NBA Picks - 11/21/12

Last Updated: 11/21/2012 4:00 PM ET

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Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

Rot Time (ET) ATS Pick Opponent Line Margin Win% ATS Calc Play
522 8:30 PM @DAL Upset Watch NY 3 1.8 61.1 Calc --> Play
518 8:00 PM @HOU CHI 0 2.1 56.8 Calc --> Play
501 7:00 PM TOR @CHA 2.5 -0.3 55.5 Calc --> Play
519 8:00 PM DEN @MIN -3 5.2 55.2 Calc --> Play
508 7:00 PM @IND NO -8 9.9 55.0 Calc --> Play
528 10:30 PM @GS BKN -1.5 3.4 54.7 Calc --> Play
510 7:30 PM @BOS Upset Watch SA 1.5 0.0 53.6 Calc --> Play
513 7:30 PM MIL @MIA 9.5 -8.1 53.5 Calc --> Play
524 9:00 PM @PHO POR -1.5 2.9 53.4 Calc --> Play
503 7:00 PM DET Upset Watch @ORL 1 0.6 52.9 Calc --> Play
525 10:00 PM LAL @SAC -5.5 6.4 52.2 Calc --> Play
505 7:00 PM PHI @CLE -4 4.8 52.0 Calc --> Play
516 7:30 PM @OKC LAC -4 4.8 51.9 Calc --> Play
512 7:30 PM @ATL WAS -9.5 10.1 51.6 Calc --> Play


Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opponent Points For Points Against Win% Play
508 7:00 PM @Ind NO 97.5 87.6 79.9 Play
512 7:30 PM @Atl Was 98.9 88.7 79.6 Play
514 7:30 PM @Mia Mil 102.7 94.6 74.0 Play
525 10:00 PM LAL @Sac 101.8 95.4 69.1 Play
519 8:00 PM Den @Min 102.6 97.4 65.7 Play
505 7:00 PM Phi @Cle 95.5 90.7 65.4 Play
516 7:30 PM @OKC LAC 101.1 96.3 64.7 Play
528 10:30 PM @GS Bkn 101.3 97.8 60.9 Play
524 9:00 PM @Pho Por 100.4 97.4 59.2 Play
518 8:00 PM @Hou Chi 96.1 94.1 56.8 Play
522 8:30 PM @Dal Upset Watch NY 96.1 94.4 55.7 Play
503 7:00 PM Det Upset Watch @Orl 93.5 92.9 51.9 Play
502 7:00 PM @Cha Tor 93.8 93.4 51.2 Play
510 7:30 PM @Bos Upset Watch SA 97.4 97.4 50.1 Play


Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% Calc Play
520 8:00 PM DEN @ MIN 191.5 199.9 Over 60.6 Calc --> Play
526 10:00 PM LAL @ SAC 204 197.1 Under 58.3 Calc --> Play
514 7:30 PM MIL @ MIA 204 197.3 Under 58.3 Calc --> Play
528 10:30 PM BKN @ GS 194.5 199.1 Over 56.0 Calc --> Play
522 8:30 PM NY @ DAL 195 190.5 Under 55.7 Calc --> Play
508 7:00 PM NO @ IND 181 185.1 Over 55.6 Calc --> Play
512 7:30 PM WAS @ ATL 183.5 187.6 Over 55.4 Calc --> Play
502 7:00 PM TOR @ CHA 190 187.2 Under 53.8 Calc --> Play
506 7:00 PM PHI @ CLE 183.5 186.3 Over 53.7 Calc --> Play
524 9:00 PM POR @ PHO 200.5 197.8 Under 53.4 Calc --> Play
518 8:00 PM CHI @ HOU 192.5 190.2 Under 53.0 Calc --> Play
516 7:30 PM LAC @ OKC 198 197.4 Under 50.8 Calc --> Play
510 7:30 PM SA @ BOS 194.5 194.8 Over 50.4 Calc --> Play
504 7:00 PM DET @ ORL 186.5 186.4 Under 50.1 Calc --> Play

In the picks above, Margin, Points For, Points Against and Total Points are averages from 50,000 games played. The Win% ATS is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted spread. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on "Calc" and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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