NBA Picks - 12/14/12

Last Updated: 12/14/2012 4:00 PM ET

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Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

Rot Time (ET) ATS Pick Opponent Line Margin Win% ATS Calc Play
808 7:30 PM @CLE Upset Watch MIL 2.5 0.8 57.9 Calc --> Play
818 8:00 PM @ORL GS 4 -1.4 56.2 Calc --> Play
812 8:00 PM @HOU BOS -2.5 5.1 56.1 Calc --> Play
821 10:30 PM MEM Upset Watch @DEN 1 1.5 55.6 Calc --> Play
815 8:00 PM SAC @OKC 13 -10.8 55.4 Calc --> Play
802 7:00 PM @WAS LAL 5.5 -3.7 54.4 Calc --> Play
810 7:30 PM @BKN DET -8 9.6 54.1 Calc --> Play
814 8:00 PM @NO MIN 4 -2.7 53.3 Calc --> Play
805 7:00 PM PHI @IND 5.5 -4.5 52.6 Calc --> Play
819 9:00 PM UTA @PHO -1.5 2.5 52.4 Calc --> Play
804 7:00 PM @TOR DAL 5 -4.2 51.9 Calc --> Play


Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opponent Points For Points Against Win% Play
816 8:00 PM @OKC Sac 105.0 94.2 80.5 Play
810 7:30 PM @Bkn Det 100.7 91.1 78.7 Play
812 8:00 PM @Hou Bos 103.9 98.8 65.5 Play
806 7:00 PM @Ind Phi 92.7 88.2 65.5 Play
803 7:00 PM Dal @Tor 101.3 97.1 63.2 Play
801 7:00 PM LAL @Was 98.8 95.1 61.3 Play
813 8:00 PM Min @NO 94.6 91.9 59.2 Play
819 9:00 PM Uta @Pho 101.7 99.2 57.9 Play
821 10:30 PM Mem Upset Watch @Den 97.2 95.7 54.8 Play
817 8:00 PM GS @Orl 95.9 94.5 54.6 Play
808 7:30 PM @Cle Upset Watch Mil 96.9 96.1 52.5 Play


Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% Calc Play
816 8:00 PM SAC @ OKC 205.5 199.2 Under 57.8 Calc --> Play
802 7:00 PM LAL @ WAS 199 193.9 Under 56.3 Calc --> Play
804 7:00 PM DAL @ TOR 194 198.5 Over 55.7 Calc --> Play
818 8:00 PM GS @ ORL 194.5 190.4 Under 55.2 Calc --> Play
814 8:00 PM MIN @ NO 183.5 186.5 Over 54.1 Calc --> Play
812 8:00 PM BOS @ HOU 206 202.7 Under 54.0 Calc --> Play
808 7:30 PM MIL @ CLE 195.5 193.0 Under 53.3 Calc --> Play
822 10:30 PM MEM @ DEN 194.5 192.8 Under 52.2 Calc --> Play
810 7:30 PM DET @ BKN 191 191.8 Over 51.1 Calc --> Play
806 7:00 PM PHI @ IND 180.5 180.9 Over 50.6 Calc --> Play
820 9:00 PM UTA @ PHO 200.5 200.8 Over 50.4 Calc --> Play

In the picks above, Margin, Points For, Points Against and Total Points are averages from 50,000 games played. The Win% ATS is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted spread. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on "Calc" and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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