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    College Preview: In-Depth Analysis

    Last Updated: 8/18/2015

    College Football Preview Pages:

    Over/Under Win Total Picks (ALL 128 Teams)
    In-Depth Team Analysis
    Power Rankings

    The Predictalator has already played the 2015 college football regular and postseasons 50,000 times before the games are actually played.

    Below, we explain How This Works and break down every Division I college football FBS team (all 128 of them). Additional analysis is provided regarding strengths and weaknesses for each BCS conference team. "Breakout Players" are those with tremendous ability who have shown flashes of greatness and who should now shine with increased playing time and experience.

    This technology has consistently generated great returns in college football. College Football Locks of the Week on the site are 53-24 (69% ATS) over five seasons, which includes going 24-8 (75% ATS) in the last two seasons). Featured, "normal" Over/Under plays (greater than 57% confidence in the pick) have gone 348-255 (58% O/U) all-time.

    Check out the Shop now to learn more.

    How This Works
    Just as the Predictalator plays any individual game 50,000 times before it's actually played, it can also play entire seasons 50,000 times before they are actually played. That is what we have done for the 2015 college football (FBS) season. The actual regular season and bowl schedules have been played 50,000 times, allowing us to compute likely records, expected bowl matchups and power rankings.

    Using the Predictalator is not as much of a concern to us as making sure that we have the best possible inputs for players' statistics, progression over time and age, roles, health and playing time as well as teams' coaching styles and weather.

    In general, we apply strength-of-schedule-adjusted, relevant statistics from the player's collegiate games to a fairly traditional player development curve that is driven by class and previous playing time. Not only does this curve help to set average player inputs, it combines player health history to dictate the variance ("boom or bust" potential) of a player's inputs.

    Playing time is more art than a science, especially in college football. We have done our best to estimate playing time for all players who are expected to see significant starting time in 2015. That being said, some playing time gaps have been filled in by our best approximations of average bench and role players on teams.

    After all of the math and analysis is conducted, we import each team's schedule and play EVERY game 50,000 times.

    Season Summary

    The bowl matchups below reflect our best projections based on the results from our predicted season. It is important to note, however, that there are not always objective means for bowl selection, especially with the newly formed College Football Playoff and its corresponding selection committee. We do our best to project what will happen based on expected win-loss records and conference championship game results.

    Here is the excerpt from this exact spot in last year's Season Summary (posted 8/14/2014):

    In the most likely College Football Playoff, ACC champion, Florida State, tops Big Ten champion Ohio State, by a score of 39-27 in the Rose Bowl (one of two bowls hosting the College Football Playoff Semifinals). In the Sugar Bowl, Oregon, the second-best team in the country based on the Predictalator's analysis, wins a shootout over Alabama, the most likely SEC champion, by an average score of 38-34... Baylor, the most likely Big 12 winner in this analysis, could be on the outside of the playoff looking in as the only "Big 5" title winner not in the four-team playoff. Not only do we expect a down year for the Big 12 (relative to where it was throughout the last decade), the lack of conference title game could be a problem. A one-loss Big 12 champion will have a tough time getting into the playoff over a one-loss Big Ten champion that also wins its conference championship. This is all theory, though, and not quite as easy to project as the win, losses and conference title game results.

    We are not going to forget that outcome around the PredictionMachine.com offices. The problem is that 2015 looks much tougher. Last season, Florida State, Oregon and Ohio State (pre-Braxton Miller injury when this was published) were clear, obvious favorites in their respective conferences and Alabama was the best team in the best conference and had a relatively (for an SEC West team) favorable schedule. At this time last year, the entire 2014 pool of logical potential playoff participants going into the year, included the actual four teams that made it, Baylor, Wisconsin (cake schedule) and the rest of the SEC West. That was about it.

    This year, only Ohio State is a clear Power 5 conference favorite. The Buckeyes lead all FBS teams with more than 11 projected wins (assuming JT Barrett is the starter in simulations, but it does not matter much who plays at QB of the options). After that, it gets really fuzzy. Clemson is the next most likely Power 5 conference champion, but the Tigers are only ranked 15th in our Power Rankings and they lose 2.5 games on average in what is clearly the weakest of the Power 5 Conferences. Unless a fluky team lucks out and goes undefeated (especially if that is Virginia Tech with a Week 1 win over the best team in the country), the ACC will likely be on the outside looking in for this year's CFP.

    That leaves the Big 12 (shut out last year), SEC, Pac-12 and Notre Dame as the likely suppliers of the other three playoff participants (as good as Michigan State is, only one Big Ten team is likely to get into the CFP). Look at the standings, power rankings and win totals below and you will see the situation we are dealing with this year. Alabama, Georgia, Baylor, Oregon and UCLA all have power rankings and win totals in line with the CFP discussion. Unfortunately, they also all play on the road or neutral sites against teams that are about as good (with #8 Georgia and #9 Oregon facing those issues in their respective Conference Championship Games). Alabama, #2 in our power rankings is an underdog at #5 Auburn. #3 Baylor is an underdog at #4 TCU and #10 UCLA travels across town to play #6 USC. That leaves us with a College Football Playoff that includes Ohio State, TCU, Auburn and USC, but does not include the second (Alabama) or third (Baylor) best teams in the country due to schedules and locations.

    In the CFP, Ohio State wins a semifinal matchup against Auburn, 33-30, and TCU bests USC, 35-34. In the College Football National Championship, Ohio State is the victor over TCU, 34-27.

