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    GameChangers (05/28/14)

    John Ewing, Director of Research and Analytics, @johnewing
    By John Ewing
    A look at highlights from the most recent NBA Playoff game utilizing Live ScoreCaster.



    Live ScoreCaster allows you to view current scores and play-by-play as well as live, updating projections from 50,000 simulations of the remaining time in each NBA game. Live ScoreCaster is totally free and available at PredictionMachine.com and for download on iTunes.

    After each NBA Playoff game we breakdown some highlights from the Live projections throughout each game. Click each matchup to view Live ScoreCaster chart that tells the story of that game.

    Pacers vs. Heat

    Indiana extended the Eastern Conference Finals with a dramatic 93-90 win in Game 5 against Miami. The Pacers erased a 42-33 halftime deficit by more than doubling up the Heat 31-15 in the third, but the Heat made it interesting late in the fourth. Had a few plays went Miami's way, the Heat could have punched their ticket to the NBA Finals.

    Deflected ball leads to Indiana turnover, except it didn't

    Following a Rashard Lewis three pointer to cut Indiana's lead to 91-90 with 0:16 left to play, Shane Battier attempts a steal on an inbounds pass. The ball is deflected and initially ruled off of Battier. However, the officials review the tape to confirm the call. The video is inconclusive, though most likely correct and the play stands. However, had the initial call been out on Paul George, Miami most likely retains possession.

    In a one point game, with possession, Miami becomes the projected leader for the first time since the 4:04 mark in the third quarter.

    Additional Game Note

    The largest play-to-play swing occurred when Paul George made a three pointer with 0:46 left following Chris Bosh's three pointer to make it 88-87. George's three pointer gave Indiana a 91-87 lead and increased the Pacers odds of winning from 60 percent to 86 percent.


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