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    GameChangers (05/14/14)

    John Ewing, Director of Research and Analytics, @johnewing
    By John Ewing
    A look at highlights from the most recent game from each NBA Playoff series utilizing Live ScoreCaster.



    Live ScoreCaster allows you to view current scores and play-by-play as well as live, updating projections from 50,000 simulations of the remaining time in each NBA game. Live ScoreCaster is totally free and available at PredictionMachine.com and for download on iTunes.

    After each NBA Playoff game we breakdown some highlights from the Live projections throughout each game. Click each matchup to view the Live ScoreCaster chart that tells the story of that game.

    Thunder vs. Clippers

    Oklahoma City scored the game's final eight points to defeat Los Angeles 105-104, the victory gives the Thunder a 3-2 series lead in the Western Conference semifinals.

    The Clippers led 101-88 with just over four minutes remaining and were 98 percent likely to win before the Thunder went on a 17-3 run to close out Game 5.

    Controversial Plays
    Thunder trailing 104-102 with 11 seconds left, Russell Westbrook stole the ball from Chris Paul; Reggie Jackson got possession and then lost the ball out of bounds as he drove the lane. Officials awarded the ball to the Thunder and after a review the play stood.

    Had the Clippers been awarded possession, Los Angeles becomes 74 percent likely to win. Instead, the Thunders' expected win probability increased from 26 percent to 43 percent.

    On the ensuing Thunder possession Chris Paul fouled Russell Westbrook as he attempted a three pointer. Westbrook made all three free throws and the Thunder became 67 percent likely to win leading 105-104. Had no foul been called, the Clippers would have been 74 percent likely to win.

    Wizards vs. Pacers

    Washington avoided elimination with a rout of Indiana in Game 5. The Wizards trail in the series 3-2 but the 102-79 victory is the first step in making the Eastern Conference semifinal interesting.

    The Wizards had just a 46 percent chance of winning entering the third quarter despite leading 45-40. Washington outscored Indiana 31-14 to start the second half and the Wizards expected win probability increased to 99 percent.

    The Wizards spent the entire fourth quarter being over 99 percent likely to win.


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