    Notre Dame is a bit of wild card since the Irish are loaded with depth, experience and talent on both sides of the ball and, while playing a very good schedule, do not have quite as many obstacles to an undefeated or one loss regular season record as they usually do. The Irish (along with Clemson, Baylor, Michigan State, Boise State, UCLA, Georgia and Alabama) do make a "New Year's 6" bowl in our projections.

    In addition to the relative chaos and lack of clarity in conferences at the highest level, Notre Dame is part of a theme that is of great interest to me. Of those who took at least 50 snaps last year, some of the most dynamic quarterbacks in the country in 2014 were players who were not primary starters then but will be on marquee teams in 2015. Specifically, Deshaun Watson (Clemson), Jeremy Johnson (Auburn), Malik Zaire (Notre Dame) and Seth Russell (Baylor) put up gaudy numbers when called upon to play. None of them will likely be able to match the efficiency of 2014's small sample, but those are your players to watch for 2015. Layer in Josh Rosen (UCLA - probably), Cardale Jones (Ohio State - maybe), Brice Ramsey (Georgia), Mike Bercovici (Arizona State), Kyle Allen (Texas A&M) and Jacob Coker (Alabama - or whoever starts for the Tide) and this season should ultimately be defined by these incredibly talented quarterbacks who break out as new starters for 2015.

    In conference championship games, Clemson wins over Miami, 28-23, to win the ACC. Auburn, which earns its spot with a late-season home win in the Iron Bowl, takes another close game over Georgia, 33-31, to claim the SEC crown. USC tops Oregon by just a point in Santa Clara, 38-37 for the Pac-12 title. Ohio State gets by Wisconsin 37-23, easily in the Big Ten finale. And in non-Power 5 conference championships, Marshall edges LaTech, 27-25, for the C-USA championship, Toledo bests Ohio, 31-27, to take the MAC and Boise State gets by San Diego State, 32-19 to win the Mountain West. And, in the inaugural AAC Championship Game hosted at the new and improved Nippert Stadium (best record from either division), Cincinnati wins over Memphis, 34-27.

    See: How This Works, Bowl Summary and Conference Previews: AAC, ACC, Big 12, Big East, Big Ten, C-USA, Independents, MAC, MWC, Pac-12, SEC, Sun Belt

    AAC Preview

    Cincinnati Bearcats
    Power Rank: 55
    Offensive Rank: 38
    Defensive Rank: 84
    Conference Standing: 1
    Projected Bowl: Birmingham

    Memphis Tigers
    Power Rank: 66
    Offensive Rank: 63
    Defensive Rank: 72
    Conference Standing: 2
    Projected Bowl: Military

    Temple Owls
    Power Rank: 61
    Offensive Rank: 108
    Defensive Rank: 31
    Conference Standing: 3
    Projected Bowl: St. Petersburg

    Houston Cougars
    Power Rank: 71
    Offensive Rank: 76
    Defensive Rank: 59
    Conference Standing: 4
    Projected Bowl: Hawaii

    UCF Knights
    Power Rank: 63
    Offensive Rank: 81
    Defensive Rank: 36
    Conference Standing: 5
    Projected Bowl: Boca Raton

    East Carolina Pirates
    Power Rank: 76
    Offensive Rank: 47
    Defensive Rank: 94
    Conference Standing: 6
    Projected Bowl: Miami Beach

    Tulane Wave
    Power Rank: 86
    Offensive Rank: 102
    Defensive Rank: 67
    Conference Standing: 7
    Projected Bowl: Cure

    Navy Midshipmen
    Power Rank: 88
    Offensive Rank: 90
    Defensive Rank: 70
    Conference Standing: 8
    Projected Bowl: Poinsettia

    Tulsa Hurricane
    Power Rank: 101
    Offensive Rank: 55
    Defensive Rank: 120
    Conference Standing: 9
    Projected Bowl: None

    Connecticut Huskies
    Power Rank: 104
    Offensive Rank: 126
    Defensive Rank: 77
    Conference Standing: 10
    Projected Bowl: None

    SMU Mustangs
    Power Rank: 114
    Offensive Rank: 109
    Defensive Rank: 99
    Conference Standing: 11
    Projected Bowl: None

    USF Bulls
    Power Rank: 110
    Offensive Rank: 122
    Defensive Rank: 97
    Conference Standing: 12
    Projected Bowl: None

    See: How This Works, Bowl Summary and Conference Previews: AAC, ACC, Big 12, Big East, Big Ten, C-USA, Independents, MAC, MWC, Pac-12, SEC, Sun Belt

    ACC Preview

    Clemson Tigers
    Power Rank: 15
    Offensive Rank: 25
    Defensive Rank: 4
    Conference Standing: 1
    Projected Bowl: Peach
    Biggest Strength: Dynamic Pass Offense with Watson
    Greatest Weakness: Lines - Offensive and Defensive (especially with fragile Watson)
    Breakout Candidate: Shaq Lawson, DE/LB

    Florida State Seminoles
    Power Rank: 20
    Offensive Rank: 35
    Defensive Rank: 25
    Conference Standing: 2
    Projected Bowl: Belk
    Biggest Strength: Defensive Back Seven and Special Teams
    Greatest Weakness: Offensive Line
    Breakout Candidate: Mario Pender, RB

