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    Money Mayweather (05/02/13)

    John Ewing, Director of Research and Analytics
    By John Ewing

    Pretty Boy Floyd is set to defend his WBC Welterweight Title against Ring No. 3 Welterweight, Robert Guerrero. Fight odds and prop bets listed below.

    Floyd “Money” Mayweather will return to the ring on May 4, 2013 for the first time since being released from jail (served 2 months for domestic abuse). Mayweather (43-0, 26 knockouts) will defend his title Saturday night against Robert “The Ghost” Guerrero (31-1-1, 18 knockouts).

    Mayweather is a heavy favorite even though he has not fought in nearly a year, a unanimous decision against Miguel Cotto. Even though Vegas thinks Money Mayweather is the favorite Floyd may have doubts as he putt a rematch clause in the contract.

    MGM Grand - Las Vegas, Nevada

    WBC welterweight title

    • Floyd "Money" Mayweather Jr. -750 (2/15)
    • Robert "The Ghost" Guerrero +475 (19/4)

    For sportsbooks, Mayweather's name brings a lot of attention to a fight. While that may seem like a good thing it does leave books vulnerable.

    “As is the case in many of Mayweather's recent fights, with him being such a big favorite we see a ton of dog money with bettors looking for the big payout. That's once again the case this Saturday. The book can take a real hit if Guerrero can pull off the upset paying out at +475 and if he were to win by KO at 7/1, that would essentially ruin what has been a decent year for us in Boxing.”

    -Kevin Bradley, Sportsbook Manager, Bovada.lv

    No one feels bad for casinos but we know whom the books will be backing.

    Exact Results Odds
    Floyd "Money" Mayweather Jr. by KO, TKO or DQ 13/5
    Floyd "Money" Mayweather Jr. by Decision 1/2
    Robert "The Ghost" Guerrero by KO, TKO or DQ 7/1
    Robert "The Ghost" Guerrero by Decision 8/1
    Draw 28/1

    Mayweather only has 3 KO/TKO in his last 10 fights. The seven other fights ended in a unanimous decision for Money. Guerrero has only knocked out three of his last ten opponents.

    Exact Round Results Odds
    Floyd "Money" Mayweather Jr. in Round 1 65/1
    Floyd "Money" Mayweather Jr. in Round 2 55/1
    Floyd "Money" Mayweather Jr. in Round 3 50/1
    Floyd "Money" Mayweather Jr. in Round 4 42/1
    Floyd "Money" Mayweather Jr. in Round 5 36/1
    Floyd "Money" Mayweather Jr. in Round 6 35/1
    Floyd "Money" Mayweather Jr. in Round 7 30/1
    Floyd "Money" Mayweather Jr. in Round 8 25/1
    Floyd "Money" Mayweather Jr. in Round 9 24/1
    Floyd "Money" Mayweather Jr. in Round 10 24/1
    Floyd "Money" Mayweather Jr. in Round 11 22/1
    Floyd "Money" Mayweather Jr. in Round 12 30/1
    Floyd "Money" Mayweather Jr. by Decision 1/2
    Robert "The Ghost" Guerrero in Round 1 99/1
    Robert "The Ghost" Guerrero in Round 2 99/1
    Robert "The Ghost" Guerrero in Round 3 99/1
    Robert "The Ghost" Guerrero in Round 4 95/1
    Robert "The Ghost" Guerrero in Round 5 90/1
    Robert "The Ghost" Guerrero in Round 6 80/1
    Robert "The Ghost" Guerrero in Round 7 75/1
    Robert "The Ghost" Guerrero in Round 8 70/1
    Robert "The Ghost" Guerrero in Round 9 70/1
    Robert "The Ghost" Guerrero in Round 10 70/1
    Robert "The Ghost" Guerrero in Round 11 70/1
    Robert "The Ghost" Guerrero in Round 12 85/1
    Robert "The Ghost" Guerrero by Decision 17/2

    Six of Mayweather's last ten fights went all 12 rounds while only four of Guerrero's last ten fights have went the distance.

    Rounds Props Odds
    Over Rounds O 11.5 5/14
    Under Rounds U 11.5 19/10
    Over Rounds O 9.5 4/19
    Under Rounds U 9.5 57/20
    Over Rounds O 7.5 2/15
    Under Rounds U 7.5 4/1
    Over Rounds O 5.5 1/14
    Under Rounds U 5.5 23/4
    Over Rounds O 3.5 1/30
    Under Rounds U 3.5 9/1

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