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    NBA Picks - 11/23/12

    Last Updated: 11/23/2012 4:00 PM ET

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    Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

    Rot Time (ET) ATS Pick Opponent Line Margin Win% ATS Calc Play
    516 8:00 PM @HOU Upset Watch NY 4 0.6 61.0 Calc --> Play
    521 9:00 PM NO @PHO 5 -2.2 57.2 Calc --> Play
    510 7:30 PM @DET TOR -2 4.7 56.9 Calc --> Play
    512 8:00 PM @IND SA 4 -1.3 56.5 Calc --> Play
    506 7:30 PM @BOS OKC 3 -1.1 54.6 Calc --> Play
    501 7:00 PM ATL @CHA -3.5 5.3 54.6 Calc --> Play
    503 7:00 PM CLE @ORL 4.5 -2.8 54.4 Calc --> Play
    508 7:30 PM @BKN LAC 2.5 -1.2 53.3 Calc --> Play
    513 8:00 PM LAL @MEM 4.5 -3.3 52.9 Calc --> Play
    524 10:00 PM @POR MIN -1.5 2.4 52.2 Calc --> Play
    518 9:00 PM @DEN GS -6 6.4 51.1 Calc --> Play
    520 9:00 PM @UTA SAC -9.5 9.7 50.5 Calc --> Play


    Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

    Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opponent Points For Points Against Win% Play
    520 9:00 PM @Uta Sac 104.1 94.4 77.5 Play
    518 9:00 PM @Den GS 103.7 97.3 69.5 Play
    501 7:00 PM Atl @Cha 96.9 91.5 66.8 Play
    510 7:30 PM @Det Tor 95.2 90.6 65.7 Play
    514 8:00 PM @Mem LAL 97.6 94.3 60.6 Play
    504 7:00 PM @Orl Cle 95.8 93.0 59.5 Play
    524 10:00 PM @Por Min 99.8 97.4 57.8 Play
    522 9:00 PM @Pho NO 96.2 94.1 57.2 Play
    511 8:00 PM SA @Ind 98.5 97.2 54.1 Play
    507 7:30 PM LAC @Bkn 100.6 99.4 53.7 Play
    505 7:30 PM OKC @Bos 97.6 96.5 53.4 Play
    516 8:00 PM @Hou Upset Watch NY 97.2 96.6 52.0 Play


    Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

    Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% Calc Play
    514 8:00 PM LAL @ MEM 199.5 191.9 Under 59.5 Calc --> Play
    510 7:30 PM TOR @ DET 192 185.8 Under 58.4 Calc --> Play
    512 8:00 PM SA @ IND 190 195.8 Over 57.3 Calc --> Play
    504 7:00 PM CLE @ ORL 183.5 188.8 Over 57.3 Calc --> Play
    508 7:30 PM LAC @ BKN 195 200.0 Over 56.4 Calc --> Play
    520 9:00 PM SAC @ UTA 193.5 198.5 Over 56.3 Calc --> Play
    522 9:00 PM NO @ PHO 194 190.3 Under 54.9 Calc --> Play
    516 8:00 PM NY @ HOU 197 193.7 Under 54.3 Calc --> Play
    506 7:30 PM OKC @ BOS 197 194.2 Under 53.5 Calc --> Play
    524 10:00 PM MIN @ POR 196 197.1 Over 51.5 Calc --> Play
    518 9:00 PM GS @ DEN 201.5 201.0 Under 50.6 Calc --> Play
    502 7:00 PM ATL @ CHA 188.5 188.4 Under 50.2 Calc --> Play

    In the picks above, Margin, Points For, Points Against and Total Points are averages from 50,000 games played. The Win% ATS is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted spread. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on "Calc" and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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