    Miami (FL) Hurricanes
    Power Rank: 23
    Offensive Rank: 42
    Defensive Rank: 20
    Conference Standing: 3
    Projected Bowl: TaxSlayer
    Biggest Strength: Balance and Efficiency (#7 FBS in 2014 in YPP Margin)
    Greatest Weakness: Lack of Experienced, Game-changing Playmakers
    Breakout Candidate: Stacy Coley, WR

    Virginia Tech Hokies
    Power Rank: 25
    Offensive Rank: 43
    Defensive Rank: 14
    Conference Standing: 4
    Projected Bowl: Russell Athletic
    Biggest Strength: Pass Defense
    Greatest Weakness: Limited Offensive Efficiency
    Breakout Candidate: Corey Marshall, DT/NT

    NC State Wolfpack
    Power Rank: 39
    Offensive Rank: 45
    Defensive Rank: 37
    Conference Standing: 5
    Projected Bowl: Quick Lane
    Biggest Strength: Experience and Athleticism
    Greatest Weakness: Special Teams
    Breakout Candidate: David Grinnage, TE

    Georgia Tech Jackets
    Power Rank: 19
    Offensive Rank: 20
    Defensive Rank: 35
    Conference Standing: 6
    Projected Bowl: Military
    Biggest Strength: Offensive Efficiency - Experience at QB and OL
    Greatest Weakness: Run Defense
    Breakout Candidate: Ricky Jeune, WR

    Louisville Cardinals
    Power Rank: 34
    Offensive Rank: 51
    Defensive Rank: 13
    Conference Standing: 7
    Projected Bowl: Sun
    Biggest Strength: Coaching Staff (and New Transfers They Bring)
    Greatest Weakness: Turnover and Turnovers
    Breakout Candidate: Josh Harvey-Clemons, S

    North Carolina Tar Heels
    Power Rank: 47
    Offensive Rank: 21
    Defensive Rank: 91
    Conference Standing: 8
    Projected Bowl: Pinstripe
    Biggest Strength: Offensive Efficiency and Experience
    Greatest Weakness: Defense (It's All Bad)
    Breakout Candidate: Nazair Jones, DT

    Pittsburgh Panthers
    Power Rank: 42
    Offensive Rank: 36
    Defensive Rank: 44
    Conference Standing: 9
    Projected Bowl: Independence
    Biggest Strength: Explosive Offensive Playmakers (and Easy Schedule)
    Greatest Weakness: Continued Coaching Turnover (though this staff looks better than the last)
    Breakout Candidate: Reggie Mitchell, S

    Boston College Eagles
    Power Rank: 57
    Offensive Rank: 87
    Defensive Rank: 19
    Conference Standing: 10
    Projected Bowl: None
    Biggest Strength: Run Defense and Special Teams
    Greatest Weakness: Everything Else
    Breakout Candidate: Jon Hilliman, RB

    Duke Devils
    Power Rank: 59
    Offensive Rank: 66
    Defensive Rank: 56
    Conference Standing: 11
    Projected Bowl: None
    Biggest Strength: Secondary
    Greatest Weakness: Lack of Explosive Offensive Playmakers
    Breakout Candidate: Thomas Sirk, QB

    Syracuse Orange
    Power Rank: 83
    Offensive Rank: 110
    Defensive Rank: 58
    Conference Standing: 12
    Projected Bowl: None
    Biggest Strength: Young, Aggressive Defense
    Greatest Weakness: Pass Offense and Defensive Inexperience
    Breakout Candidate: Devante McFarlane, RB

    Virginia Cavaliers
    Power Rank: 54
    Offensive Rank: 61
    Defensive Rank: 43
    Conference Standing: 13
    Projected Bowl: None
    Biggest Strength: Solid Defense (Though Only 5 Starters Return)
    Greatest Weakness: Inexperience, Tough Schedule, Bad Offense
    Breakout Candidate: Quin Blanding, S

    Wake Forest Deacons
    Power Rank: 94
    Offensive Rank: 128
    Defensive Rank: 42
    Conference Standing: 14
    Projected Bowl: None
    Biggest Strength: Experience
    Greatest Weakness: Lack of Talent, Terrible Offense
    Breakout Candidate: Brad Watson, CB

    See: How This Works, Bowl Summary and Conference Previews: AAC, ACC, Big 12, Big East, Big Ten, C-USA, Independents, MAC, MWC, Pac-12, SEC, Sun Belt

    Big 12 Preview

    TCU Frogs
    Power Rank: 4
    Offensive Rank: 4
    Defensive Rank: 22
    Conference Standing: 1
    Projected Bowl: CFP
    Biggest Strength: Balance and Efficiency (#2 FBS in 2014 in YPP Margin)
    Greatest Weakness: Inexperience at LB and Secondary
    Breakout Candidate: Mike Freeze, LB

    Baylor Bears
    Power Rank: 3
    Offensive Rank: 1
    Defensive Rank: 33
    Conference Standing: 2
    Projected Bowl: Sugar
    Biggest Strength: Explosive Playmakers at Every Position
    Greatest Weakness: Quarterback Turnover (and TCU on the road)
    Breakout Candidate: Seth Russell, QB

    Oklahoma Sooners
    Power Rank: 17
    Offensive Rank: 6
    Defensive Rank: 41
    Conference Standing: 3
    Projected Bowl: Alamo
    Biggest Strength: Running Game (Offense and Defense)
    Greatest Weakness: Passing Game (Offense and Defense)
    Breakout Candidate: Devante Bond, LB

