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    NBA Picks - 11/29/12

    Last Updated: 11/29/2012 4:00 PM ET

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    *** While we will not change any picks on the site within two hours of the first game, please note from the Injury Report that San Antonio @ Miami was simulated before it was announced that Greg Popovich would rest his starters tonight against Miami.***

    Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

    Rot Time (ET) ATS Pick Opponent Line Margin Win% ATS Calc Play
    501 8:00 PM SA*** @MIA 6 -2.6 57.8 Calc --> Play
    504 10:30 PM @GS DEN 1.5 -0.8 51.7 Calc --> Play


    Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

    Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opponent Points For Points Against Win% Play
    502 8:00 PM @Mia SA 102.0 99.3 57.9 Play
    503 10:30 PM Den @GS 100.9 100.1 52.5 Play


    Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

    Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% Calc Play
    502 8:00 PM SA @ MIA 203.5 201.3 Under 52.6 Calc --> Play
    504 10:30 PM DEN @ GS 200 201.0 Over 51.2 Calc --> Play

    In the picks above, Margin, Points For, Points Against and Total Points are averages from 50,000 games played. The Win% ATS is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted spread. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on "Calc" and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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