New User? Sign Up / Forgot Your Password?

Quick Weekend Review (10/4/11)

By Paul Bessire

Tuesday, October 4 at 2:30 PM ET
As alluded to in previous weeks, I was unable to update the blog due to travel yesterday. Since it is very important to us to be transparent and honest about our picks, I always try to recap each football weekend. While I'm already busy working on this week's picks, power rankings, playoff probabilities and fantasy information, coming off a 10-5-1 ATS NFL week where we went 4-0 on "Paul's Picks" and actually hit all 16 picks for 7-point teasers (all five of our losses came down to the wire, with Chicago, Dallas, Buffalo and the Cardinals breaking against us in the last few minutes... 16-team, 7-point teasers should payout 100:1 if available, though most books have a maximum team limit below that), I figured I should update the numbers. College has not been strong over the last two weeks, but I feel we must still disclose performance in both. Plus, we hit the Lock of Week in college; the Play Analyzer worked more in our favor this week in college than it had in past weeks; and we are still over .500 in the college "Paul's Picks" (and expect to see improvement there).

At this point, through Monday, Paul's Picks, which include the top three ATS plays Saturday and Sunday as well as the top weekday college against-the-spread (ATS) plays and the Monday Night play, are 22-13 ATS (63%) to start the season. The ATS Top Plays of the Day, the strongest opinion ATS each day overall in football are 13-9 ATS (59%) and the "Locks of the Week" are 5-3 ATS (63%). Including last season, this brings our all-time record during football to 120-78 ATS (61%) for Paul's Picks, 86-45 ATS (66%) in ATS Top Plays of the Day and 33-15 ATS (69%) for Locks of the week.

As a reminder, at midnight ET each day, we make all of our previous day's subscriber content available for free for registered users. We're never going to hide anything. So even though we have to swap out articles in the archive to focus on new ones, articles never go away. Just make sure to use the correct week and date in the URL - or ask us for the link...

The Football Numbers:
Below are our win/loss stats from Week 5 in College Football and NFL Week 4 using playable picks (53%+ to cover) from our published articles.

  • All Playable Games ATS: 50% (25-25)
  • All Playable Games O/U: 50% (16-16)
  • Paul's Picks ATS: 63% (5-3)
  • Lock of the Week: 100% (2-0)
  • ATS Top Plays of the Day: 75% (3-1)

And here are the combined numbers for the season thus far:

  • All Playable Games ATS: 51% (103-100)
  • All Playable Games O/U: 52% (95-87)
  • Paul's Picks ATS: 63% (22-13)
  • Lock of the Week: 63% (5-3)
  • ATS Top Plays of the Day: 59% (13-9)

NFL Performance:
With the overwhelmingly greater number of games in college as opposed to the NFL - and with the strong performance of the NFL to-date - here are NFL-specific ATS numbers:

  • All Playable Games ATS: 63% (34-20)
  • Paul's Picks ATS: 75% (12-4)
  • Lock of the Week: 50% (2-2)
  • ATS Top Plays of the Day: 78% (7-2)

As usual, if you have any of your own comments about this article or suggestions about how to improve the site, please do not hesitate to contact us at any time. We respond to every support contact as quickly as we can (usually within a few hours) and are very amenable to suggestions. I firmly believe that open communication with our customers and user feedback is the best way for us to grow and provide the types of products that will maximize the experience for all. Thank you in advance for your suggestions, comments and questions.

Print This Article
PREVIOUS ARTICLE
Weekend Football Review (10/10/11)
NEXT ARTICLE
Weekend Football Review (9/19/11)
Want More Tips and Information? Click To Register!

COMMENTS

SEARCH BLOGS

ARCHIVE

Ad

The Predictalator

The Predictalator is the most advanced sports forecasting software available today because it has the ability to account for all of the relevant statistical interactions of the players, coaches, officials, home field advantage and weather in each game.

Picks for every game, including our Play Value Key and Calculator recommendations for optimal bankroll management and access to the Play Analyzer can be purchased in the Shop.

10/20/2014 Highlight: Using the ResultsFinder for the Week of October 13 - 19, one could find that all playable NFL against-the-spread picks went 9-2 (82% ATS). This includes the Week 7 NFL Lock of the Week, Arizona (-3.5) at Oakland that covered in a 24-13 win. The College Football Lock of the Week, Michigan State (-14) at Indiana, also covered the spread. Football Locks of the Week are 5-1 (83% ATS) in the last three weeks and are 102-58 (64% ATS) since the site launched in 2010.

With the first pitch of the World Series Tuesday night, don't miss out on any of the action as all normal or better MLB Playoff picks have gone 4-2 (67% ML, O/U and RL) this postseason and all playable picks have generated a +$559 profit for a normal $50 player using play value recommendations. All-time, in the MLB postseason, all "normal" or better baseball plays are now 29-11 (73% ML, O/U and RL).

And with the season starting in less than a week, highlighted, "normal" or better Over/Under Season Win Total Picks in the NBA are 24-13 (65% O/U) all-time. Meanwhile, for the 2013-14 NBA season, "normal" or better full game and halftime picks generated a $4,311 profit for a normal $50 player using play value recommendations, including hitting 59% on normal over/under plays.

Recommended Features

LOGIN

LATEST ARTICLES

Cowboys vs. Broncos - Super Bowl
Cowboys vs. Broncos Super Bowl - which team wins?

NFL GameChangers - Week 7
GameChangers, we use our in-game technology to review the game-changing plays from the NFL and what the game would have looked like if the plays had turned out differently.

FIND US ONLINE


Statistical Information Provided by: SportsData © 2012

All registered accounts are subject to our General Terms Of Service. Content is intended for informational purposes only. This is not a gambling website.
Home | The Predictalator | Features | Privacy |  Customer Support |  Media Contact |  Sitemap
© 2010-2014 PredictionMachine.com, LLC. All rights reserved. | Site Designed by Randombell.com