    West Virginia Mountaineers
    Power Rank: 22
    Offensive Rank: 14
    Defensive Rank: 30
    Conference Standing: 4
    Projected Bowl: Cactus
    Biggest Strength: Secondary and Special Teams
    Greatest Weakness: Quarterback Uncertainty
    Breakout Candidate: Shelton Gibson, WR

    Oklahoma State Cowboys
    Power Rank: 28
    Offensive Rank: 24
    Defensive Rank: 50
    Conference Standing: 5
    Projected Bowl: Liberty
    Biggest Strength: Secondary and Special Teams
    Greatest Weakness: Mistake Prone
    Breakout Candidate: Chris Carson, RB

    Kansas State Wildcats
    Power Rank: 43
    Offensive Rank: 49
    Defensive Rank: 29
    Conference Standing: 6
    Projected Bowl: Russell Athletic
    Biggest Strength: Bill Snyder (and Staff)
    Greatest Weakness: Lacking Talent and Athleticism of Better Ranked Big 12 Teams
    Breakout Candidate: Alex Delton, QB

    Texas Longhorns
    Power Rank: 36
    Offensive Rank: 56
    Defensive Rank: 24
    Conference Standing: 7
    Projected Bowl: Texas
    Biggest Strength: Pass Defense
    Greatest Weakness: Pass Offense and Defensive Inexperience
    Breakout Candidate: Malik Jackson, LB

    Texas Tech Raiders
    Power Rank: 37
    Offensive Rank: 9
    Defensive Rank: 102
    Conference Standing: 8
    Projected Bowl: Heart of Dallas
    Biggest Strength: Offense
    Greatest Weakness: Defense (It's that Straight-Forward)
    Breakout Candidate: Mike Mitchell, DE/LB

    Iowa State Cyclones
    Power Rank: 68
    Offensive Rank: 53
    Defensive Rank: 92
    Conference Standing: 9
    Projected Bowl: None
    Biggest Strength: Special Teams and Experienced QB
    Greatest Weakness: Lack of Explosive Offensive Playmakers
    Breakout Candidate: Jake Campos, OT

    Kansas Jayhawks
    Power Rank: 108
    Offensive Rank: 114
    Defensive Rank: 113
    Conference Standing: 10
    Projected Bowl: None
    Biggest Strength: [insert "I Don't Know" Emoji Gif]
    Greatest Weakness: College Football
    Breakout Candidate: Ke'aun Kinner, RB

    See: How This Works, Bowl Summary and Conference Previews: AAC, ACC, Big 12, Big East, Big Ten, C-USA, Independents, MAC, MWC, Pac-12, SEC, Sun Belt

    Big 10 Preview

    Ohio State Buckeyes
    Power Rank: 1
    Offensive Rank: 8
    Defensive Rank: 8
    Conference Standing: 1
    Projected Bowl: CFP
    Biggest Strength: College Football
    Greatest Weakness: Early Suspensions (and Too Many Quarterbacks???)
    Breakout Candidate: Tyquan Lewis, DE

    Michigan State Spartans
    Power Rank: 7
    Offensive Rank: 10
    Defensive Rank: 9
    Conference Standing: 2
    Projected Bowl: Rose
    Biggest Strength: Passing Game (Offense and Defense)
    Greatest Weakness: Loss of defensive coordinator Pat Narduzzi (especially early against Oregon)
    Breakout Candidate: Madre London, RB

    Wisconsin Badgers
    Power Rank: 31
    Offensive Rank: 44
    Defensive Rank: 12
    Conference Standing: 3
    Projected Bowl: Outback
    Biggest Strength: Secondary and Run Offense
    Greatest Weakness: Turnover - Players and Coaches
    Breakout Candidate: Corey Clement, RB

    Penn State Lions
    Power Rank: 30
    Offensive Rank: 57
    Defensive Rank: 1
    Conference Standing: 4
    Projected Bowl: Citrus
    Biggest Strength: Defense (all of it)
    Greatest Weakness: Innefficient Run Offense
    Breakout Candidate: Garrett Sickels, DE

    Iowa Hawkeyes
    Power Rank: 51
    Offensive Rank: 60
    Defensive Rank: 27
    Conference Standing: 5
    Projected Bowl: Quick Lane
    Biggest Strength: Coaching Staff Stability
    Greatest Weakness: Running Game (Offense and Defense)
    Breakout Candidate: Boone Myers, OT

    Nebraska Cornhuskers
    Power Rank: 44
    Offensive Rank: 33
    Defensive Rank: 65
    Conference Standing: 6
    Projected Bowl: Music City
    Biggest Strength: Explosive Playmakers at Every Position
    Greatest Weakness: Mistake Prone
    Breakout Candidate: Michael Rose-Ivey, LB

    Michigan Wolverines
    Power Rank: 41
    Offensive Rank: 69
    Defensive Rank: 15
    Conference Standing: 7
    Projected Bowl: Holiday
    Biggest Strength: Talent Across the Board (Players and Coaches)
    Greatest Weakness: Pass Offense
    Breakout Candidate: Jabrill Peppers, S (let's try this again)

    Minnesota Gophers
    Power Rank: 52
    Offensive Rank: 75
    Defensive Rank: 28
    Conference Standing: 8
    Projected Bowl: Armed Forces
    Biggest Strength: Pass Defense (and Jerry Kill)
    Greatest Weakness: Lacking Talent and Athleticism of Better Ranked Big 10 Teams
    Breakout Candidate: Duke Anyanwu, TE

