For our complete MLB 2013 Preview, please see our Power Rankings, Over/Under Win Total Picks, Standings Projections and Playoff Probabilities and Division-by-Division Breakdowns. Picks packages for every MLB game on the money-line, over/under and run-line are now available in the shop. Last season, all "normal" or better O/U plays went 124-90 (58% O/U) in baseball. Even more notably, normal+ plays for the 2012 MLB Team Season Win Totals (now sold separately) went 9-1 (90% O/U).
The Predictalator has played every 2013 MLB game 50,000 times before it's actually played. Based on that analysis, we present projected standings for each team from the 50,000 seasons that were played. We also assess the likelihood that any team makes the playoffs (as a division or wild card winner) and then what teams do when they get there.
Please note that all percentages are rounded to the whole percent. A team listed as having a 0% chance of something still can do it. To round to 1%, a team must achieve the goal 251 times in the 50,000 seasons played.
Projected Standings (based on 2013 MLB season played 50,000 times)
NL East
|
Washington Nationals |
92.5 |
69.5 |
|
Atlanta Braves |
86.6 |
75.4 |
|
Philadelphia Phillies |
81.0 |
81.0 |
|
New York Mets |
76.8 |
85.2 |
|
Miami Marlins |
65.3 |
96.7 |
NL Central
|
Cincinnati Reds |
91.1 |
70.9 |
|
St. Louis Cardinals |
85.1 |
76.9 |
|
Milwaukee Brewers |
77.6 |
84.4 |
|
Chicago Cubs |
75.8 |
86.2 |
|
Pittsburgh Pirates |
74.8 |
87.2 |
NL West
|
Los Angeles Dodgers |
90.6 |
71.4 |
|
San Francisco Giants |
85.1 |
76.9 |
|
Colorado Rockies |
77.5 |
84.5 |
|
Arizona Diamondbacks |
76.8 |
85.2 |
|
San Diego Padres |
72.7 |
89.3 |
AL East
|
Tampa Bay Rays |
89.5 |
72.5 |
|
Toronto Blue Jays |
87.5 |
74.5 |
|
New York Yankees |
84.7 |
77.3 |
|
Boston Red Sox |
80.5 |
81.5 |
|
Baltimore Orioles |
79.2 |
82.8 |
AL Central
|
Detroit Tigers |
89.7 |
72.3 |
|
Chicago White Sox |
85.0 |
77.0 |
|
Cleveland Indians |
76.8 |
85.2 |
|
Kansas City Royals |
75.0 |
87.0 |
|
Minnesota Twins |
70.9 |
91.1 |
AL West
|
Los Angeles Angels |
93.3 |
68.7 |
|
Texas Rangers |
86.8 |
75.2 |
|
Oakland Athletics |
85.3 |
76.7 |
|
Seattle Mariners |
74.0 |
88.0 |
|
Houston Astros |
62.5 |
99.5 |
Playoff Probabilities (based on 2013 MLB season played 50,000 times)
|
Los Angeles Angels |
49% |
30% |
22% |
12% |
|
Detroit Tigers |
64% |
16% |
20% |
10% |
|
Washington Nationals |
53% |
23% |
21% |
10% |
|
Cincinnati Reds |
61% |
14% |
18% |
9% |
|
Los Angeles Dodgers |
45% |
27% |
17% |
8% |
|
Tampa Bay Rays |
36% |
24% |
14% |
7% |
|
San Francisco Giants |
36% |
20% |
12% |
7% |
|
Toronto Blue Jays |
28% |
20% |
11% |
6% |
|
Atlanta Braves |
25% |
31% |
10% |
5% |
|
St. Louis Cardinals |
25% |
25% |
10% |
5% |
|
Texas Rangers |
25% |
18% |
9% |
5% |
|
New York Yankees |
20% |
20% |
8% |
4% |
|
Philadelphia Phillies |
15% |
14% |
4% |
2% |
|
Chicago White Sox |
22% |
17% |
4% |
2% |
|
Oakland Athletics |
22% |
19% |
4% |
2% |
|
Milwaukee Brewers |
6% |
10% |
3% |
1% |
|
Boston Red Sox |
9% |
13% |
3% |
1% |
|
Baltimore Orioles |
7% |
11% |
2% |
1% |
|
Cleveland Indians |
7% |
5% |
1% |
1% |
|
Chicago Cubs |
4% |
6% |
1% |
0% |
|
New York Mets |
7% |
7% |
1% |
0% |
|
Colorado Rockies |
8% |
8% |
1% |
0% |
|
Arizona Diamondbacks |
8% |
7% |
1% |
0% |
|
Kansas City Royals |
6% |
4% |
1% |
0% |
|
Seattle Mariners |
4% |
2% |
0% |
0% |
|
San Diego Padres |
3% |
2% |
0% |
0% |
|
Minnesota Twins |
1% |
1% |
0% |
0% |
|
Pittsburgh Pirates |
4% |
5% |
0% |
0% |
|
Miami Marlins |
0% |
1% |
0% |
0% |
|
Houston Astros |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
For our complete MLB 2013 Preview, please see our Power Rankings, Over/Under Win Total Picks, Standings Projections and Playoff Probabilities and Division-by-Division Breakdowns. Picks packages for every MLB game on the money-line, over/under and run-line are now available in the shop. Last season, all "normal" or better O/U plays went 124-90 (58% O/U) in baseball. Even more notably, normal+ plays for the 2012 MLB Team Season Win Totals (now sold separately) went 9-1 (90% O/U).