NBA Picks - 12/04/12

Last Updated: 12/4/2012 4:00 PM ET

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Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

Rot Time (ET) ATS Pick Opponent Line Margin Win% ATS Calc Play
706 7:30 PM @BKN Upset Watch OKC 4 0.9 61.1 Calc --> Play
712 8:00 PM @HOU Upset Watch LAL 2 2.4 60.0 Calc --> Play
702 7:00 PM @WAS MIA 10 -7.3 56.9 Calc --> Play
710 8:00 PM @MEM PHO -10.5 12.3 54.7 Calc --> Play
708 8:00 PM @CHI IND -3.5 5.1 54.0 Calc --> Play
704 7:00 PM @PHI MIN -3 3.6 51.5 Calc --> Play


Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opponent Points For Points Against Win% Play
710 8:00 PM @Mem Pho 101.9 89.6 84.2 Play
701 7:00 PM Mia @Was 99.4 92.2 72.2 Play
708 8:00 PM @Chi Ind 93.5 88.5 66.4 Play
704 7:00 PM @Phi Min 95.2 91.6 61.6 Play
712 8:00 PM @Hou Upset Watch LAL 103.1 100.7 57.5 Play
706 7:30 PM @Bkn Upset Watch OKC 99.6 98.7 52.9 Play


Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% Calc Play
712 8:00 PM LAL @ HOU 212.5 203.8 Under 60.5 Calc --> Play
706 7:30 PM OKC @ BKN 193 198.3 Over 56.6 Calc --> Play
710 8:00 PM PHO @ MEM 194.5 191.5 Under 53.9 Calc --> Play
702 7:00 PM MIA @ WAS 194.5 191.6 Under 53.7 Calc --> Play
708 8:00 PM IND @ CHI 180 182.0 Over 52.7 Calc --> Play
704 7:00 PM MIN @ PHI 188 186.9 Under 51.5 Calc --> Play

In the picks above, Margin, Points For, Points Against and Total Points are averages from 50,000 games played. The Win% ATS is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted spread. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on "Calc" and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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