResultsFinder tool to profile our season-to-date numbers. MLB sides and totals continue to remain extremely profitable despite a recent run of bad variance to start May. The Predictalator's record of 272-250 on sides and totals this season doesn't look all that impressive, but that's because the simulations have sided with underdogs more often than favorites. Through May 9, the Predictalator has generated $547 for an average $50 bettor. "Normal" or better sides, totals, and run lines (our strongest edges) are 14-10 (+$118) season-to-date.

    The NBA Playoffs continue on in the Second Round and the Predictalator has been profitable on both sides and totals in this year's postseason. Despite being just 16-19 (45.7%) ATS in the NBA Postseason, the Predictalator has generated $46 of total profit, which is a testament to our play value recommendations. Totals have been the real moneymaker in this postseason though, as all playabale totals are 19-15 (55.9%) for a solid profit of $168.

    The NHL Playoffs have featured some very tight lines posted by oddsmakers, which has led to lower volume for the Predictalator. That hasn't let to less profits though. The Predictalator has posted 10 NHL positions (ML, O/U, or PL) in May, going 8-2 (80%) on those positions for a profit of $87. It is rare to find a big edge in the NHL this late in the year, but the Predictalator continues to chip away on small edges to provide solid returns.

    Check out the Shop now to learn more.

    Recommended Features



    MLB - The So What?
    We use 50,000 simulations of the rest of the MLB season to analyze major personnel changes, including the returns of Josh Donaldson and Troy Tulowitzki to the Blue Jays lineup.

    MLB Futures Picks - Who to bet for the World Series
    Each Monday during the 2017 season, we will review free MLB Futures value picks.



    All registered accounts are subject to our General Terms Of Service. Content is intended for informational purposes only. This is not a gambling website.

    FSTA Member 2015
    Home | The Predictalator | Blog | Privacy |  Media Contact |  B2B Solutions |  Sitemap |  Customer Support | 
    © 2010-2015, LLC. All rights reserved. | Site Designed by