NBA Picks - 12/15/12

Last Updated: 12/15/2012 4:00 PM ET
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Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
Rot Time (ET) ATS Pick Opponent Line Margin Win% ATS Calc Play
509 7:30 PMCLE @NY 11 -6.8 60.8 Calc --> Play
518 8:30 PM@MIL LAC 4.5 -1.0 58.3 Calc --> Play
519 9:00 PMMEM Upset Watch @UTA 2 1.1 57.5 Calc --> Play
508 7:30 PM@DET Upset Watch IND 2 1.0 57.3 Calc --> Play
503 7:00 PMORL @CHA 0 1.7 55.5 Calc --> Play
505 7:30 PMWAS @MIA 15 -13.0 55.1 Calc --> Play
512 8:00 PM@MIN DAL -4 5.9 54.7 Calc --> Play
513 8:00 PMBKN @CHI 5 -3.5 53.8 Calc --> Play
516 8:30 PM@SA BOS -9.5 10.2 51.7 Calc --> Play
502 7:00 PM@ATL GS -6.5 6.5 50.0 Calc --> Play


Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opponent Points For Points Against Win% Play
506 7:30 PM@Mia Was 103.6 90.6 84.7 Play
516 8:30 PM@SA Bos 105.4 95.2 78.3 Play
510 7:30 PM@NY Cle 100.4 93.6 70.9 Play
502 7:00 PM@Atl GS 99.9 93.4 69.8 Play
512 8:00 PM@Min Dal 99.8 93.9 68.3 Play
514 8:00 PM@Chi Bkn 95.0 91.5 61.6 Play
503 7:00 PMOrl @Cha 95.5 93.8 55.5 Play
519 9:00 PMMem Upset Watch @Uta 96.5 95.4 53.7 Play
508 7:30 PM@Det Upset Watch Ind 92.5 91.5 53.3 Play
517 8:30 PMLAC @Mil 97.6 96.6 53.2 Play


Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% Calc Play
504 7:00 PMORL @ CHA 193 189.3 Under 54.9 Calc --> Play
502 7:00 PMGS @ ATL 196 193.2 Under 53.5 Calc --> Play
516 8:30 PMBOS @ SA 198 200.7 Over 53.3 Calc --> Play
510 7:30 PMCLE @ NY 196.5 194.0 Under 53.2 Calc --> Play
506 7:30 PMWAS @ MIA 196.5 194.1 Under 53.0 Calc --> Play
518 8:30 PMLAC @ MIL 196.5 194.2 Under 52.8 Calc --> Play
514 8:00 PMBKN @ CHI 184.5 186.5 Over 52.6 Calc --> Play
512 8:00 PMDAL @ MIN 195 193.8 Under 51.6 Calc --> Play
508 7:30 PMIND @ DET 185 184.0 Under 51.3 Calc --> Play
520 9:00 PMMEM @ UTA 191 191.9 Over 51.1 Calc --> Play

In the picks above, Margin, Points For, Points Against and Total Points are averages from 50,000 games played. The Win% ATS is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted spread. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on "Calc" and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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