    Northwestern Wildcats
    Power Rank: 56
    Offensive Rank: 85
    Defensive Rank: 23
    Conference Standing: 9
    Projected Bowl: Pinstripe
    Biggest Strength: Defense
    Greatest Weakness: Offense (It's that Straight-Forward)
    Breakout Candidate: Clayton Thorson, QB

    Indiana Hoosiers
    Power Rank: 70
    Offensive Rank: 67
    Defensive Rank: 78
    Conference Standing: 10
    Projected Bowl: Foster Farms
    Biggest Strength: Offensive Line
    Greatest Weakness: Inexperienced Defense
    Breakout Candidate: Jordan Howard, RB

    Illinois Illini
    Power Rank: 65
    Offensive Rank: 58
    Defensive Rank: 81
    Conference Standing: 11
    Projected Bowl: None
    Biggest Strength: Offensive Skill Positions
    Greatest Weakness: Brutal Big Ten Schedule
    Breakout Candidate: Austin Schmidt, OT

    Maryland Terrapins
    Power Rank: 78
    Offensive Rank: 95
    Defensive Rank: 73
    Conference Standing: 12
    Projected Bowl: None
    Biggest Strength: Pass Defense
    Greatest Weakness: Inexperience (at Every Position but DB)
    Breakout Candidate: Quinton Jefferson, DE

    Rutgers Knights
    Power Rank: 80
    Offensive Rank: 64
    Defensive Rank: 90
    Conference Standing: 13
    Projected Bowl: None
    Biggest Strength: Special Teams and Running Back Depth
    Greatest Weakness: Inexperience (at Every Position but RB)
    Breakout Candidate: Kaiwan Lewis, LB

    Purdue Boilermakers
    Power Rank: 75
    Offensive Rank: 94
    Defensive Rank: 57
    Conference Standing: 14
    Projected Bowl: None
    Biggest Strength: Running Game (Offense and Defense)
    Greatest Weakness: Passing Game (Offense and Defense)
    Breakout Candidate: Evan Panfil, DE

    See: How This Works, Bowl Summary and Conference Previews: AAC, ACC, Big 12, Big East, Big Ten, C-USA, Independents, MAC, MWC, Pac-12, SEC, Sun Belt

    C-USA Preview

    Marshall Herd
    Power Rank: 49
    Offensive Rank: 40
    Defensive Rank: 74
    Conference Standing: 1
    Projected Bowl: Heart of Dallas

    Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
    Power Rank: 50
    Offensive Rank: 65
    Defensive Rank: 34
    Conference Standing: 2
    Projected Bowl: St. Petersburg

    Middle Tennessee Raiders
    Power Rank: 73
    Offensive Rank: 62
    Defensive Rank: 82
    Conference Standing: 3
    Projected Bowl: Bahamas

    Rice Owls
    Power Rank: 87
    Offensive Rank: 83
    Defensive Rank: 87
    Conference Standing: 4
    Projected Bowl: New Orleans

    WKU Hilltoppers
    Power Rank: 69
    Offensive Rank: 31
    Defensive Rank: 110
    Conference Standing: 5
    Projected Bowl: Miami Beach

    Southern Miss Eagles
    Power Rank: 96
    Offensive Rank: 74
    Defensive Rank: 104
    Conference Standing: 6
    Projected Bowl: New Mexico

    FIU Panthers
    Power Rank: 93
    Offensive Rank: 120
    Defensive Rank: 52
    Conference Standing: 7
    Projected Bowl: None

    Old Dominion Monarchs
    Power Rank: 117
    Offensive Rank: 89
    Defensive Rank: 121
    Conference Standing: 8
    Projected Bowl: None

    UTEP Miners
    Power Rank: 112
    Offensive Rank: 117
    Defensive Rank: 76
    Conference Standing: 9
    Projected Bowl: None

    North Texas Green
    Power Rank: 105
    Offensive Rank: 123
    Defensive Rank: 83
    Conference Standing: 10
    Projected Bowl: None

    Florida Atlantic Owls
    Power Rank: 111
    Offensive Rank: 112
    Defensive Rank: 108
    Conference Standing: 11
    Projected Bowl: None

    Charlotte 49ers
    Power Rank: 128
    Offensive Rank: 125
    Defensive Rank: 125
    Conference Standing: 12
    Projected Bowl: None

    UTSA Roadrunners
    Power Rank: 124
    Offensive Rank: 127
    Defensive Rank: 114
    Conference Standing: 13
    Projected Bowl: None

    See: How This Works, Bowl Summary and Conference Previews: AAC, ACC, Big 12, Big East, Big Ten, C-USA, Independents, MAC, MWC, Pac-12, SEC, Sun Belt

    Independents Preview

    Notre Dame Irish
    Power Rank: 13
    Offensive Rank: 12
    Defensive Rank: 18
    Conference Standing: 1
    Projected Bowl: Fiesta

    Brigham Young Cougars
    Power Rank: 48
    Offensive Rank: 39
    Defensive Rank: 69
    Conference Standing: 2
    Projected Bowl: Hawaii

    Army Knights
    Power Rank: 123
    Offensive Rank: 118
    Defensive Rank: 105
    Conference Standing: 3
    Projected Bowl: None

    See: How This Works, Bowl Summary and Conference Previews: AAC, ACC, Big 12, Big East, Big Ten, C-USA, Independents, MAC, MWC, Pac-12, SEC, Sun Belt

