For our complete MLB 2012 Preview, please see our Power Rankings, Over/Under Win Total Picks, Standings Projections and Playoff Probabilities and Division-by-division Breakdowns. Picks packages for every MLB game on the money-line, over/under and run-line are now available in the shop. Last season, all "normal" or better ML and O/U plays went 100-62 (62%) in baseball for a +1,475 return using play value recommendations for a normal 50 player. All playable money-line plays were 54% and +1291. All playable O/U plays hit 56% and all playable run-line plays hit 58%.
The Predictalator has played every 2012 MLB game 50,000 times before it's actually played. Based on that analysis, we present projected standings as well as the highest and lowest win totals for each team in the 50,000 seasons that were played. We also assess the likelihood that any team makes the playoffs (as a division or wild card winner) and then what teams do when they get there.
Please note that all percentages are rounded to the whole percent. A team listed as having a 0% chance of something still can do it. To round to 1%, a team must achieve the goal 251 times in the 50,000 seasons played.
Projected Standings (based on 2012 MLB season played 50,000 times)
NL East
| Philadelphia Phillies | 92.3 | 69.7 |
| Atlanta Braves | 85.7 | 76.3 |
| Washington Nationals | 82.8 | 79.2 |
| Miami Marlins | 82.8 | 79.2 |
| New York Mets | 79.8 | 82.2 |
NL Central
| Milwaukee Brewers | 89.8 | 72.2 |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 83.4 | 78.6 |
| Cincinnati Reds | 83.0 | 79.0 |
| Chicago Cubs | 73.4 | 88.6 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 72.4 | 89.6 |
| Houston Astros | 65.1 | 96.9 |
NL West
| San Francisco Giants | 85.1 | 76.9 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 80.2 | 81.8 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 80.1 | 81.9 |
| San Diego Padres | 78.8 | 83.2 |
| Colorado Rockies | 77.8 | 84.2 |
AL East
| Boston Red Sox | 90.2 | 71.8 |
| New York Yankees | 88.8 | 73.2 |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 85.6 | 76.4 |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 81.9 | 80.1 |
| Baltimore Orioles | 68.1 | 93.9 |
AL Central
| Detroit Tigers | 86.5 | 75.5 |
| Chicago White Sox | 80.3 | 81.7 |
| Cleveland Indians | 78.9 | 83.1 |
| Kansas City Royals | 73.5 | 88.5 |
| Minnesota Twins | 70.7 | 91.3 |
AL West
| Texas Rangers | 94.8 | 67.2 |
| Los Angeles Angels | 88.1 | 73.9 |
| Oakland Athletics | 78.9 | 83.1 |
| Seattle Mariners | 73.0 | 89.0 |
Playoff Probabilities (based on 2012 MLB season played 50,000 times)
| Philadelphia Phillies | 60% | 19% | 30% | 16% |
| Texas Rangers | 59% | 23% | 26% | 16% |
| Boston Red Sox | 40% | 34% | 19% | 11% |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 45% | 15% | 17% | 9% |
| New York Yankees | 36% | 32% | 16% | 8% |
| Los Angeles Angels | 38% | 31% | 16% | 8% |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 25% | 21% | 9% | 5% |
| San Francisco Giants | 35% | 14% | 10% | 5% |
| Atlanta Braves | 15% | 27% | 8% | 4% |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 22% | 28% | 8% | 4% |
| Detroit Tigers | 57% | 13% | 10% | 4% |
| Cincinnati Reds | 25% | 20% | 7% | 2% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 22% | 16% | 4% | 2% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 22% | 16% | 4% | 2% |
| Washington Nationals | 11% | 17% | 4% | 1% |
| Miami Marlins | 10% | 17% | 3% | 1% |
| New York Mets | 4% | 9% | 1% | 1% |
| Chicago White Sox | 20% | 8% | 2% | 1% |
| Chicago Cubs | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Houston Astros | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| San Diego Padres | 11% | 4% | 1% | 0% |
| Colorado Rockies | 10% | 3% | 1% | 0% |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 2% | 13% | 1% | 0% |
| Baltimore Orioles | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Cleveland Indians | 18% | 7% | 1% | 0% |
| Kansas City Royals | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Minnesota Twins | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Oakland Athletics | 2% | 9% | 0% | 0% |
| Seattle Mariners | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
For our complete MLB 2012 Preview, please see our Power Rankings, Over/Under Win Total Picks, Division-by-division Breakdowns. Picks packages for every MLB game on the money-line, over/under and run-line are now available in the shop. Last season, all "normal" or better ML and O/U plays went 100-62 (62%) in baseball for a +1,475 return using play value recommendations for a normal 50 player. All playable money-line plays were 54% and +1291. All playable O/U plays hit 56% and all playable run-line plays hit 58%.