NCAA Tournament Bracket 2012 Simulations @ PredictionMachine.com

Picks Pages:
Bracket Odds (free) Predictalated Bracket (free) Bracket Analysis (free)
First Four: Tuesday Picks Wednesday Picks
March 15 (Thursday, Round 1): Predictalator Picks (All 16 games) Paul's Picks (Top 4 Plays)
March 16 (Friday, Round 1): Predictalator Picks (All 16 games) Paul's Picks (Top 4 Plays)
Customize the Predictalator - Play the Games with Any Lines
Buy Picks

The Predictalator uses current rosters and strength-of-schedule and pace-adjusted team and player stats, to play, one possession at a time, every game 50,000 times before it's actually played. For this analysis, we are tracking how likely a team is to make it to any level of the NCAA tournament. Each tournament is played individually, with the team that wins the game in that instance advancing. The percentages in the table below represent the team's likelihood of advancing to that round.

Bracket Odds (based on 2012 NCAA Tournament played 50,000 times):

Region	Seed	Team	1st Rnd	2nd Rnd	Sweet 16	Elite 8	Final 4	Title Game	Champ.
South	1	Kentucky	-	96.9%	81.5%	56.8%	46.2%	31.2%	21.0%
South	16	Miss. Val. St.	36.3%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
South	16	W. Kentucky	63.7%	2.2%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
South	8	Iowa St.	-	48.7%	8.7%	3.1%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%
South	9	UCONN	-	51.3%	9.3%	3.3%	1.6%	0.5%	0.2%
South	5	Wichita St.	-	79.4%	45.8%	17.8%	12.4%	6.3%	3.1%
South	12	VCU	-	20.6%	6.1%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
South	4	Indiana	-	78.7%	43.1%	17.3%	11.4%	5.8%	2.7%
South	13	New Mexico St.	-	21.3%	5.0%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
South	6	UNLV	-	58.9%	24.7%	11.0%	2.1%	0.6%	0.1%
South	11	Colorado	-	41.1%	13.7%	5.0%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%
South	3	Baylor	-	65.3%	44.2%	25.2%	7.8%	3.0%	1.1%
South	14	SD St.	-	34.7%	17.4%	7.4%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%
South	7	Notre Dame	-	53.5%	21.6%	9.7%	2.0%	0.6%	0.1%
South	10	Xavier	-	46.5%	17.7%	7.4%	1.3%	0.3%	0.1%
South	2	Duke	-	74.9%	50.5%	31.0%	10.5%	4.5%	1.8%
South	15	Lehigh	-	25.1%	10.1%	3.4%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
Region	Seed	Team	1st Rnd	2nd Rnd	Sweet 16	Elite 8	Final 4	Title Game	Champ.
West	1	Michigan St.	-	92.3%	60.2%	41.6%	24.5%	12.5%	6.8%
West	16	Long Island	-	7.7%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
West	8	Memphis	-	64.3%	27.8%	16.8%	8.6%	3.7%	1.6%
West	9	St. Louis	-	35.7%	11.0%	5.1%	2.0%	0.6%	0.2%
West	5	New Mexico	-	66.9%	34.5%	12.9%	5.7%	2.0%	0.7%
West	12	Long Beach St.	-	33.1%	12.0%	2.9%	0.9%	0.2%	0.1%
West	4	Louisville	-	75.9%	45.6%	19.2%	8.7%	3.3%	1.3%
West	13	Davidson	-	24.1%	7.9%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
West	6	Murray St.	-	55.8%	23.0%	6.0%	1.5%	0.3%	0.1%
West	11	Colorado St.	-	44.2%	16.8%	4.4%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
