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    NBA Picks - 11/21/12

    Last Updated: 11/21/2012 4:00 PM ET

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    Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

    Rot Time (ET) ATS Pick Opponent Line Margin Win% ATS Calc Play
    522 8:30 PM @DAL Upset Watch NY 3 1.8 61.1 Calc --> Play
    518 8:00 PM @HOU CHI 0 2.1 56.8 Calc --> Play
    501 7:00 PM TOR @CHA 2.5 -0.3 55.5 Calc --> Play
    519 8:00 PM DEN @MIN -3 5.2 55.2 Calc --> Play
    508 7:00 PM @IND NO -8 9.9 55.0 Calc --> Play
    528 10:30 PM @GS BKN -1.5 3.4 54.7 Calc --> Play
    510 7:30 PM @BOS Upset Watch SA 1.5 0.0 53.6 Calc --> Play
    513 7:30 PM MIL @MIA 9.5 -8.1 53.5 Calc --> Play
    524 9:00 PM @PHO POR -1.5 2.9 53.4 Calc --> Play
    503 7:00 PM DET Upset Watch @ORL 1 0.6 52.9 Calc --> Play
    525 10:00 PM LAL @SAC -5.5 6.4 52.2 Calc --> Play
    505 7:00 PM PHI @CLE -4 4.8 52.0 Calc --> Play
    516 7:30 PM @OKC LAC -4 4.8 51.9 Calc --> Play
    512 7:30 PM @ATL WAS -9.5 10.1 51.6 Calc --> Play


    Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

    Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opponent Points For Points Against Win% Play
    508 7:00 PM @Ind NO 97.5 87.6 79.9 Play
    512 7:30 PM @Atl Was 98.9 88.7 79.6 Play
    514 7:30 PM @Mia Mil 102.7 94.6 74.0 Play
    525 10:00 PM LAL @Sac 101.8 95.4 69.1 Play
    519 8:00 PM Den @Min 102.6 97.4 65.7 Play
    505 7:00 PM Phi @Cle 95.5 90.7 65.4 Play
    516 7:30 PM @OKC LAC 101.1 96.3 64.7 Play
    528 10:30 PM @GS Bkn 101.3 97.8 60.9 Play
    524 9:00 PM @Pho Por 100.4 97.4 59.2 Play
    518 8:00 PM @Hou Chi 96.1 94.1 56.8 Play
    522 8:30 PM @Dal Upset Watch NY 96.1 94.4 55.7 Play
    503 7:00 PM Det Upset Watch @Orl 93.5 92.9 51.9 Play
    502 7:00 PM @Cha Tor 93.8 93.4 51.2 Play
    510 7:30 PM @Bos Upset Watch SA 97.4 97.4 50.1 Play


    Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

    Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% Calc Play
    520 8:00 PM DEN @ MIN 191.5 199.9 Over 60.6 Calc --> Play
    526 10:00 PM LAL @ SAC 204 197.1 Under 58.3 Calc --> Play
    514 7:30 PM MIL @ MIA 204 197.3 Under 58.3 Calc --> Play
    528 10:30 PM BKN @ GS 194.5 199.1 Over 56.0 Calc --> Play
    522 8:30 PM NY @ DAL 195 190.5 Under 55.7 Calc --> Play
    508 7:00 PM NO @ IND 181 185.1 Over 55.6 Calc --> Play
    512 7:30 PM WAS @ ATL 183.5 187.6 Over 55.4 Calc --> Play
    502 7:00 PM TOR @ CHA 190 187.2 Under 53.8 Calc --> Play
    506 7:00 PM PHI @ CLE 183.5 186.3 Over 53.7 Calc --> Play
    524 9:00 PM POR @ PHO 200.5 197.8 Under 53.4 Calc --> Play
    518 8:00 PM CHI @ HOU 192.5 190.2 Under 53.0 Calc --> Play
    516 7:30 PM LAC @ OKC 198 197.4 Under 50.8 Calc --> Play
    510 7:30 PM SA @ BOS 194.5 194.8 Over 50.4 Calc --> Play
    504 7:00 PM DET @ ORL 186.5 186.4 Under 50.1 Calc --> Play

    In the picks above, Margin, Points For, Points Against and Total Points are averages from 50,000 games played. The Win% ATS is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted spread. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on "Calc" and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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