New User? Sign Up / Forgot Your Password?
All Live
    All Live Projections

    Ohio State QB Dilemma (07/16/15)

    By John Ewing Director of Research and Analytics @johnewing
    Which quarterback should start for the Ohio State Buckeyes?

    The biggest storyline in college football is which quarterback should start for Ohio State?

    The defending champions enter the 2015 season as the favorites in Vegas to repeat. With expectations sky high in Columbus, the Buckeyes need to solve their quarterback dilemma.

    Ohio State has three of college football's best quarterbacks – Braxton Miller, J.T. Barrett and Cardale Jones. Each signal caller is uniquely qualified to start under center.

    Braxton Miller, when healthy, is one of the most dangerous dual threat quarterbacks in the country. In 2012, he accumulated 3,310 yards of total offense and 28 touchdowns. As an encore, he followed that up in 2013 with 3,162 total yards of offense throwing 24 touchdowns while rushing for 12 scores.

    J.T. Barrett, like Miller, is a pure playmaker. The redshirt freshman went from unknown to Heisman candidate last season. Barrett completed 64.7 percent of his passes for 2,834 yards and 34 touchdowns. Before his season ending ankle injury, Barrett had rushed for 938 yards and 11 touchdowns.

    Unlike Miller or Barrett, Jones is built differently. The bruising quarterback, standing at 6-foot-5 and weighing 250 pounds, won't run away from defenders opting instead to run over them. Jones proved he could play on the biggest stage leading Ohio State to the Big Ten Championship and helping the Buckeyes win the College Football Playoff.

    In this unprecedented quarterback battle, which player should get the starting nod?

    To find out, we simulated Ohio State's regular-season 50,000 times with each quarterback as the starter. The results aren't great for the rest of college football.

    Regardless of which quarterback starts, the Buckeyes win more than 11 games on average. Ohio State finishes with the best record in the Big Ten and the FBS in each simulation. Ohio State is No. 1 in our Power Rankings whether Miller, Barrett or Jones is the first team quarterback.

    By the numbers, if we had to make Urban Meyer's decision for him, Barrett would be the starter. Ohio State is a more efficient offensively, both passing and rushing the ball, with Barrett under center. The difference between Barrett and Miller starting for Ohio State is nearly a field goal per game.

    Like last year, it may not matter who starts for Ohio State at quarterback.

    Note: the passing and rushing projections below are team totals.

    Quarterback Passing Yards Pass TDs Rushing Yards Rush TDs Record Points/Game
    Braxton Miller 3,097.4 33.3 3,413.0 32.5 11.2-0.8 40.9
    J.T. Barrett 3,374.1 35.6 3,480.7 34.7 11.5-0.5 43.8
    Cardale Jones 3,289.3 34.1 3,371.2 33.3 11.4-0.6 42.0

    Print This Article
    Conference Odds (08/19/15)
    4-Team Playoff Odds (07/09/15)
    Want More Tips and Information? Click To Register!





    The Predictalator

    07/27/2017 Highlight: MLB season is winding down but that hasn't stopped our models from generating insane profits. Our baseball engine is 130-109 picking baseball sides in the month of July, generating $822 in profits for an average $50 bettor. "Normal" or better sides (stronger plays) are a perfect 4-0 in July, producing $218 in profits on those plays alone.

    Check out the Shop now to learn more.

    Recommended Features



    NFL Preview - In-Depth Analysis
    In the most likely Super Bowl, the New England Patriots defeat the Seattle Seahawks. Check out in-depth analysis for every team in the league.

    College Win Total Picks (5 Books) - 2017 Preview
    Over/Under Season Win Total picks are now available for every college football team at five different books.



    All registered accounts are subject to our General Terms Of Service. Content is intended for informational purposes only. This is not a gambling website.

    FSTA Member 2015
    Home | The Predictalator | Blog | Privacy |  Media Contact |  B2B Solutions |  Sitemap |  Customer Support | 
    © 2010-2015, LLC. All rights reserved. | Site Designed by