    MAC Preview

    Toledo Rockets
    Power Rank: 72
    Offensive Rank: 48
    Defensive Rank: 86
    Conference Standing: 1
    Projected Bowl: Bahamas

    Northern Illinois Huskies
    Power Rank: 74
    Offensive Rank: 70
    Defensive Rank: 71
    Conference Standing: 2
    Projected Bowl: GoDaddy

    Western Michigan Broncos
    Power Rank: 62
    Offensive Rank: 54
    Defensive Rank: 66
    Conference Standing: 3
    Projected Bowl: Boca Raton

    Ohio Bobcats
    Power Rank: 84
    Offensive Rank: 88
    Defensive Rank: 75
    Conference Standing: 4
    Projected Bowl: Idaho Potato

    Ball State Cardinals
    Power Rank: 89
    Offensive Rank: 79
    Defensive Rank: 88
    Conference Standing: 5
    Projected Bowl: Camellia

    Massachusetts Minutemen
    Power Rank: 91
    Offensive Rank: 78
    Defensive Rank: 103
    Conference Standing: 6
    Projected Bowl: None

    Akron Zips
    Power Rank: 102
    Offensive Rank: 111
    Defensive Rank: 100
    Conference Standing: 7
    Projected Bowl: None

    Bowling Green Falcons
    Power Rank: 92
    Offensive Rank: 52
    Defensive Rank: 126
    Conference Standing: 8
    Projected Bowl: None

    Buffalo Bulls
    Power Rank: 115
    Offensive Rank: 91
    Defensive Rank: 107
    Conference Standing: 9
    Projected Bowl: None

    Central Michigan Chippewas
    Power Rank: 107
    Offensive Rank: 119
    Defensive Rank: 80
    Conference Standing: 10
    Projected Bowl: None

    Kent State Flashes
    Power Rank: 109
    Offensive Rank: 121
    Defensive Rank: 95
    Conference Standing: 11
    Projected Bowl: None

    Miami (OH) Redhawks
    Power Rank: 116
    Offensive Rank: 116
    Defensive Rank: 109
    Conference Standing: 12
    Projected Bowl: None

    Eastern Michigan Eagles
    Power Rank: 127
    Offensive Rank: 124
    Defensive Rank: 122
    Conference Standing: 13
    Projected Bowl: None

    See: How This Works, Bowl Summary and Conference Previews: AAC, ACC, Big 12, Big East, Big Ten, C-USA, Independents, MAC, MWC, Pac-12, SEC, Sun Belt

    Mountain West Preview

    Boise State Broncos
    Power Rank: 27
    Offensive Rank: 30
    Defensive Rank: 39
    Conference Standing: 1
    Projected Bowl: Fiesta

    San Diego State Aztecs
    Power Rank: 67
    Offensive Rank: 92
    Defensive Rank: 47
    Conference Standing: 2
    Projected Bowl: Poinsettia

    Utah State Aggies
    Power Rank: 58
    Offensive Rank: 71
    Defensive Rank: 64
    Conference Standing: 3
    Projected Bowl: Las Vegas

    Colorado State Rams
    Power Rank: 85
    Offensive Rank: 72
    Defensive Rank: 93
    Conference Standing: 4
    Projected Bowl: Armed Forces

    San Jose State Spartans
    Power Rank: 90
    Offensive Rank: 97
    Defensive Rank: 62
    Conference Standing: 5
    Projected Bowl: Idaho Potato

    Air Force Falcons
    Power Rank: 99
    Offensive Rank: 99
    Defensive Rank: 89
    Conference Standing: 6
    Projected Bowl: New Mexico

    Nevada Pack
    Power Rank: 103
    Offensive Rank: 96
    Defensive Rank: 111
    Conference Standing: 7
    Projected Bowl: None

    Hawaii Warriors
    Power Rank: 98
    Offensive Rank: 101
    Defensive Rank: 98
    Conference Standing: 8
    Projected Bowl: None

    New Mexico Lobos
    Power Rank: 113
    Offensive Rank: 100
    Defensive Rank: 118
    Conference Standing: 9
    Projected Bowl: None

    Wyoming Cowboys
    Power Rank: 121
    Offensive Rank: 103
    Defensive Rank: 112
    Conference Standing: 10
    Projected Bowl: None

    Fresno State Bulldogs
    Power Rank: 106
    Offensive Rank: 80
    Defensive Rank: 115
    Conference Standing: 11
    Projected Bowl: None

    UNLV Rebels
    Power Rank: 126
    Offensive Rank: 106
    Defensive Rank: 128
    Conference Standing: 12
    Projected Bowl: None

    See: How This Works, Bowl Summary and Conference Previews: AAC, ACC, Big 12, Big East, Big Ten, C-USA, Independents, MAC, MWC, Pac-12, SEC, Sun Belt

    Pac-12 Preview

    USC Trojans
    Power Rank: 6
    Offensive Rank: 2
    Defensive Rank: 48
    Conference Standing: 1
    Projected Bowl: CFP
    Biggest Strength: Passing Game (Offense and Defense)
    Greatest Weakness: Tough Pac-12 Schedule
    Breakout Candidate: Scott Felix, DE/LB

    Oregon Ducks
    Power Rank: 9
    Offensive Rank: 3
    Defensive Rank: 51
    Conference Standing: 2
    Projected Bowl: Alamo
    Biggest Strength: Speed, Talent and Scheme
    Greatest Weakness: Turnover (Especially in Secondary and at QB)
    Breakout Candidate: Chris Seisay, CB

