MLB Picks - 7/31/2014

Last Updated: 7/31/2014 11:00 AM ET

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For baseball wagering tips, please see the MLB Betting Strategy Blog. If you are getting a different line than our projection or you are interested in teaser plays or other exotics that use different lines, we've got you covered. Simply access the Customizable Predictalator or the Play Analyzer, which allows you to run actual, future or totally hypothetical games while being able to input your own against-the-spread and over/under lines. Also, to know who we project to be OUT of each game, check out our injuries information.

Money-line Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
Rot Time (ET) ML Pick Opponent SU% Proj. SU% Needed ML $ Calc Analyze More
918 7:05 PM @Cle Sea 60.4 56.5 -130 $45 Analyze More
902 2:20 PM @ChC Col 68.2 65.5 -190 $39 Analyze More
922 8:10 PM @Hou Tor 49.8 46.5 115 $31 Analyze More
910 9:40 PM @Ari Upset Watch Pit 51.9 48.8 105 $30 Analyze More
913 1:08 PM CWS @Det 40.7 37.0 170 $29 Analyze More
905 7:05 PM Phi @Was 43.1 40.8 145 $19 Analyze More
911 10:10 PM Atl @LAD 36.9 35.7 180 $9 Analyze More
919 8:10 PM Min @KC 38.3 37.7 165 $5 Analyze More
907 7:10 PM Cin @Mia 54.6 54.5 -120 $1 Analyze More
903 3:40 PM StL @SD 49.6 50.0 -100 $0 Analyze More
916 7:05 PM @Bal LAA 48.0 48.8 105 $0 Analyze More


Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
Rot Time (ET) Matchup O/U Total Pick Pick% Proj. Pick% Need Odds $ Calc Analyze
911 10:10 PM ATL @ LAD 6 6.5 Over 54.1 47.6 110 $62 Analyze
907 7:10 PM CIN @ MIA 6.5 6.9 Over 52.8 51.2 -105 $16 Analyze
922 8:10 PM TOR @ HOU 8.5 7.8 Under 53.9 52.4 -110 $16 Analyze
910 9:40 PM PIT @ ARI 8.5 8.3 Under 51.2 50.0 100 $12 Analyze
902 2:20 PM COL @ CHC 8 7.9 Under 51.2 50.0 100 $12 Analyze
904 3:40 PM STL @ SD 7 7.0 Under 49.6 48.8 105 $8 Analyze
906 7:05 PM PHI @ WAS 7 6.7 Under 51.5 51.2 -105 $3 Analyze
913 1:08 PM CWS @ DET 9 8.9 Over 49.8 51.2 -105 $0 Analyze
918 7:05 PM SEA @ CLE 8.5 8.2 Under 51.8 52.4 -110 $0 Analyze
920 8:10 PM MIN @ KC 8 8.0 Under 49.7 51.2 -105 $0 Analyze
915 7:05 PM LAA @ BAL 9 8.7 Over 48.9 50.0 100 $0 Analyze


Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opponent Runs For Runs Against Win% Analyze
902 2:20 PM @ ChC Col 4.7 3.2 68.2 Analyze
912 10:10 PM @ LAD Atl 3.8 2.8 63.1 Analyze
920 8:10 PM @ KC Min 4.5 3.5 61.7 Analyze
918 7:05 PM @ Cle Sea 4.5 3.7 60.4 Analyze
914 1:08 PM @ Det CWS 4.8 4.1 59.3 Analyze
906 7:05 PM @ Was Phi 3.6 3.1 56.9 Analyze
907 7:10 PM Cin @ Mia 3.6 3.3 54.6 Analyze
915 7:05 PM LAA @ Bal 4.5 4.3 52.0 Analyze
910 9:40 PM @ Ari Upset Watch Pit 4.2 4.1 51.9 Analyze
904 3:40 PM @ SD StL 3.5 3.5 50.4 Analyze
921 8:10 PM Tor @ Hou 3.9 3.9 50.2 Analyze


Run-Line Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
Rot RL Pick Opp. RL Margin RL% Proj. RL% Need Odds $ Calc Analyze
913 CWS @DET 1.5 -0.8 59.2 54.5 -120 $51 Analyze
910 @ARI PIT 1.5 0.1 63.7 61.5 -160 $28 Analyze
922 @HOU TOR 1.5 -0.1 61.2 59.2 -145 $25 Analyze
902 @CHC COL -1.5 1.5 48.9 46.5 115 $22 Analyze
918 @CLE SEA -1.5 0.9 41.8 39.2 155 $21 Analyze
919 MIN @KC 1.5 -0.9 56.7 55.6 -125 $13 Analyze
905 PHI @WAS 1.5 -0.5 62.0 61.5 -160 $6 Analyze
907 CIN @MIA -1.5 0.3 41.4 40.8 145 $5 Analyze
911 ATL @LAD 1.5 -1.0 55.7 57.4 -135 $0 Analyze
903 STL @SD 1.5 0.0 67.9 68.8 -220 $0 Analyze
916 @BAL LAA 1.5 -0.2 59.1 60.8 -155 $0 Analyze

In the picks above, Margin, Runs For, Runs Against and Total Runs are averages from 50,000 games played. The RL% is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted run line. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. With Money-Line plays, any game for which neither team wins enough to justify value is ignored. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on “Calc” and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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