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NBA Picks - 11/27/12

Last Updated: 11/27/2012 4:00 PM ET
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Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
Rot Time (ET) ATS Pick Opponent Line Margin Win% ATS Calc Play
506 8:00 PM@HOU TOR -6 9.5 58.5 Calc --> Play
509 10:30 PMIND @LAL 8 -5.7 55.7 Calc --> Play
504 7:00 PM@CLE PHO 2.5 -1.2 53.1 Calc --> Play
507 10:00 PMMIN @SAC 1 -0.5 50.8 Calc --> Play
502 7:00 PM@PHI DAL -3.5 3.8 50.7 Calc --> Play


Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opponent Points For Points Against Win% Play
506 8:00 PM@Hou Tor 102.2 92.7 77.7 Play
510 10:30 PM@LAL Ind 99.9 94.1 67.8 Play
502 7:00 PM@Phi Dal 96.3 92.6 62.4 Play
503 7:00 PMPho @Cle 98.9 97.7 53.6 Play
508 10:00 PM@Sac Min 98.3 97.8 51.6 Play


Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% Calc Play
506 8:00 PMTOR @ HOU 201 194.9 Under 57.6 Calc --> Play
502 7:00 PMDAL @ PHI 193.5 188.9 Under 56.0 Calc --> Play
504 7:00 PMPHO @ CLE 201.5 196.6 Under 55.9 Calc --> Play
510 10:30 PMIND @ LAL 195.5 194.0 Under 51.9 Calc --> Play
508 10:00 PMMIN @ SAC 196.5 196.1 Under 50.4 Calc --> Play

In the picks above, Margin, Points For, Points Against and Total Points are averages from 50,000 games played. The Win% ATS is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted spread. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on "Calc" and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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