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NBA Picks - 01/21/13

Last Updated: 1/21/2013 11:00 AM ET

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Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

Rot Time (ET) ATS Pick Opponent Line Margin Win% ATS Calc Play
701 1:00 PM IND @MEM 6 -2.5 60.0 Calc --> Play
703 1:00 PM SAC @NO 6.5 -3.9 56.6 Calc --> Play
716 9:30 PM @CHI LAL -1 2.1 56.5 Calc --> Play
718 10:00 PM @POR WAS -6.5 8.9 56.0 Calc --> Play
712 4:00 PM @GS LAC 6.5 -4.5 55.0 Calc --> Play
706 2:00 PM @CHA HOU 6.5 -5.6 52.1 Calc --> Play
707 2:00 PM MIN @ATL 8 -7.3 51.9 Calc --> Play
713 7:00 PM SA @PHI -6.5 7.1 51.5 Calc --> Play
710 3:30 PM @NY BKN -4 4.5 51.1 Calc --> Play


Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opponent Points For Points Against Win% Play
718 10:00 PM @Por Was 104.5 95.6 76.2 Play
708 2:00 PM @Atl Min 98.3 91.0 72.1 Play
713 7:00 PM SA @Phi 100.6 93.5 72.0 Play
705 2:00 PM Hou @Cha 104.9 99.3 66.8 Play
711 4:00 PM LAC @GS 100.6 96.1 64.2 Play
710 3:30 PM @NY Bkn 100.6 96.1 64.1 Play
704 1:00 PM @NO Sac 99.7 95.8 62.3 Play
702 1:00 PM @Mem Ind 89.1 86.6 58.9 Play
716 9:30 PM @Chi LAL 101.0 98.9 56.8 Play


Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% Calc Play
716 9:30 PM LAL @ CHI 195 199.9 Over 56.3 Calc --> Play
704 1:00 PM SAC @ NO 191 195.6 Over 56.0 Calc --> Play
718 10:00 PM WAS @ POR 195.5 200.0 Over 55.9 Calc --> Play
708 2:00 PM MIN @ ATL 185.5 189.3 Over 54.9 Calc --> Play
702 1:00 PM IND @ MEM 173 175.7 Over 54.1 Calc --> Play
710 3:30 PM BKN @ NY 194 196.8 Over 53.6 Calc --> Play
712 4:00 PM LAC @ GS 199 196.7 Under 53.0 Calc --> Play
706 2:00 PM HOU @ CHA 206.5 204.2 Under 52.8 Calc --> Play
714 7:00 PM SA @ PHI 194.5 194.1 Under 50.5 Calc --> Play

In the picks above, Margin, Points For, Points Against and Total Points are averages from 50,000 games played. The Win% ATS is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted spread. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on "Calc" and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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