New User? Sign Up / Forgot Your Password?
All Live
Projections
    All Live Projections

    NFL Prediction (07/12/13)

    Paul Bessire, General Manager
    By Paul Bessire

    Each day over the next two weeks we will reveal a Prediction of the Day, where we share an interesting player or team prediction leading into the 2013 NFL season. Rams vs. FalconsTampa Bay's defenseBroncos/49ersRavens repeat?Sacks will SkyrocketPlayoff teams missing the playoffs, New playoff teams

    Prediction: The Denver Broncos will lead the league in rushing touchdowns.

    Why it is likely:

    In 2012, the Broncos finished second in the league in scoring behind the New England Patriots. While Denver has improved its offense and appears to be retaining its up-tempo style, the Patriots have lost major offensive weapons and may need to slow the game down.

    Leading the league in scoring is only one piece to the puzzle, though, as the Broncos will still need to shift focus near the goalline for this to happen. Enter second-round pick Montee Ball from Wisconsin.

    In the vast majority of cases, college touchdown statistics (or previous year’s NFL TD stats for that matter) have little to do with upcoming professional performance. When a high powered offense that struggled in short-yardage and goal line rushing circumstances drafts the FBS all-time leader in rushing touchdowns and clears the way for him to play a significant role, however, the situation is different. Note that New England threw 34 passing TDs last year, yet still lead the NFL in rushing touchdowns with 25. Denver could do something similar this year.

    Possible obstacles:

    Peyton Manning, Wes Welker, Eric Decker, Demaryius Thomas. Even if Denver does lead the league in scoring, a play-making aerial attack may not leave many opportunities for Montee Ball or others to pick up red zone touchdowns.

    Final thought:

    In 50,000 simulations of the 2013 NFL season, Denver averages 22.3 rushing touchdowns, which just eclipses San Francisco's 21.8 rushing scores to lead the league. Of those, Ball is projected to score just over half of the Broncos' TDs on the ground. It’s certainly no lock and this does not mean that Ball should be a top five fantasy selection, but Denver’s pace, offensive line and skill position weapons make every facet of this offense scary (good), including the ground game. 

    Print This Article
    PREVIOUS ARTICLE
    NFL Prediction (07/14/13)
    NEXT ARTICLE
    NFL Prediction (07/11/13)
    Want More Tips and Information? Click To Register!

    COMMENTS

    SEARCH BLOGS

    ARCHIVE

    Ad

    The Predictalator

    The Predictalator is the most advanced sports forecasting software available today because it has the ability to account for all of the relevant statistical interactions of the players, coaches, officials, home field advantage and weather in each game.

    Picks for every game, including our Play Value Key and Calculator recommendations for optimal bankroll management and access to the Play Analyzer can be purchased in the Shop or by game here.

    03/27/2017 Highlight: With the start of MLB right around the corner, we can use our ResultsFinder tool to uncover some past success in baseball. April has historically been a great month for the Predictalator, as evidenced by last season's outstanding 41-22 (65.1%) record on all "normal" or better ML, RL, and O/U plays. A $50 bettor would have profited a whopping $1,002 using our recommended wager sizes in April. MLB season win totals have also been extremely fruitful in the history of this site, with the Predictalator producing an outstanding 54-19 (74.0%) record on all playable win totals.

    March Madness is winding down and it was another solid month for the Predictalator. There were a total of 69 "normal" or better college hoops positions (sides and totals) in the month of March, and the Predictalator posted a strong 42-27 (60.9%) record, generating $704 in total profits. NBA has also followed suit with "normal" or better positions winning at a 58.1% clip since the beginning of February, and at a 57.9% clip for March.

    NHL profits continue to roll right along as well, as the Predictalator has cashed in on nine of 12 "normal" or better positions in March. The Predictalator has now amassed an incredible 45-28 (61.6%) on all "normal" or better money lines, puck lines, and totals this season, totaling $499 in total profits for a ?$50 bettor.

    Check out the Shop now to learn more.

    Recommended Features

    LOGIN

    LATEST ARTICLES

    MLB Win Totals - Over/Under Picks
    We take a look at the 2017 MLB over/under team season win totals. Highlighted, "normal" or better MLB Win Total Picks are 54-19 all-time. See free picks on the Cubs, Dodgers, Phillies and more.

    Updated Bracket Odds - Final Four
    The Predictalator simulates the Final Four 50,000 times to see how likely each remaining team is to win the NCAA Tournament

    FIND US ONLINE


    SportsRadar


    All registered accounts are subject to our General Terms Of Service. Content is intended for informational purposes only. This is not a gambling website.

    FSTA Member 2015
    Home | The Predictalator | Blog | Privacy |  Media Contact |  B2B Solutions |  Sitemap |  Customer Support | 
    © 2010-2015 PredictionMachine.com, LLC. All rights reserved. | Site Designed by Randombell.com