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    NBA Picks - 11/28/12

    Last Updated: 11/28/2012 4:00 PM ET
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    Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
    Rot Time (ET) ATS Pick Opponent Line Margin Win% ATS Calc Play
    710 7:30 PM@DET PHO -3 7.3 60.4 Calc --> Play
    714 8:00 PM@MIL Upset Watch NY 2 1.8 59.1 Calc --> Play
    719 8:00 PMHOU @OKC 10 -6.4 58.9 Calc --> Play
    705 7:30 PMBKN @BOS 3.5 -1.1 55.8 Calc --> Play
    704 7:00 PM@ORL SA 7.5 -5.4 55.2 Calc --> Play
    718 8:00 PM@NO UTA 3 -1.0 54.9 Calc --> Play
    716 8:00 PM@MEM TOR -10 11.8 54.6 Calc --> Play
    708 7:30 PM@ATL CHA -8.5 10.1 54.0 Calc --> Play
    721 10:30 PMMIN @LAC 9 -7.6 53.7 Calc --> Play
    702 7:00 PM@WAS POR 3.5 -2.7 52.0 Calc --> Play
    711 8:00 PMDAL @CHI 6 -5.9 50.4 Calc --> Play


    Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
    Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opponent Points For Points Against Win% Play
    716 8:00 PM@Mem Tor 99.6 87.8 83.2 Play
    708 7:30 PM@Atl Cha 99.2 89.2 79.6 Play
    722 10:30 PM@LAC Min 101.6 94.0 73.1 Play
    710 7:30 PM@Det Pho 99.8 92.4 72.3 Play
    720 8:00 PM@OKC Hou 103.8 97.4 69.3 Play
    712 8:00 PM@Chi Dal 97.3 91.4 68.9 Play
    703 7:00 PMSA @Orl 100.6 95.2 66.1 Play
    701 7:00 PMPor @Was 97.5 94.8 58.5 Play
    714 8:00 PM@Mil Upset Watch NY 97.3 95.5 55.9 Play
    706 7:30 PM@Bos Bkn 97.1 96.0 53.7 Play
    717 8:00 PMUta @NO 96.8 95.8 53.1 Play


    Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
    Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% Calc Play
    714 8:00 PMNY @ MIL 201 192.8 Under 60.3 Calc --> Play
    720 8:00 PMHOU @ OKC 209.5 201.2 Under 60.1 Calc --> Play
    710 7:30 PMPHO @ DET 198 192.2 Under 57.3 Calc --> Play
    708 7:30 PMCHA @ ATL 193.5 188.4 Under 56.5 Calc --> Play
    722 10:30 PMMIN @ LAC 192 195.6 Over 54.7 Calc --> Play
    716 8:00 PMTOR @ MEM 190.5 187.3 Under 54.1 Calc --> Play
    706 7:30 PMBKN @ BOS 190 193.1 Over 54.0 Calc --> Play
    712 8:00 PMDAL @ CHI 191 188.7 Under 53.0 Calc --> Play
    718 8:00 PMUTA @ NO 190.5 192.6 Over 52.7 Calc --> Play
    702 7:00 PMPOR @ WAS 193.5 192.3 Under 51.5 Calc --> Play
    704 7:00 PMSA @ ORL 197 195.8 Under 51.5 Calc --> Play

    In the picks above, Margin, Points For, Points Against and Total Points are averages from 50,000 games played. The Win% ATS is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted spread. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on "Calc" and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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