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    NBA Picks - 11/30/12

    Last Updated: 11/30/2012 4:00 PM ET

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    Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

    Rot Time (ET) ATS Pick Opponent Line Margin Win% ATS Calc Play
    709 7:30 PM WAS @NY 13 -9.7 58.7 Calc --> Play
    702 7:00 PM @TOR PHO -2 5.1 57.4 Calc --> Play
    713 8:00 PM DET @MEM 11 -8.7 56.2 Calc --> Play
    707 7:30 PM POR @BOS 5 -2.6 55.8 Calc --> Play
    703 7:00 PM PHI @CHA -3.5 5.3 54.6 Calc --> Play
    717 8:00 PM MIL Upset Watch @MIN 1 1.0 54.6 Calc --> Play
    715 8:00 PM UTA @OKC 9 -7.5 53.7 Calc --> Play
    721 10:30 PM DEN @LAL 5 -3.7 53.1 Calc --> Play
    711 7:30 PM CLE @ATL 9 -7.9 52.7 Calc --> Play
    719 10:00 PM IND @SAC -1.5 2.0 51.3 Calc --> Play
    705 7:00 PM BKN @ORL -4 4.2 50.4 Calc --> Play


    Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

    Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opponent Points For Points Against Win% Play
    710 7:30 PM @NY Was 98.5 88.9 78.8 Play
    714 8:00 PM @Mem Det 97.6 88.9 76.6 Play
    712 7:30 PM @Atl Cle 99.1 91.2 74.1 Play
    716 8:00 PM @OKC Uta 103.1 95.6 72.0 Play
    703 7:00 PM Phi @Cha 94.4 89.1 67.1 Play
    702 7:00 PM @Tor Pho 98.9 93.9 65.8 Play
    705 7:00 PM Bkn @Orl 98.2 94.1 63.2 Play
    722 10:30 PM @LAL Den 103.0 99.2 61.6 Play
    708 7:30 PM @Bos Por 97.8 95.2 58.0 Play
    719 10:00 PM Ind @Sac 96.8 94.8 56.7 Play
    717 8:00 PM Mil Upset Watch @Min 98.4 97.4 53.1 Play


    Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

    Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% Calc Play
    706 7:00 PM BKN @ ORL 186 192.3 Over 58.2 Calc --> Play
    702 7:00 PM PHO @ TOR 198.5 192.8 Under 57.2 Calc --> Play
    704 7:00 PM PHI @ CHA 189 183.5 Under 57.1 Calc --> Play
    716 8:00 PM UTA @ OKC 202.5 198.7 Under 54.7 Calc --> Play
    714 8:00 PM DET @ MEM 190 186.5 Under 54.7 Calc --> Play
    720 10:00 PM IND @ SAC 188.5 191.6 Over 54.2 Calc --> Play
    710 7:30 PM WAS @ NY 190.5 187.4 Under 54.1 Calc --> Play
    718 8:00 PM MIL @ MIN 193 195.9 Over 53.7 Calc --> Play
    722 10:30 PM DEN @ LAL 204.5 202.2 Under 52.9 Calc --> Play
    708 7:30 PM POR @ BOS 191.5 193.0 Over 51.9 Calc --> Play
    712 7:30 PM CLE @ ATL 189.5 190.3 Over 51.1 Calc --> Play

    In the picks above, Margin, Points For, Points Against and Total Points are averages from 50,000 games played. The Win% ATS is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted spread. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on "Calc" and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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