Despite leading a couple of huge comebacks on a team that rarely runs the football, Matt Stafford hasn't put up many huge DFS games lately. Facing the Saints defense in the dome in New Orleans should change that. The Lions don't run the ball well and they've nearly given up trying. The Saints do defend the rush well; hence, Stafford should throw it a ton and offer up plenty of opportunities in the red zone to make him well worth his price this week.
Ryan Fitzpatrick isn't a good quarterback. He has a career 59.9% completion rate including 57.6% this season. A lot of his weapons on offense are hurt or dinged up. The reason you should play Fitz this week in a tournament format is entirely because of the opposing defense. The Colts are tied for dead last in yards per play defensively. They allow 7.9 yards per pass attempt and a 66.0% completion rate against. Grab Fitzpatrick and hope he builds off his success last week against the Patriots.
Another week, another opportunity to play a good running back against the 49ers defense. The 49ers allow 5.1 yards per rush attempt. Jordan Howard has rushed for 5.1 yards per attempt in his first NFL season. Howard took over the Bears backfield last week again and has seen a total of 13 targets in the last two weeks. If he gets the workload expected, he'll far and exceed his value this week against the worst possible defense he'll face.
Denard Robinson is a huge tournament reach this week but if he has a big game, you may be the only one with him in your pool. For starters, he'll go up agains the Denver defense that is still topping the NFL in many categories. However, T.J. Yeldon is dealing with an ankle injury and Chris Ivory is doubtful with a hamstring injury. For Robinson's cheap price, it may be worth a shot in hopes that the Jaguars somehow move the ball enough for him to get a touchdown. Even if it's in garbage time, the points still count to your total.
Mike Evans is one of the most lucrative DFS players no matter the defense he faces. He's received double-digit targets in all but two games this season including 11 targets, 8 catches, 104 yards, and two touchdowns against the Seahawks last week. This week he'll get a high-paced game in San Diego against a soft defense. The Chargers are average defensively but Evans is going to get the targets regardless of who he plays. His price is rising, though it's not as high as it should be. He's one of the most reliable receivers you can have for your lineup this week.
If you're using Fitzpatrick in your tournament lineup, you might as well grab Quincy Enunwa with him. Enunwa had a huge game against the Patriots last week but it was purely catch-based. He caught all five of his targets for 109 yards and a touchdown. With no help from the Jets quarterback situation, Enunwa has only caught 58.1% of his passes. That being said, if you are willing to go up against the Colts defense with Fitzpatrick, you should be willing to use Enunwa to fill out your tournament stack while avoiding the higher-owned Brandon Marshall.
Travis Kelce gets the Falcons secondary this week. The Falcons rank 27th in defense against tight ends in DFS. Considering how unimpressive the Chiefs offense has been, Kelce has been a nice standout. He's averaged nearly 14 DKP this season which would rank him near the top of tight ends. He's gotten at least seven targets in every game since Week 7. Since Maclin has been out and dinged up the last two weeks, Kelce has gotten nine and 15 targets, 24 total catches, and gained over 100 yards in each game. Kelce is a stable, reliable piece to add to your lineups this week without killing your salary.
It's difficult to trust anything about the San Francisco offense but McDonald is becoming more trustworthy while staying under the radar. Kaepernick has gotten a lot of attention as they've changed their approach, allowing him to throw and run more than ever. Along with that, McDonald has been the one consistent target for Kaepernick. McDonald has received six targets in every game since Week 6. He's been a downfield threat for a tight end, as well, averaging at least 12.5 yards per catch in all of those games. McDonald will get a below average Bears defense to go up against. If he is lucky enough to grab a couple touchdowns, you'll have a big advantage from his lower ownership.