New User? Sign Up / Forgot Your Password?
All Live
Projections
    All Live Projections

    NFL Prediction (07/10/13)

    Paul Bessire, General Manager
    By Paul Bessire

    Each day over the next two weeks we will reveal a Prediction of the Day, where we share an interesting player or team prediction leading into the 2013 NFL season. Rams vs. FalconsTampa Bay's defenseBroncos/49ersRavens repeat?, Sacks will Skyrocket

    Prediction: The Minnesota Vikings, Indianapolis Colts, Washington Redskins, Atlanta Falcons and Cincinnati Bengals will not make the playoffs.

    Why it is likely:

    On average, each year, almost half of the previous season’s NFL Playoff participants fail to make the postseason the next year. This is not necessarily because of total flukes in previous seasons or with bad luck or injuries in the current season (though those are contributing factors in most cases), but is more directly tied to the nature of parity in the league. Going into this season, we give the Broncos, 49ers, Seahawks, Patriots and Texans each greater than 65% chance to make the postseason. On the other end of the spectrum, the Jaguars, Raiders, Cardinals, Vikings, Titans and Browns each have less than a 20% chance to get into the playoffs. What happens to the other 21 teams is essentially up for grabs.

    Possible obstacles:

    Technically, the chance of all five of those teams missing the postseason is only 12.1%. None of these teams is greater than 45% likely to get in (Cincinnati is 44.1%), but it is unlikely that all five of these teams miss the playoffs.

    Final thought:

    In order, the least likely 2012 NFL Playoff teams to make the 2013 postseason are Minnesota Vikings (8.1%), Indianapolis Colts (35.2%), Washington Redskins (38.9%), Atlanta Falcons (40.3%) and Cincinnati Bengals (44.1%). 

    Print This Article
    PREVIOUS ARTICLE
    NFL Prediction (07/11/13)
    NEXT ARTICLE
    NFL Prediction (07/09/13)
    Want More Tips and Information? Click To Register!

    COMMENTS

    SEARCH BLOGS

    ARCHIVE

    Ad

    The Predictalator

    08/09/2017 Highlight: In college football, "normal" or better totals are 58% all-time and have been profitable in five of the previous seven years. Meanwhile, our strongest ATS pick each week in college football is 69-40 (63% ATS) all-time. With college football season win totals being posted this week, we can also note that last season, playable win total picks in went 28-19 (60% O/U) to turn a profit of $899 for a normal $50 player using our play value recommendations.

    Check out the Shop now to learn more.

    Recommended Features

    LOGIN

    LATEST ARTICLES

    Fantasy Sports Partnership
    Prediction Machine has partnered up with Fantasy Guru Elite. Read the blog from our Business Manager, Rob Pizzola, to learn more.

    NFL Preview - In-Depth Analysis
    In the most likely Super Bowl, the New England Patriots defeat the Seattle Seahawks. Check out in-depth analysis for every team in the league.

    FIND US ONLINE


    SportsRadar


    All registered accounts are subject to our General Terms Of Service. Content is intended for informational purposes only. This is not a gambling website.

    FSTA Member 2015
    Home | The Predictalator | Blog | Privacy |  Media Contact |  B2B Solutions |  Sitemap |  Customer Support | 
    © 2010-2015 PredictionMachine.com, LLC. All rights reserved. | Site Designed by Randombell.com