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    NBA Picks - 11/16/12

    Last Updated: 11/16/2012 4:00 PM ET
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    Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
    Rot Time (ET) ATS Pick Opponent Line Margin Win% ATS Calc Play
    708 8:00 PM@NO OKC 6.5 -2.8 59.5 Calc --> Play
    704 7:00 PM@DET ORL -5 8.0 57.6 Calc --> Play
    702 7:00 PM@PHI UTA -1.5 4.4 56.9 Calc --> Play
    710 8:00 PM@MIN GS -1.5 3.9 55.7 Calc --> Play
    715 10:00 PMHOU @POR 2 -0.2 54.2 Calc --> Play
    714 10:00 PM@SAC ATL 2 -0.4 54.0 Calc --> Play
    718 10:30 PM@LAL PHO -9 10.3 53.3 Calc --> Play
    706 7:00 PM@IND DAL -2.5 3.1 51.4 Calc --> Play
    712 9:30 PM@MEM NY -6 6.4 51.0 Calc --> Play


    Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
    Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opponent Points For Points Against Win% Play
    718 10:30 PM@LAL Pho 102.6 92.3 79.4 Play
    704 7:00 PM@Det Orl 97.0 89.0 75.0 Play
    712 9:30 PM@Mem NY 95.8 89.4 70.5 Play
    702 7:00 PM@Phi Uta 96.4 92.1 63.7 Play
    710 8:00 PM@Min GS 97.5 93.6 62.1 Play
    706 7:00 PM@Ind Dal 97.5 94.4 59.6 Play
    707 8:00 PMOKC @NO 96.2 93.4 59.3 Play
    713 10:00 PMAtl @Sac 97.7 97.3 51.3 Play
    716 10:00 PM@Por Hou 100.5 100.3 50.7 Play


    Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
    Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% Calc Play
    710 8:00 PMGS @ MIN 184 191.1 Over 59.2 Calc --> Play
    712 9:30 PMNY @ MEM 192 185.2 Under 58.9 Calc --> Play
    706 7:00 PMDAL @ IND 185 191.9 Over 58.8 Calc --> Play
    718 10:30 PMPHO @ LAL 201 194.8 Under 57.6 Calc --> Play
    714 10:00 PMATL @ SAC 190 195.0 Over 56.6 Calc --> Play
    708 8:00 PMOKC @ NO 185 189.6 Over 56.3 Calc --> Play
    716 10:00 PMHOU @ POR 197.5 200.7 Over 54.1 Calc --> Play
    702 7:00 PMUTA @ PHI 186 188.5 Over 53.3 Calc --> Play
    704 7:00 PMORL @ DET 185 186.0 Over 51.4 Calc --> Play

    In the picks above, Margin, Points For, Points Against and Total Points are averages from 50,000 games played. The Win% ATS is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted spread. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on "Calc" and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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