NBA Picks - 11/17/12

Last Updated: 11/17/2012 10:30 AM ET
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Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
Rot Time (ET) ATS Pick Opponent Line Margin Win% ATS Calc Play
513 8:30 PMDEN @SA 7 -2.0 61.6 Calc --> Play
507 7:30 PMMEM @CHA -5.5 9.9 61.1 Calc --> Play
503 3:30 PMCHI @LAC 6 -2.2 59.4 Calc --> Play
509 7:30 PMDAL @CLE 3 -1.6 53.2 Calc --> Play
505 7:00 PMUTA @WAS -3 4.3 53.2 Calc --> Play
515 9:00 PMMIA @PHO -6 6.8 52.0 Calc --> Play
501 12:30 PMTOR @BOS 8 -7.2 52.0 Calc --> Play
511 8:30 PMNO @MIL 7.5 -7.3 50.5 Calc --> Play


Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opponent Points For Points Against Win% Play
507 7:30 PMMem @Cha 98.7 88.8 79.7 Play
512 8:30 PM@Mil NO 97.9 90.6 72.4 Play
502 12:30 PM@Bos Tor 96.2 89.0 72.4 Play
515 9:00 PMMia @Pho 101.4 94.5 70.7 Play
505 7:00 PMUta @Was 98.5 94.2 63.4 Play
504 3:30 PM@LAC Chi 94.7 92.5 57.1 Play
514 8:30 PM@SA Den 103.2 101.2 55.9 Play
510 7:30 PM@Cle Dal 98.8 97.2 55.0 Play


Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% Calc Play
516 9:00 PMMIA @ PHO 204 195.9 Under 59.9 Calc --> Play
504 3:30 PMCHI @ LAC 194 187.3 Under 58.5 Calc --> Play
510 7:30 PMDAL @ CLE 201.5 196.0 Under 56.6 Calc --> Play
502 12:30 PMTOR @ BOS 189.5 185.2 Under 55.5 Calc --> Play
506 7:00 PMUTA @ WAS 189 192.8 Over 54.8 Calc --> Play
514 8:30 PMDEN @ SA 200.5 204.4 Over 54.8 Calc --> Play
508 7:30 PMMEM @ CHA 190.5 187.5 Under 54.0 Calc --> Play
512 8:30 PMNO @ MIL 189.5 188.5 Under 51.3 Calc --> Play

In the picks above, Margin, Points For, Points Against and Total Points are averages from 50,000 games played. The Win% ATS is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted spread. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on "Calc" and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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