NFL Playoff Predictions

Each week, we will simulate the rest of the regular season and playoffs 50,000 times with updated player and team statistical information to provide up-to-date projected records, standings, playoff probabilities and odds to win the Super Bowl for each team in the NFL. This information will be provided below with "Wins" and "Losses" referring to the teams' current record so far and "Proj Wins" and "Proj Losses" noting the projected final regular season record for each team. "Div%", "WC%" and "SB%" signify the team's chances of winning the division, earning a wild card and winning the Super Bowl respectively.

NFL Playoff Probabilities

Last Updated: 11/6/2012 
AFC East Wins Losses Proj Wins Proj Losses Div Win% WC Win% SB Win%
New England Patriots 5 3 10.3 5.7 78.2 14.2 10.0
Miami Dolphins 4 4 8.1 7.9 17.8 27.4 0.6
New York Jets 3 5 7.1 8.9 1.8 14.7 0.1
Buffalo Bills 3 5 6.2 9.8 2.2 7.3 0.0
AFC West Wins Losses Proj Wins Proj Losses Div Win% WC Win% SB Win%
Denver Broncos 5 3 10.7 5.3 95.1 2.2 10.1
San Diego Chargers 4 4 7.8 8.2 4.1 22.6 0.2
Oakland Raiders 3 5 6.5 9.5 0.8 5.8 0.0
Kansas City Chiefs 1 7 3.7 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
AFC South Wins Losses Proj Wins Proj Losses Div Win% WC Win% SB Win%
Houston Texans 7 1 12.5 3.5 98.7 1.1 20.0
Indianapolis Colts 5 3 8.4 7.6 1.3 36.3 0.2
Tennessee Titans 3 6 5.5 10.5 0.0 0.7 0.0
Jacksonville Jaguars 1 7 3.5 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
AFC North Wins Losses Proj Wins Proj Losses Div Win% WC Win% SB Win%
Pittsburgh Steelers 5 3 10.6 5.4 54.1 34.2 6.8
Baltimore Ravens 6 2 9.9 6.1 45.4 30.9 1.9
Cincinnati Bengals 3 5 6.3 9.7 0.5 2.7 0.0
Cleveland Browns 2 7 4.4 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0
NFC East Wins Losses Proj Wins Proj Losses Div Win% WC Win% SB Win%
New York Giants 6 3 10.0 6.0 79.2 8.2 4.2
Dallas Cowboys 3 5 7.8 8.2 16.9 13.1 0.7
Philadelphia Eagles 3 5 6.6 9.4 2.4 5.2 0.1
Washington Redskins 3 6 6.5 9.5 1.5 3.5 0.1
NFC West Wins Losses Proj Wins Proj Losses Div Win% WC Win% SB Win%
San Francisco 49ers 6 2 11.1 4.9 88.8 6.5 10.8
Seattle Seahawks 5 4 9.1 6.9 10.1 45.1 1.8
St. Louis Rams 3 5 6.9 9.1 0.7 4.8 0.1
Arizona Cardinals 4 5 6.0 10.0 0.4 1.0 0.0
NFC South Wins Losses Proj Wins Proj Losses Div Win% WC Win% SB Win%
Atlanta Falcons 8 0 13.1 2.9 99.7 0.2 15.0
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4 4 7.8 8.2 0.3 14.2 0.2
New Orleans Saints 3 5 6.3 9.7 0.0 2.3 0.0
Carolina Panthers 2 6 6.0 10.0 0.0 1.0 0.0
NFC North Wins Losses Proj Wins Proj Losses Div Win% WC Win% SB Win%
Chicago Bears 7 1 11.8 4.2 84.5 11.8 12.6
Green Bay Packers 6 3 10.2 5.8 13.4 58.6 3.7
Detroit Lions 4 4 8.3 7.7 1.8 20.1 0.6
Minnesota Vikings 5 4 7.3 8.7 0.3 4.5 0.0

 

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The Predictalator

The Predictalator is the most advanced sports forecasting software available today because it has the ability to account for all of the relevant statistical interactions of the players (playing or not playing/injured), coaches, officials, fans (home field advantage) and weather in each game.

04/14/2014 Highlight: Using the ResultsFinder for the week of April 7th - 13th, one could find that all highlighted, MLB "normal" or better picks went 26-19 (58% ML, O/U, RL). This includes "normal" over/under picks going 10-4 (71% O/U). All-time (since the start of the 2012 season), all normal over/under MLB plays are 270-212 (56% O/U).

As the regular season concludes, NBA plays are heating up. All normal plays for the week in the NBA went 7-4 (64% ATS & O/U). Total picks continue to be strong, going 4-2 (67% O/U) with "normal" picks last week. Such "normal" plays are 43-32 (57% O/U) since the beginning of the year in the NBA.

The Predictalator plays every game 50,000 times before it's actually played. This provides us the ability to assign probabilities to the likelihood of just about any outcome occurring in any contest including straight-up, against-the-spread and over/under winners of each game.

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