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    NBA Picks - 12/17/12

    Last Updated: 12/17/2012 4:00 PM ET

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    Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

    Rot Time (ET) ATS Pick Opponent Line Margin Win% ATS Calc Play
    705 7:30 PM HOU @NY 10 -6.2 58.8 Calc --> Play
    704 7:30 PM @DET LAC 7 -5.4 54.0 Calc --> Play
    709 8:00 PM SA @OKC 5 -4.3 51.7 Calc --> Play
    707 8:00 PM CHI @MEM 6.5 -5.9 51.5 Calc --> Play
    712 9:00 PM @PHO SAC -6.5 7.1 51.4 Calc --> Play
    702 7:00 PM @ORL MIN 3.5 -3.3 50.4 Calc --> Play


    Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

    Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opponent Points For Points Against Win% Play
    712 9:00 PM @Pho Sac 102.2 95.1 70.9 Play
    708 8:00 PM @Mem Chi 93.2 87.3 69.1 Play
    706 7:30 PM @NY Hou 106.5 100.3 67.6 Play
    703 7:30 PM LAC @Det 99.1 93.7 66.6 Play
    710 8:00 PM @OKC SA 104.5 100.3 62.5 Play
    701 7:00 PM Min @Orl 97.4 94.1 61.0 Play


    Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

    Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% Calc Play
    706 7:30 PM HOU @ NY 211 206.8 Under 54.9 Calc --> Play
    710 8:00 PM SA @ OKC 207 204.8 Under 52.6 Calc --> Play
    702 7:00 PM MIN @ ORL 192.5 191.5 Under 51.3 Calc --> Play
    712 9:00 PM SAC @ PHO 198 197.4 Under 50.8 Calc --> Play
    708 8:00 PM CHI @ MEM 180 180.5 Over 50.6 Calc --> Play
    704 7:30 PM LAC @ DET 192.5 192.8 Over 50.4 Calc --> Play

    In the picks above, Margin, Points For, Points Against and Total Points are averages from 50,000 games played. The Win% ATS is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted spread. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on "Calc" and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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