College Football Picks - Bowls

Last Updated: 12/26/2012

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Bowl Notes: Please note these assumptions for bowl season. The information below reflects our expectations from 50,000 game simulations of equally motivated teams playing on truly neutral fields (save for San Diego State which is playing on its actual home field), with the injured/suspended players out as noted on the Injury Report and with the coaching staff expected to be in place as of the "Last Updated" date above. All other games will only be updated as significant injury/suspension or coaching changes are announced. With each normal+ ATS pick counting as a "Paul's Pick," each of those games will be broken down in the Paul's Pick section three days before the game. And remember that subscribers to the picks also gain access to thePlay Analyzer and Customizable Predictalator to evaluate any game (on a neutral field or with either team receiving home field advantage) at any line. The Play Analyzer's "consensus lines" feature does almost all of this work for you.

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Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

Rot Date ATS Pick Opponent Line Margin Win% ATS Calc Play Live
245 12/31/2012 LSU Paul's Pick Top ATS Play of the Day CLEM -3.5 10.5 61.0 Calc --> Play  
221 12/27/2012 BAYLOR Paul's Pick Upset Watch UCLA 1.5 8.5 60.8 Calc --> Play  
240 12/31/2012 VANDY Paul's Pick NCSU -6.5 12.7 60.1 Calc --> Play  
202 12/15/2012 ARI Paul's Pick NEVADA -9.5 17.3 59.7 Calc --> Play  
255 1/1/2013 WISC Paul's Pick STAN 7 -1.3 59.6 Calc --> Play  
243 12/31/2012 IAST Paul's Pick Upset Watch TULSA 1.5 4.3 58.4 Calc --> Play  
233 12/29/2012 WVU Paul's Pick SYR -4 10.4 58.2 Calc --> Play  
248 1/1/2013 OKST Paul's Pick PURDUE -16.5 23.9 58.1 Calc --> Play  
228 12/28/2012 TXTCH Paul's Pick MINN -13 18.5 57.7 Calc --> Play  
264 1/4/2013 OKLA Paul's Pick Upset Watch TEXA&M 4.5 2.0 57.3 Calc --> Play  
218 12/27/2012 BGSU Paul's Pick SJSU 7.5 -3.3 57.2 Calc --> Play  
205 12/20/2012 BYU Paul's Pick @ SDSU -3 10.3 57.2 Calc --> Play  
269 1/7/2013 ALA ND -9 12.8 56.6 Calc --> Play  
211 12/22/2012 WASH BOISE 5.5 -1.6 56.5 Calc --> Play  
231 12/29/2012 NAVY ARIST 14.5 -10.2 56.0 Calc --> Play  
204 12/15/2012 UTAHST TOLEDO -10 14.0 55.9 Calc --> Play  
258 1/1/2013 FLAST NIU -13.5 17.5 55.6 Calc --> Play  
259 1/2/2013 LOU FLA 14.5 -11.3 55.3 Calc --> Play  
254 1/1/2013 NEB UGA 10 -6.4 55.0 Calc --> Play  
252 1/1/2013 MICH SC 4 -1.1 54.8 Calc --> Play  
262 1/3/2013 KANST OREGON 9 -5.9 54.0 Calc --> Play  
213 12/24/2012 FRES SMU -11.5 14.1 53.9 Calc --> Play  
238 12/29/2012 MSU TCU 2.5 -0.1 53.8 Calc --> Play  
209 12/22/2012 ECU UL-LAF 5.5 -3.0 53.6 Calc --> Play  
219 12/27/2012 CIN DUKE -7.5 9.3 52.8 Calc --> Play  
265 1/5/2013 PITT MISS 3.5 -1.9 52.6 Calc --> Play  
229 12/29/2012 RICE Upset Watch AF 1 1.9 52.2 Calc --> Play  
235 12/29/2012 TEX OREST 2 -0.4 52.2 Calc --> Play  
226 12/28/2012 VATECH RUT -2 3.0 51.7 Calc --> Play  
208 12/21/2012 BALLST UCF 8 -7.0 51.5 Calc --> Play  
224 12/28/2012 UL-MON OHIO -6.5 7.3 51.1 Calc --> Play  
249 1/1/2013 MISSST NW -2 2.5 50.8 Calc --> Play  
242 12/31/2012 GATECH USC 10 -9.7 50.4 Calc --> Play  
215 12/26/2012 WESTKY CENTMI -6 6.2 50.2 Calc --> Play  
267 1/6/2013 KENTST ARKST 4 -3.9 50.2 Calc --> Play  


Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

Rot Date Favorite Opponent Points For Points Against Win% Play Live
248 1/1/2013 OKST PURDUE 47.5 23.6 81.1 Play  
228 12/28/2012 TXTCH MINN 37.6 19.0 77.1 Play  
258 1/1/2013 FLAST NIU 35.5 18.0 76.4 Play  
213 12/24/2012 FRES SMU 33.6 19.5 71.2 Play  
202 12/15/2012 ARI NEVADA 50.3 33.0 70.8 Play  
269 1/7/2013 ALA ND 29.1 16.3 70.2 Play  
204 12/15/2012 UTAHST TOLEDO 38.6 24.7 70.0 Play  
240 12/31/2012 VANDY NCSU 31.5 18.8 69.5 Play  
260 1/2/2013 FLA LOU 27.3 15.9 69.0 Play  
232 12/29/2012 ARIST NAVY 33.9 23.7 66.0 Play  
245 12/31/2012 LSU CLEM 31.9 21.3 65.8 Play  
241 12/31/2012 USC GATECH 38.8 29.1 63.8 Play  
219 12/27/2012 CIN DUKE 34.3 24.9 63.7 Play  
233 12/29/2012 WVU SYR 44.5 34.1 63.0 Play  
224 12/28/2012 UL-MON OHIO 34.3 27.0 60.6 Play  
207 12/21/2012 UCF BALLST 35.9 28.9 60.3 Play  
205 12/20/2012 BYU @ SDSU 27.8 17.5 59.8 Play  
253 1/1/2013 UGA NEB 36.4 30.0 59.8 Play  
215 12/26/2012 WESTKY CENTMI 31.2 25.1 59.6 Play  
221 12/27/2012 BAYLOR Upset Watch UCLA 48.6 40.1 59.3 Play  
261 1/3/2013 OREGON KANST 37.4 31.4 58.3 Play  
243 12/31/2012 IAST Upset Watch TULSA 27.1 22.8 56.1 Play  
217 12/27/2012 SJSU BGSU 23.0 19.7 56.1 Play  
268 1/6/2013 ARKST KENTST 31.2 27.3 55.8 Play  
226 12/28/2012 VATECH RUT 20.5 17.5 55.1 Play  
210 12/22/2012 UL-LAF ECU 33.5 30.5 54.6 Play  
249 1/1/2013 MISSST NW 27.2 24.6 54.0 Play  
266 1/5/2013 MISS PITT 25.9 24.1 53.4 Play  
212 12/22/2012 BOISE WASH 21.3 19.7 53.3 Play  
256 1/1/2013 STAN WISC 24.1 22.8 53.2 Play  
251 1/1/2013 SC MICH 22.3 21.3 52.2 Play  
229 12/29/2012 RICE Upset Watch AF 35.3 33.5 52.2 Play  
264 1/4/2013 OKLA Upset Watch TEXA&M 39.6 37.6 51.9 Play  
236 12/29/2012 OREST TEX 32.5 32.1 50.8 Play  
237 12/29/2012 TCU MSU 18.1 18.0 50.5 Play  


Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

Home Rot Date Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% Calc Play Live
254 1/1/2013 UGA vs. NEB 57 66.3 Over 61.6 Calc --> Play  
236 12/29/2012 TEX vs. OREST 56 64.6 Over 61.0 Calc --> Play  
238 12/29/2012 TCU vs. MSU 41.5 36.1 Under 59.7 Calc --> Play  
222 12/27/2012 BAYLOR vs. UCLA 78 88.8 Over 59.5 Calc --> Play  
230 12/29/2012 RICE vs. AF 61 68.8 Over 58.9 Calc --> Play  
212 12/22/2012 WASH vs. BOISE 46 41.0 Under 58.5 Calc --> Play  
214 12/24/2012 FRES vs. SMU 59.5 53.1 Under 58.0 Calc --> Play  
202 12/15/2012 NEVADA vs. ARI 75 83.2 Over 57.6 Calc --> Play  
262 1/3/2013 OREGON vs. KANST 76.5 68.8 Under 57.5 Calc --> Play  
246 12/31/2012 LSU vs. CLEM 58.5 53.2 Under 57.0 Calc --> Play  
252 1/1/2013 SC vs. MICH 48 43.6 Under 57.0 Calc --> Play  
218 12/27/2012 SJSU vs. BGSU 47 42.7 Under 56.8 Calc --> Play  
204 12/15/2012 TOLEDO vs. UTAHST 58 63.3 Over 56.7 Calc --> Play  
258 1/1/2013 NIU vs. FLAST 58.5 53.5 Under 56.6 Calc --> Play  
226 12/28/2012 RUT vs. VATECH 41.5 38.1 Under 56.5 Calc --> Play  
264 1/4/2013 TEXA&M vs. OKLA 71.5 77.2 Over 56.1 Calc --> Play  
270 1/7/2013 ALA vs. ND 42 45.4 Over 55.6 Calc --> Play  
234 12/29/2012 WVU vs. SYR 73.5 78.6 Over 55.2 Calc --> Play  
242 12/31/2012 USC vs. GATECH 64 67.9 Over 54.5 Calc --> Play  
208 12/21/2012 UCF vs. BALLST 61.5 64.7 Over 53.9 Calc --> Play  
260 1/2/2013 LOU vs. FLA 45.5 43.2 Under 53.8 Calc --> Play  
206 12/20/2012 BYU @ SDSU 49.5 45.3 Under 53.8 Calc --> Play  
268 1/6/2013 KENTST vs. ARKST 61 58.5 Under 53.0 Calc --> Play  
266 1/5/2013 PITT vs. MISS 52 50.0 Under 53.0 Calc --> Play  
216 12/26/2012 WESTKY vs. CENTMI 58.5 56.3 Under 52.9 Calc --> Play  
224 12/28/2012 OHIO vs. UL-MON 59 61.3 Over 52.8 Calc --> Play  
244 12/31/2012 IAST vs. TULSA 51.5 49.8 Under 52.4 Calc --> Play  
240 12/31/2012 NCSU vs. VANDY 52 50.4 Under 52.3 Calc --> Play  
232 12/29/2012 NAVY vs. ARIST 56 57.7 Over 52.2 Calc --> Play  
220 12/27/2012 CIN vs. DUKE 58 59.2 Over 51.5 Calc --> Play  
248 1/1/2013 PURDUE vs. OKST 70 71.1 Over 51.2 Calc --> Play  
256 1/1/2013 WISC vs. STAN 47.5 46.8 Under 51.1 Calc --> Play  
228 12/28/2012 MINN vs. TXTCH 57 56.6 Under 50.5 Calc --> Play  
250 1/1/2013 MISSST vs. NW 51.5 51.8 Over 50.4 Calc --> Play  
210 12/22/2012 ECU vs. UL-LAF 64 64.0 Over 50.0 Calc --> Play  

In the picks above, Margin, Points For, Points Against and Total Points are averages from 50,000 games played. The Win% ATS is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted spread. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on "Calc" and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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College Football Picks Pages:
All Bowl Games: Predictalator Picks
Play Analyzer - View Updated Picks on Current Consensus Lines
Customize the Predictalator - Play the Games with Any Lines
Buy Picks

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