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    NL MVP/Cy Young (06/04/14)

    John Ewing, Director of Research and Analytics, @johnewing
    By John Ewing
    A look at the NL MVP and Cy Young odds, how they have changed over the course of the MLB season. AL MVP and Cy Young coming soon. Odds courtesy of Bovada.lv.



    With a couple months of baseball in the books the awards watch begins with a quick look at contenders and pretenders for the NL MVP and NL Cy Young awards. Plus, current odds for all the top players.

    NL MVP

    Troy Tulowitzki
    Preseason: 18/1, Current: 3/1

    Colorado's oft injured shortstop leads all of baseball in batting average (.353), is second in the National League in home runs (15) and his 4.6 wins above replacement is tops among all players.

    Plus, the shortstop is doing work with his glove. Tulo ranks 6th in Ultimate Zone Rating, a defensive metric that measures how many runs a player has saved.

    Tulo went from leading the National League to the leading all of baseball in the second round of voting for the MLB All-Star Game.

    Yasiel Puig
    Preseason: 14/1, Current: 7/1

    Baseball fans have enjoyed (detested) a year of Yasiel Puig, depending on your allegiances. One of the league's most polarizing players, critics can knock Puig for his antics but it is hard to argue with the Dodgers' numbers.

    Puig's line of .343/.433/.609 (AVG/OBP/SLG) ranks 2nd in the National League.

    Ryan Braun
    Preseason: 14/1, Current: 12/1

    What suspension? Biogenesis scandal, never heard of it. The fans have spoken, Braun is forgiven for his past sins. The Brewers outfielder is in line to start in the All-Star Game.

    If Braun were to win the MVP Award, he would join Miguel Cabrera, Albert Pujols and Alex Rodriguez as the only active players to win the award twice.

    The odds imply that Braun has an 8 percent chance of becoming a two-time MVP.

    NL MVP Odds

    Player Preseason Odds Current Odds
    Troy Tulowitzki (COL) 18/1 3/1
    Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) 25/1 4/1
    Andrew McCutchen (PIT) 6/1 6/1
    Yasiel Puig (LAD) 14/1 7/1
    Justin Upton (ATL) N/A 9/1
    Ryan Braun (MIL) 14/1 12/1
    Carlos Gomez (MIL) 40/1 12/1
    Chase Utley (PHI) N/A 16/1
    Paul Goldschmidt (ARI) 9/1 18/1
    Freddie Freeman (ATL) 14/1 20/1
    Yadier Molina (STL) 12/1 20/1
    Charlie Blackmon (COL) N/A 25/1
    Justin Morneau (COL) N/A 50/1

    NL Cy Young



    Adam Wainwright
    Preseason: 8/1, Current: 3/1

    Wainwright has been named the top pitcher in the NL for the second month in a row. The Cardinals ace is fourth in ERA (2.32), third in quality starts (9) and allowed 17 walks while striking out 81 batters over 85.1 innings.

    Wainwright finished second in the Cy Young voting last year to Clayton Kershaw but to prove he is serious, Wainwright texted Kershaw to tell him that the Cy Young Award was coming to St. Louis.

    Johnny Cueto
    Preseason: 20/1, Current: 5/1

    Cueto became the first pitcher since 1914 to open the season with nine straight starts of at least seven innings pitched while allowing two or fewer runs. Predictably, the pitcher leads the league in most categories including ERA (1.68) and WAR (3.2).

    Josh Beckett
    Preseason: 100/1, Current: 16/1

    Beckett's Cy Young campaign begins and ends with his no hitter. Beckett pitched the first no-hitter of his career and the first of the season against the Phillies on May 25th.

    A no-no is impressive but advanced pitching statistics point to regression. Opponents have just a .214 batting average on balls in play (career .289). Becket has the twelfth best ERA (2.52) in baseball but his Defense-independent ERA (DIPS) is .417. DIPS is a metric that projects what a pitchers earned run average would have been if not for the effects of defense and luck.

    NL Cy Young Odds

    Player Preseason Odds Current Odds
    Adam Wainwright (STL) 8/1 3/1
    Johnny Cueto (CIN) 20/1 5/1
    Zack Greinke (LAD) 15/1 7/1
    Clayton Kershaw (LAD) 13/2 7/1
    Kyle Lohse (MIL) N/A 9/1
    Madison Bumgarner (SF) 15/1 10/1
    Julio Teheran (ATL) 25/1 12/1
    Tim Hudson (SF) 40/1 12/1
    Michael Wacha (STL) 25/1 12/1
    Stephen Strasburg (WAS) 8/1 16/1
    Josh Beckett (LAD) 100/1 16/1
    Hyun-Jin Ryu 20/1 20/1
    Cliff Lee (PHI) 15/1 25/1



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