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    NBA Picks - 11/18/12

    Last Updated: 11/18/2012 10:00 AM ET
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    Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
    Rot Time (ET) ATS Pick Opponent Line Margin Win% ATS Calc Play
    701 12:00 PMIND @NY 7 -3.1 59.8 Calc --> Play
    712 7:30 PM@DET BOS 4 -0.8 58.1 Calc --> Play
    715 9:30 PMHOU @LAL 7 -4.0 56.9 Calc --> Play
    708 6:00 PM@SAC BKN 3 -0.5 55.9 Calc --> Play
    704 1:00 PM@TOR ORL -5.5 7.4 54.9 Calc --> Play
    709 7:00 PMGS @OKC 10 -8.5 53.8 Calc --> Play
    714 9:00 PM@POR Upset Watch CHI 1 0.3 52.9 Calc --> Play
    705 6:00 PMCLE @PHI 6.5 -5.8 51.8 Calc --> Play


    Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
    Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opponent Points For Points Against Win% Play
    710 7:00 PM@OKC GS 103.2 94.7 75.5 Play
    704 1:00 PM@Tor Orl 96.9 89.6 73.3 Play
    706 6:00 PM@Phi Cle 96.2 90.4 68.8 Play
    716 9:30 PM@LAL Hou 101.4 97.4 62.2 Play
    702 12:00 PM@NY Ind 94.6 91.6 59.9 Play
    711 7:30 PMBos @Det 92.7 91.9 52.8 Play
    707 6:00 PMBkn @Sac 100.5 99.9 51.6 Play
    714 9:00 PM@Por Upset Watch Chi 93.8 93.6 50.9 Play


    Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
    Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% Calc Play
    708 6:00 PMBKN @ SAC 192.5 200.4 Over 59.9 Calc --> Play
    716 9:30 PMHOU @ LAL 205.5 198.8 Under 58.0 Calc --> Play
    714 9:00 PMCHI @ POR 192.5 187.4 Under 56.5 Calc --> Play
    712 7:30 PMBOS @ DET 189 184.5 Under 56.0 Calc --> Play
    706 6:00 PMCLE @ PHI 191 186.6 Under 55.9 Calc --> Play
    704 1:00 PMORL @ TOR 189.5 186.5 Under 54.0 Calc --> Play
    702 12:00 PMIND @ NY 188 186.2 Under 52.3 Calc --> Play
    710 7:00 PMGS @ OKC 199 197.9 Under 51.4 Calc --> Play

    In the picks above, Margin, Points For, Points Against and Total Points are averages from 50,000 games played. The Win% ATS is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted spread. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on "Calc" and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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