West	3	Marquette	-	62.3%	40.6%	14.2%	5.0%	1.5%	0.5%
West	14	Iona	53.6%	21.9%	11.6%	3.7%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%
West	14	BYU	46.4%	15.8%	8.0%	1.9%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
West	7	Florida	-	69.5%	29.9%	19.5%	9.4%	4.1%	1.8%
West	10	Virginia	-	30.5%	6.9%	3.4%	1.0%	0.2%	0.1%
West	2	Missouri	-	93.6%	62.4%	46.9%	29.7%	16.9%	9.9%
West	15	Norfolk St.	-	6.4%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Region	Seed	Team	1st Rnd	2nd Rnd	Sweet 16	Elite 8	Final 4	Title Game	Champ.
East	1	Syracuse	-	83.4%	57.7%	33.1%	14.0%	6.6%	2.6%
East	16	UNC - Ash	-	16.6%	4.8%	1.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
East	8	Kansas St.	-	72.9%	30.9%	13.3%	4.1%	1.5%	0.4%
East	9	Southern Miss	-	27.1%	6.6%	1.5%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
East	5	Vanderbilt	-	63.6%	31.2%	15.9%	5.5%	2.3%	0.8%
East	12	Harvard	-	36.4%	13.3%	4.9%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%
East	4	Wisconsin	-	81.4%	50.4%	29.2%	12.1%	5.8%	2.1%
East	13	Montana	-	18.6%	5.1%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
East	6	Cincinnati	-	46.5%	23.7%	5.5%	2.0%	0.6%	0.2%
East	11	Texas	-	53.5%	28.8%	7.5%	3.1%	1.1%	0.3%
East	3	Fla. St.	-	63.3%	33.0%	8.7%	3.6%	1.3%	0.3%
East	14	St. Bonaventure	-	36.7%	14.4%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%	0.1%
East	7	Gonzaga	-	57.4%	11.2%	5.5%	2.0%	0.7%	0.2%
East	10	W. Va.	-	42.6%	7.0%	2.9%	0.9%	0.2%	0.1%
East	2	Ohio State	-	93.6%	80.0%	66.7%	49.9%	34.1%	19.5%
East	15	Loyola (MD)	-	6.4%	1.8%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
Region	Seed	Team	1st Rnd	2nd Rnd	Sweet 16	Elite 8	Final 4	Title Game	Champ.
Midwest	1	UNC	-	89.2%	64.4%	49.7%	31.3%	17.3%	8.5%
Midwest	16	Lamar	54.9%	6.4%	2.1%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
Midwest	16	Vermont	45.1%	4.4%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
Midwest	8	Creighton	-	57.4%	21.2%	11.9%	5.3%	1.9%	0.7%
Midwest	9	Alabama	-	42.6%	11.1%	5.4%	1.9%	0.5%	0.1%
Midwest	5	Temple	-	52.1%	26.5%	8.7%	3.2%	0.9%	0.3%
Midwest	12	California	59.3%	30.7%	16.2%	5.1%	1.9%	0.5%	0.1%
Midwest	12	S. Florida	40.7%	17.2%	7.4%	1.8%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
Midwest	4	Michigan	-	71.5%	40.1%	14.5%	5.7%	1.8%	0.6%
Midwest	13	Ohio	-	28.5%	9.8%	2.0%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
Midwest	6	San Diego St.	-	41.9%	12.8%	3.4%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Midwest	11	NC State	-	58.1%	22.1%	7.3%	2.6%	0.8%	0.2%
Midwest	3	Georgetown	-	53.1%	35.7%	15.6%	7.1%	2.7%	0.9%
Midwest	14	Belmont	-	46.9%	29.4%	12.4%	5.6%	2.0%	0.6%
Midwest	7	Saint Mary's	-	40.7%	11.6%	4.9%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%
Midwest	10	Purdue	-	59.3%	23.5%	12.4%	5.6%	2.0%	0.8%
Midwest	2	Kansas	-	81.4%	57.4%	41.2%	25.4%	13.6%	6.7%
Midwest	15	Detroit	-	18.6%	7.5%	2.8%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%

Bracket Odds

Archive

The Predictalator