    UCLA Bruins
    Power Rank: 10
    Offensive Rank: 7
    Defensive Rank: 40
    Conference Standing: 3
    Projected Bowl: Rose
    Biggest Strength: Talent, Balance and Experience
    Greatest Weakness: New Quarterback and Tough Schedule
    Breakout Candidate: Josh Rosen, QB

    Stanford Cardinal
    Power Rank: 16
    Offensive Rank: 37
    Defensive Rank: 5
    Conference Standing: 4
    Projected Bowl: Holiday
    Biggest Strength: Offensive Depth and Talent
    Greatest Weakness: Inexperienced Defense
    Breakout Candidate: Christian McCaffrey, RB

    Arizona State Devils
    Power Rank: 24
    Offensive Rank: 22
    Defensive Rank: 32
    Conference Standing: 5
    Projected Bowl: Cactus
    Biggest Strength: Balance (Good and Experienced in Every Facet)
    Greatest Weakness: Lack of Elite Skill (Not Great at Anything)
    Breakout Candidate: Kweishi Brown, DB

    Utah Utes
    Power Rank: 26
    Offensive Rank: 34
    Defensive Rank: 38
    Conference Standing: 6
    Projected Bowl: Sun
    Biggest Strength: Run Defense (Like Every Year)
    Greatest Weakness: QB Uncertainty
    Breakout Candidate: Lowell Lotulelei, DT/NT

    Arizona Wildcats
    Power Rank: 32
    Offensive Rank: 17
    Defensive Rank: 54
    Conference Standing: 7
    Projected Bowl: Foster Farms
    Biggest Strength: Explosive Playmakers - Offense and Defense
    Greatest Weakness: Lack of Depth or Experience (Especially in Secondary)
    Breakout Candidate: Jarvis McCall, DB

    California Bears
    Power Rank: 35
    Offensive Rank: 5
    Defensive Rank: 96
    Conference Standing: 8
    Projected Bowl: Las Vegas
    Biggest Strength: Pass Offense and Scheme
    Greatest Weakness: Pass Defense
    Breakout Candidate: Bryce Treggs, WR

    Colorado Buffaloes
    Power Rank: 45
    Offensive Rank: 27
    Defensive Rank: 55
    Conference Standing: 9
    Projected Bowl: Hawaii
    Biggest Strength: Experience
    Greatest Weakness: Lack of Great Skill (Not Above Average in Pac-12 at Anything)
    Breakout Candidate: Derek McCartney, DE

    Washington State Cougars
    Power Rank: 53
    Offensive Rank: 15
    Defensive Rank: 85
    Conference Standing: 10
    Projected Bowl: None
    Biggest Strength: Offensive Line
    Greatest Weakness: Pass Defense
    Breakout Candidate: Gabe Marks, WR

    Washington Huskies
    Power Rank: 60
    Offensive Rank: 68
    Defensive Rank: 60
    Conference Standing: 11
    Projected Bowl: None
    Biggest Strength: Chris Petersen
    Greatest Weakness: Inexperience (Especially on Offensive and Defensive Lines)
    Breakout Candidate: Elijah Qualls, DT/NT

    Oregon State Beavers
    Power Rank: 77
    Offensive Rank: 86
    Defensive Rank: 46
    Conference Standing: 12
    Projected Bowl: None
    Biggest Strength: Run Offense
    Greatest Weakness: Everything Else
    Breakout Candidate: Jordan Villamin, WR

    See: How This Works, Bowl Summary and Conference Previews: AAC, ACC, Big 12, Big East, Big Ten, C-USA, Independents, MAC, MWC, Pac-12, SEC, Sun Belt

    Sun Belt Preview

    App State Mountaineers
    Power Rank: 79
    Offensive Rank: 82
    Defensive Rank: 63
    Conference Standing: 1
    Projected Bowl: GoDaddy

    Georgia Southern Eagles
    Power Rank: 81
    Offensive Rank: 77
    Defensive Rank: 79
    Conference Standing: 2
    Projected Bowl: New Orleans

    Arkansas State Wolves
    Power Rank: 82
    Offensive Rank: 50
    Defensive Rank: 106
    Conference Standing: 3
    Projected Bowl: Cure

    Texas State Bobcats
    Power Rank: 97
    Offensive Rank: 59
    Defensive Rank: 123
    Conference Standing: 4
    Projected Bowl: Camellia

    ULL Cajuns
    Power Rank: 100
    Offensive Rank: 93
    Defensive Rank: 101
    Conference Standing: 5
    Projected Bowl: None

    UL-Monroe Warhawks
    Power Rank: 95
    Offensive Rank: 115
    Defensive Rank: 68
    Conference Standing: 6
    Projected Bowl: None

    Georgia State Panthers
    Power Rank: 118
    Offensive Rank: 104
    Defensive Rank: 119
    Conference Standing: 7
    Projected Bowl: None

    South Alabama Jaguars
    Power Rank: 119
    Offensive Rank: 113
    Defensive Rank: 116
    Conference Standing: 8
    Projected Bowl: None

    Troy Trojans
    Power Rank: 122
    Offensive Rank: 105
    Defensive Rank: 124
    Conference Standing: 9
    Projected Bowl: None

    Idaho Vandals
    Power Rank: 125
    Offensive Rank: 84
    Defensive Rank: 127
    Conference Standing: 10
    Projected Bowl: None

