New User? Sign Up / Forgot Your Password?

Quick Weekend Review (10/4/11)

By Paul Bessire

Tuesday, October 4 at 2:30 PM ET
As alluded to in previous weeks, I was unable to update the blog due to travel yesterday. Since it is very important to us to be transparent and honest about our picks, I always try to recap each football weekend. While I'm already busy working on this week's picks, power rankings, playoff probabilities and fantasy information, coming off a 10-5-1 ATS NFL week where we went 4-0 on "Paul's Picks" and actually hit all 16 picks for 7-point teasers (all five of our losses came down to the wire, with Chicago, Dallas, Buffalo and the Cardinals breaking against us in the last few minutes... 16-team, 7-point teasers should payout 100:1 if available, though most books have a maximum team limit below that), I figured I should update the numbers. College has not been strong over the last two weeks, but I feel we must still disclose performance in both. Plus, we hit the Lock of Week in college; the Play Analyzer worked more in our favor this week in college than it had in past weeks; and we are still over .500 in the college "Paul's Picks" (and expect to see improvement there).

At this point, through Monday, Paul's Picks, which include the top three ATS plays Saturday and Sunday as well as the top weekday college against-the-spread (ATS) plays and the Monday Night play, are 22-13 ATS (63%) to start the season. The ATS Top Plays of the Day, the strongest opinion ATS each day overall in football are 13-9 ATS (59%) and the "Locks of the Week" are 5-3 ATS (63%). Including last season, this brings our all-time record during football to 120-78 ATS (61%) for Paul's Picks, 86-45 ATS (66%) in ATS Top Plays of the Day and 33-15 ATS (69%) for Locks of the week.

As a reminder, at midnight ET each day, we make all of our previous day's subscriber content available for free for registered users. We're never going to hide anything. So even though we have to swap out articles in the archive to focus on new ones, articles never go away. Just make sure to use the correct week and date in the URL - or ask us for the link...

The Football Numbers:
Below are our win/loss stats from Week 5 in College Football and NFL Week 4 using playable picks (53%+ to cover) from our published articles.

  • All Playable Games ATS: 50% (25-25)
  • All Playable Games O/U: 50% (16-16)
  • Paul's Picks ATS: 63% (5-3)
  • Lock of the Week: 100% (2-0)
  • ATS Top Plays of the Day: 75% (3-1)

And here are the combined numbers for the season thus far:

  • All Playable Games ATS: 51% (103-100)
  • All Playable Games O/U: 52% (95-87)
  • Paul's Picks ATS: 63% (22-13)
  • Lock of the Week: 63% (5-3)
  • ATS Top Plays of the Day: 59% (13-9)

NFL Performance:
With the overwhelmingly greater number of games in college as opposed to the NFL - and with the strong performance of the NFL to-date - here are NFL-specific ATS numbers:

  • All Playable Games ATS: 63% (34-20)
  • Paul's Picks ATS: 75% (12-4)
  • Lock of the Week: 50% (2-2)
  • ATS Top Plays of the Day: 78% (7-2)

As usual, if you have any of your own comments about this article or suggestions about how to improve the site, please do not hesitate to contact us at any time. We respond to every support contact as quickly as we can (usually within a few hours) and are very amenable to suggestions. I firmly believe that open communication with our customers and user feedback is the best way for us to grow and provide the types of products that will maximize the experience for all. Thank you in advance for your suggestions, comments and questions.

Print This Article
PREVIOUS ARTICLE
Weekend Football Review (10/10/11)
NEXT ARTICLE
Weekend Football Review (9/19/11)
Want More Tips and Information? Click To Register!

COMMENTS

SEARCH BLOGS

ARCHIVE

Ad

The Predictalator

The Predictalator is the most advanced sports forecasting software available today because it has the ability to account for all of the relevant statistical interactions of the players, coaches, officials, home field advantage and weather in each game.

9/15/2014 Highlight: Using the ResultsFinder for the Week of September 8-14, one could find that all playable NFL Week 2 against-the-spread plays, led by our Lock of the Week (Houston -3, which covered by two touchdowns) went 7-6 (54% ATS), while all playable halftime sides went 8-4 (67% ATS). In college football's Week 3, all playable picks for the week went 43-31 (58% ATS and O/U). In the last two weeks, all playable college football picks are 77-54 (59% ATS and O/U). Baseball picks continue to cash as all highlighted, "normal" MLB plays went 10-7 (59% ML, O/U, and RL). In the last two weeks all normal MLB plays are 16-10 (62% ML, O/U, and RL).

Recommended Features

LOGIN

LATEST ARTICLES

NFL Picks - Week 3
For Week 3 in the NFL, there are five picks that cover the number more than 57% of the time to be considered "normal" or better plus an additional 20 sides and totals that are playable for the week. See this week's picks including Denver @ Seattle and more.

College Picks - Week 3
For Week 4 in the College Football, there are a total of 21 plays that cover the spread greater than 57% of the time to be considered "normal" or better, including six picks that cover more than 60% of the time as well as five predicted outright upsets. See this week's picks including Florida @ Alabama and more.

FIND US ONLINE


Statistical Information Provided by: SportsData © 2012

All registered accounts are subject to our General Terms Of Service. Content is intended for informational purposes only. This is not a gambling website.
Home | The Predictalator | Features | Privacy |  Customer Support |  Media Contact |  Sitemap |  Job Opportunities
© 2010-2014 PredictionMachine.com, LLC. All rights reserved. | Site Designed by Randombell.com