2013 MLB Preview

Last Updated: 3/7/2013 12:00 AM ET

For our complete MLB 2013 Preview, please see our Power RankingsOver/Under Win Total PicksStandings Projections and Playoff Probabilities and Division-by-Division Breakdowns. Picks packages for every MLB game on the money-line, over/under and run-line are now available in the shop. Last season, all "normal" or better O/U plays went 124-90 (58% O/U) in baseball. Even more notably, normal+ plays for the 2012 MLB Team Season Win Totals (now sold separately) went 9-1 (90% O/U).

The Predictalator has played every 2013 MLB game 50,000 times before it's actually played. Based on that analysis, we present projected standings for each team from the 50,000 seasons that were played. We also assess the likelihood that any team makes the playoffs (as a division or wild card winner) and then what teams do when they get there.

Please note that all percentages are rounded to the whole percent. A team listed as having a 0% chance of something still can do it. To round to 1%, a team must achieve the goal 251 times in the 50,000 seasons played.

Projected Standings (based on 2013 MLB season played 50,000 times)

NL East

Team Avg. Wins Avg. Losses
Washington Nationals 92.5 69.5
Atlanta Braves 86.6 75.4
Philadelphia Phillies 81.0 81.0
New York Mets 76.8 85.2
Miami Marlins 65.3 96.7

NL Central

Team Avg. Wins Avg. Losses
Cincinnati Reds 91.1 70.9
St. Louis Cardinals 85.1 76.9
Milwaukee Brewers 77.6 84.4
Chicago Cubs 75.8 86.2
Pittsburgh Pirates 74.8 87.2

NL West

Team Avg. Wins Avg. Losses
Los Angeles Dodgers 90.6 71.4
San Francisco Giants 85.1 76.9
Colorado Rockies 77.5 84.5
Arizona Diamondbacks 76.8 85.2
San Diego Padres 72.7 89.3

AL East

Team Avg. Wins Avg. Losses
Tampa Bay Rays 89.5 72.5
Toronto Blue Jays 87.5 74.5
New York Yankees 84.7 77.3
Boston Red Sox 80.5 81.5
Baltimore Orioles 79.2 82.8

AL Central

Team Avg. Wins Avg. Losses
Detroit Tigers 89.7 72.3
Chicago White Sox 85.0 77.0
Cleveland Indians 76.8 85.2
Kansas City Royals 75.0 87.0
Minnesota Twins 70.9 91.1

AL West

Team Avg. Wins Avg. Losses
Los Angeles Angels 93.3 68.7
Texas Rangers 86.8 75.2
Oakland Athletics 85.3 76.7
Seattle Mariners 74.0 88.0
Houston Astros 62.5 99.5

Playoff Probabilities (based on 2013 MLB season played 50,000 times)

Team Division Win Wild Card Win League Win World Series Win
Los Angeles Angels 49% 30% 22% 12%
Detroit Tigers 64% 16% 20% 10%
Washington Nationals 53% 23% 21% 10%
Cincinnati Reds 61% 14% 18% 9%
Los Angeles Dodgers 45% 27% 17% 8%
Tampa Bay Rays 36% 24% 14% 7%
San Francisco Giants 36% 20% 12% 7%
Toronto Blue Jays 28% 20% 11% 6%
Atlanta Braves 25% 31% 10% 5%
St. Louis Cardinals 25% 25% 10% 5%
Texas Rangers 25% 18% 9% 5%
New York Yankees 20% 20% 8% 4%
Philadelphia Phillies 15% 14% 4% 2%
Chicago White Sox 22% 17% 4% 2%
Oakland Athletics 22% 19% 4% 2%
Milwaukee Brewers 6% 10% 3% 1%
Boston Red Sox 9% 13% 3% 1%
Baltimore Orioles 7% 11% 2% 1%
Cleveland Indians 7% 5% 1% 1%
Chicago Cubs 4% 6% 1% 0%
New York Mets 7% 7% 1% 0%
Colorado Rockies 8% 8% 1% 0%
Arizona Diamondbacks 8% 7% 1% 0%
Kansas City Royals 6% 4% 1% 0%
Seattle Mariners 4% 2% 0% 0%
San Diego Padres 3% 2% 0% 0%
Minnesota Twins 1% 1% 0% 0%
Pittsburgh Pirates 4% 5% 0% 0%
Miami Marlins 0% 1% 0% 0%
Houston Astros 0% 0% 0% 0%

For our complete MLB 2013 Preview, please see our Power RankingsOver/Under Win Total PicksStandings Projections and Playoff Probabilities and Division-by-Division Breakdowns. Picks packages for every MLB game on the money-line, over/under and run-line are now available in the shop. Last season, all "normal" or better O/U plays went 124-90 (58% O/U) in baseball. Even more notably, normal+ plays for the 2012 MLB Team Season Win Totals (now sold separately) went 9-1 (90% O/U).

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The Predictalator

The Predictalator is the most advanced sports forecasting software available today because it has the ability to account for all of the relevant statistical interactions of the players (playing or not playing/injured), coaches, officials, fans (home field advantage) and weather in each game.

04/21/2014 Highlight: Using the ResultsFinder for the week of April 14th - 20th, one could find that all highlighted, MLB "normal" or better picks went 22-16 (58% ML, O/U, RL). A normal $50 player utilizing our play value recommendations on these picks returned a profit of +$425 for the week

The week in the NBA was even stronger, particularly with the start of postseason play. Overall, for the week, normal or better picks went 3-1 (75% ATS and O/U), including starting the Playoffs 2-0 with such plays. New this, we have added halftime picks which have proven capable of providing strong opportunities to exploit the market. Over just eight NBA Playoff games thus far, halftime normal or better (and there are "better" halftime picks) against-the-spread plays were especially stron,g going 5-0 (100% ATS).

As the NBA and NHL postseason began, all highlighted, "normal" or better picks on the site, including halftimes, went 40-23 (63% ATS, ML, O/U and PL) for the week.

The Predictalator plays every game 50,000 times before it's actually played. This provides us the ability to assign probabilities to the likelihood of just about any outcome occurring in any contest including straight-up, against-the-spread and over/under winners of each game.

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