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    NFL DFS Value Plays - Week 14 (12/08/16)

    By Mark Dankenbring

    DFS Football Value Plays – Week 14

    With Week 14 of the NFL season upon us, let's take a look at who sets up to have the most value based on their salary in daily fantasy for DraftKings and FanDuel. With injuries opening up expanded roles for certain players, and favorable matchups determined after 13 weeks of action, we have a solid list of value plays this week. Value plays are centered around players who are below the average salary cost for their position and will produce the most points per dollar spent. Below are a list of some highlighted players on both platforms, but to see a full ranking of players and their value this week, visit our Optimizer tool for full control over your lineup.

    Each player is listed with their salary and projected points for the week.



    Coming off a blow-out loss to the Bengals where he attempted 60 passes, Wentz will see a Redskins defense that has allowed at least 300 passing yards to opposing teams in three of their last four games. The Redskins have also allowed the most DraftKings points to opposing quarterbacks over the last three weeks, giving up an average of 26.77 points per game. Wentz will have his full compliment of running backs as well as Jordan Matthews returning from injury, so he'll have plenty of options against the Redskins. Look for Wentz and the Eagles to have a bounce back week and play well against their division rival at home.

    Eli and the Giants will face the Cowboys at home this Sunday night, where Eli has thrown 12 touchdowns in his last four games. The passing yard numbers haven't been there as much for Eli recently, but the Cowboys have allowed an average of 345 passing yards to opposing QBs over their last four games. In week one against Dallas, Eli threw for 207 yards and three touchdowns, good enough for 19.3 DraftKings points. He will now face the Cowboys at home and likely without their best corner in Morris Claiborne, so look for Eli to continue his streak of at least two passing touchdowns in the last five games and hopefully eclipse 300 yards passing for the first time since Week 6.

    Running Backs

    Gurley has been a major fantasy disappointment this year, but lines up to have a solid week of production this Sunday against a Falcons defense that has allowed the second most DraftKings points to opposing running backs this season. Gurley has only averaged 3.2 yards per carry this season, but has become more involved in the passing game, as he's caught 32 passes on the year averaging nearly eight yards per reception. If Gurley and the Rams' offensive line can't put together a solid game against a defense that has allowed 4.3 yards per carry this season, it might be time to accept last year was just one big fantasy tease.

    After three consecutive weeks where he saw less than 10 carries, Crowell carried the ball 16 times for 44 yards last week against the Giants. Crowell will face the Bengals at home this weekend, who he ran for 63 yards on just 12 carries against in Cincinnati back in Week 7. The Browns will be coming off their bye week, so Crowell and the offensive line will have fresh legs and plenty of time to prepare for a Bengals team that has allowed the ninth most DraftKings points to opposing running backs this season. Look for Crowell to receive double digit touches once again, and to have a solid day against the Bengals.

    Wide Receivers

    Anderson makes our list for the first time this season as Bryce Petty is scheduled to start for the Jets at quarterback on Sunday. Once Petty entered the game on Monday night, he targeted Anderson 12 times, including one 40-yard touchdown. The Jets will head to San Francisco this weekend to take on a 49ers defense that has allowed the fifth most points to opposing wide receivers this season. Anderson also enters this week with the minimum salary for a DraftKings' wide receiver, making his potential value even higher. Look for Anderson to have success with a new quarterback at the helm against the only defense in the NFL to allow more than 30 points per game on the season.

    Lee makes our value play list for the second straight week in a row. After facing the number one passing defense in the league last week in the Broncos, the Jaguars will host a Vikings team who currently sits at fourth in the league against the pass. Lee still provides great value entering this week as the Jaguars have an anemic rushing attack and can only seem to move the ball through the air. Lee saw his most targets of the year last week with nine, and has five straight games with at least six targets. For a cheap price of only $3,700, Lee's target share in the offense will continue to provide value week in and week out.

    Gabriel has come on strong in recent weeks for the Falcons, scoring a touchdown in four of the last five games for Atlanta. The Falcons will head to Los Angeles to take on a Rams defense that has allowed the third most DraftKings points to opposing wide receivers this season. Head coach Dan O'Quinn was quoted saying that Mohamed Sanu will likely not play this weekend, and with Julio Jones suffering from a turf toe injury, Gabriel could likely see much more involvement in the passing offense this weekend. Look for Matt Ryan to target Gabriel early and often on Sunday, as the Rams just allowed slot receiver Julian Edelman to catch eight passes for 101 yards last week.

    Tight Ends

    McDonald is becoming a mainstay on our value plays list, as he finds himself on our list for the third straight week. After a snowy game in Chicago where McDonald saw four of the team's 15 passes, the 49ers will head home to face a Jets team that just allowed Colts' tight ends to catch 10 passes for 117 yards and three touchdowns. Last week's four target effort broke a streak of five games with at least six targets, but look for a new streak to begin this week. Chip Kelly and Kaepernick will watch plenty of tape of the Jets being exposed in the middle of the field, so look for them to exploit the Jets' defense and dial up several looks for McDonald on Sunday.

    Green received a career high 11 targets in last week's contest against the Giants, showing his capability as the third option in Pittsburgh's offense. With Antonio Brown and Le'Veon Bell still the primary options in the Steelers offense, Green adds a great extra dimension as a big bodied target who can stretch the middle of the field. Green has caught five passes from Big Ben that went for at least 15 yards in the last two games, which matches up well against a Bills defense that has allowed tight ends to average nearly 14 yards per reception this season. Look for Green to solidify himself as the second option in the passing offense this Sunday against the Bills.



    *See Explanation Above*

    RGIII will start his first game since Week 1 against the Bengals this Sunday. Cincinnati's defense has struggled on the road this year, having allowed 13 passing touchdowns in six games. In the first matchup between these two teams, Browns' backup Kevin Hogan saw significant playing time in which he ran seven times for 104 yards and a touchdown. Cincinnati showed they are susceptible to a mobile quarterback, and RGIII definitely has the capability to escape the pocket and make plays happen with his feet. The Bengals have allowed the 10th most FanDuel points to opposing quarterbacks this year, and RGIII will have his full arsenal of weapons healthy and rested coming off their bye week. Therefore, I expect him to have a solid game against the Bengals at home on Sunday.

    Running Backs

    *See Explanation Above*

    *See Explanation Above*

    Wide Receivers

    Sanders had his worst week of the season last Sunday with Paxton Lynch at quarterback, as he only hauled in three catches for 28 yards. The good news for Sanders and the rest of the offense is that Trevor Siemian is out of his walking boot and is in line to start Sunday against the Titans. The Titans have allowed the second most FanDuel points to opposing wide receivers on the season, which provides Sanders and the Denver passing game the opportunity to have a bounce back week. Sanders has averaged nearly 10 targets per game this season, and 13 more on the season than Demaryius Thomas, so look for Sanders to have a big week against one of the league's worst secondaries.

    *See Explanation Above*

    Tate saw his second 100+ yard game of the season last week as he hauled in eight of 10 targets for 145 yards and a touchdown. Tate and the Lions will take on another weak secondary in the Chicago Bears, who, excluding last week's snowy effort, have allowed the fifth most FanDuel points to opposing wide receivers this season. The Lions have won seven of their last eight games largely due to Matthew Stafford and the passing attack, so I expect another big game out of Tate as he's averaged nearly nine targets per game over that span. At a mid-level salary of $6,300, Tate is a safe value play this weekend against the Bears.

    Tight Ends

    *See Explanation Above*

    *See Explanation Above*

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    NFL Week 14 Daily Fantasy Targets (12/09/16)
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