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    NBA Picks - 12/19/12

    Last Updated: 12/19/2012 3:00 PM ET

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    Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

    Rot Time (ET) ATS Pick Opponent Line Margin Win% ATS Calc Play
    709 7:30 PM CLE @BOS 8.5 -4.2 60.7 Calc --> Play
    712 7:30 PM @ATL OKC 6 -1.8 60.4 Calc --> Play
    707 7:00 PM BKN @NY 6 -2.5 58.6 Calc --> Play
    703 7:00 PM DET @TOR 2.5 -0.3 55.5 Calc --> Play
    716 9:00 PM @PHO CHA -9 11.3 55.5 Calc --> Play
    701 7:00 PM UTA @IND 3 -2.4 51.5 Calc --> Play
    714 8:00 PM @HOU PHI -7.5 8.1 51.5 Calc --> Play
    720 10:00 PM @SAC GS 3 -2.5 51.2 Calc --> Play
    705 7:00 PM WAS @ORL 7.5 -7.2 50.8 Calc --> Play
    721 10:30 PM NO @LAC 13.5 -13.3 50.6 Calc --> Play
    718 9:30 PM @MEM MIL -9 9.0 50.0 Calc --> Play


    Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

    Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opponent Points For Points Against Win% Play
    722 10:30 PM @LAC NO 102.9 89.6 85.3 Play
    716 9:00 PM @Pho Cha 104.8 93.6 80.9 Play
    718 9:30 PM @Mem Mil 98.0 88.9 77.0 Play
    714 8:00 PM @Hou Phi 102.6 94.5 73.6 Play
    706 7:00 PM @Orl Was 95.8 88.6 72.8 Play
    710 7:30 PM @Bos Cle 98.8 94.6 63.1 Play
    719 10:00 PM GS @Sac 99.8 97.3 58.0 Play
    702 7:00 PM @Ind Uta 95.5 93.1 57.9 Play
    708 7:00 PM @NY Bkn 98.9 96.4 57.9 Play
    711 7:30 PM OKC @Atl 99.3 97.5 55.8 Play
    704 7:00 PM @Tor Det 95.6 95.4 50.9 Play


    Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

    Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% Calc Play
    704 7:00 PM DET @ TOR 187 191.0 Over 55.3 Calc --> Play
    706 7:00 PM WAS @ ORL 188 184.3 Under 54.9 Calc --> Play
    722 10:30 PM NO @ LAC 189.5 192.4 Over 53.7 Calc --> Play
    714 8:00 PM PHI @ HOU 199.5 197.2 Under 52.9 Calc --> Play
    720 10:00 PM GS @ SAC 199 197.1 Under 52.4 Calc --> Play
    708 7:00 PM BKN @ NY 193.5 195.3 Over 52.3 Calc --> Play
    702 7:00 PM UTA @ IND 187 188.6 Over 52.2 Calc --> Play
    710 7:30 PM CLE @ BOS 192 193.4 Over 51.7 Calc --> Play
    712 7:30 PM OKC @ ATL 197.5 196.9 Under 50.8 Calc --> Play
    716 9:00 PM CHA @ PHO 199 198.4 Under 50.7 Calc --> Play
    718 9:30 PM MIL @ MEM 186.5 186.9 Over 50.5 Calc --> Play

    In the picks above, Margin, Points For, Points Against and Total Points are averages from 50,000 games played. The Win% ATS is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted spread. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on "Calc" and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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