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    NBA Picks - 12/11/12

    Last Updated: 12/11/2012 4:00 PM ET
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    Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
    Rot Time (ET) ATS Pick Opponent Line Margin Win% ATS Calc Play
    510 9:30 PM@CHI Upset Watch LAC 2.5 2.0 60.9 Calc --> Play
    504 7:00 PM@CLE LAL 6 -1.9 59.5 Calc --> Play
    502 7:00 PM@BKN Upset Watch NY 3 0.5 58.2 Calc --> Play
    508 8:00 PM@NO WAS -5.5 8.1 56.7 Calc --> Play
    506 7:30 PM@DET DEN 5 -2.8 55.3 Calc --> Play

    Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
    Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opponent Points For Points Against Win% Play
    508 8:00 PM@NO Was 97.7 89.6 75.1 Play
    505 7:30 PMDen @Det 99.3 96.5 58.5 Play
    510 9:30 PM@Chi Upset Watch LAC 94.7 92.6 56.7 Play
    503 7:00 PMLAL @Cle 100.1 98.1 56.0 Play
    502 7:00 PM@Bkn Upset Watch NY 97.8 97.3 51.6 Play

    Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
    Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% Calc Play
    506 7:30 PMDEN @ DET 202.5 195.8 Under 58.1 Calc --> Play
    504 7:00 PMLAL @ CLE 203 198.2 Under 55.8 Calc --> Play
    510 9:30 PMLAC @ CHI 189 187.3 Under 52.3 Calc --> Play
    502 7:00 PMNY @ BKN 194 195.1 Over 51.4 Calc --> Play
    508 8:00 PMWAS @ NO 187 187.2 Over 50.3 Calc --> Play

    In the picks above, Margin, Points For, Points Against and Total Points are averages from 50,000 games played. The Win% ATS is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted spread. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on "Calc" and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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    NBA Picks - 01/30/15
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