    See: How This Works, Bowl Summary and Conference Previews: AAC, ACC, Big 12, Big East, Big Ten, C-USA, Independents, MAC, MWC, Pac-12, SEC, Sun Belt

    SEC Preview

    Auburn Tigers
    Power Rank: 5
    Offensive Rank: 11
    Defensive Rank: 17
    Conference Standing: 1
    Projected Bowl: CFP
    Biggest Strength: Explosive, Balanced Offense and Scheme (Plus Alabama at Home)
    Greatest Weakness: Inexperienced Skill Position Players
    Breakout Candidate: Jeremy Johnson, QB

    Georgia Bulldogs
    Power Rank: 8
    Offensive Rank: 19
    Defensive Rank: 11
    Conference Standing: 2
    Projected Bowl: Peach
    Biggest Strength: Run Offense
    Greatest Weakness: QB Uncertainty
    Breakout Candidate: Trenton Thompson, DT

    Alabama Tide
    Power Rank: 2
    Offensive Rank: 13
    Defensive Rank: 6
    Conference Standing: 3
    Projected Bowl: Sugar
    Biggest Strength: Elite Talent and Balance
    Greatest Weakness: Inexperience on Offense (and Have to Play at Auburn)
    Breakout Candidate: ArDarius Stewart, WR

    LSU Tigers
    Power Rank: 11
    Offensive Rank: 23
    Defensive Rank: 10
    Conference Standing: 4
    Projected Bowl: Outback
    Biggest Strength: Elite Talent and Balance
    Greatest Weakness: Run Defense (relative to everything else)
    Breakout Candidate: Jamal Adams, S

    Ole Miss Rebels
    Power Rank: 14
    Offensive Rank: 32
    Defensive Rank: 3
    Conference Standing: 5
    Projected Bowl: Liberty
    Biggest Strength: Running Game (Offense and Defense)
    Greatest Weakness: QB Uncertainty and Mistake Prone
    Breakout Candidate: Chad Kelly, QB

    Tennessee Volunteers
    Power Rank: 18
    Offensive Rank: 29
    Defensive Rank: 7
    Conference Standing: 6
    Projected Bowl: Citrus
    Biggest Strength: Experience and Athleticism
    Greatest Weakness: Limited Pass Offense
    Breakout Candidate: Kahlil McKenzie, DT

    Arkansas Razorbacks
    Power Rank: 12
    Offensive Rank: 26
    Defensive Rank: 2
    Conference Standing: 7
    Projected Bowl: TaxSlayer
    Biggest Strength: Offensive Line
    Greatest Weakness: Brutal Division (#12 team in FBS, #5 in SEC West)
    Breakout Candidate: Bijhon Jackson, DT

    Missouri Tigers
    Power Rank: 29
    Offensive Rank: 46
    Defensive Rank: 16
    Conference Standing: 8
    Projected Bowl: Belk
    Biggest Strength: Overall Defense (even with DC Change) and Easy SEC Schedule
    Greatest Weakness: Limited Pass Offense (with Lack of Weapons)
    Breakout Candidate: DeSean Blair, WR

    Texas A&M Aggies
    Power Rank: 21
    Offensive Rank: 16
    Defensive Rank: 49
    Conference Standing: 9
    Projected Bowl: Music City
    Biggest Strength: Explosive Playmakers (Offense and Defense)
    Greatest Weakness: Allow Big Plays/Mistake Prone
    Breakout Candidate: Speedy Noil, WR

    Kentucky Wildcats
    Power Rank: 38
    Offensive Rank: 28
    Defensive Rank: 53
    Conference Standing: 10
    Projected Bowl: Birmingham
    Biggest Strength: Balance (Decent and Experienced in Every Facet)
    Greatest Weakness: Lack of Elite Skill (Not Great at Anything)
    Breakout Candidate: Dorian Baker, WR

    Mississippi State Bulldogs
    Power Rank: 33
    Offensive Rank: 18
    Defensive Rank: 61
    Conference Standing: 11
    Projected Bowl: Texas
    Biggest Strength: Dak Prescott
    Greatest Weakness: Inexperience (Fewest Returning Starters in Power 5)
    Breakout Candidate: Beniquez Brown, LB

    Florida Gators
    Power Rank: 40
    Offensive Rank: 73
    Defensive Rank: 21
    Conference Standing: 12
    Projected Bowl: Independence
    Biggest Strength: Secondary
    Greatest Weakness: Offense (All of It)
    Breakout Candidate: Will Grier, QB

    South Carolina Gamecocks
    Power Rank: 46
    Offensive Rank: 41
    Defensive Rank: 45
    Conference Standing: 13
    Projected Bowl: None
    Biggest Strength: Easy SEC Schedule
    Greatest Weakness: Inexperienced Offense/Quarterback
    Breakout Candidate: Gerald Dixon, DE (one of them, probably)

    Vanderbilt Commodores
    Power Rank: 64
    Offensive Rank: 98
    Defensive Rank: 26
    Conference Standing: 14
    Projected Bowl: None
    Biggest Strength: Experienced Youth (and Regression from 2014)
    Greatest Weakness: Still Clearly Least Talented Team in Toughest Conference
    Breakout Candidate: Taurean Ferguson, CB

    This technology has consistently generated great returns in college football. College Football Locks of the Week on the site are 53-24 (69% ATS) over five seasons, which includes going 24-8 (75% ATS) in the last two seasons). Featured, "normal" Over/Under plays (greater than 57% confidence in the pick) have gone 348-255 (58% O/U) all-time.

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