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NBA Picks - 12/21/12

Last Updated: 12/21/2012 4:00 PM ET
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Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
Rot Time (ET) ATS Pick Opponent Line Margin Win% ATS Calc Play
805 7:30 PMCHI @NY 6 -1.8 60.7 Calc --> Play
807 7:30 PMMIL @BOS 5.5 -2.0 59.1 Calc --> Play
804 7:00 PM@PHI Upset Watch ATL 2 1.3 57.9 Calc --> Play
814 8:00 PM@MEM DAL -10.5 13.4 57.4 Calc --> Play
812 7:30 PM@DET WAS -6 8.7 57.2 Calc --> Play
818 10:30 PM@GS CHA -10.5 13.1 56.3 Calc --> Play
810 7:30 PM@CLE IND 4 -1.6 56.1 Calc --> Play
801 7:00 PMORL @TOR 3.5 -1.7 54.6 Calc --> Play
815 8:30 PMNO @SA 13.5 -12.0 53.8 Calc --> Play
819 10:30 PMSAC @LAC 14 -13.3 51.8 Calc --> Play


Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opponent Points For Points Against Win% Play
814 8:00 PM@Mem Dal 102.3 88.9 86.2 Play
818 10:30 PM@GS Cha 106.6 93.5 84.8 Play
820 10:30 PM@LAC Sac 105.1 91.8 84.8 Play
816 8:30 PM@SA NO 104.2 92.2 82.8 Play
812 7:30 PM@Det Was 96.7 88.0 77.4 Play
808 7:30 PM@Bos Mil 97.1 95.1 56.5 Play
806 7:30 PM@NY Chi 93.7 91.9 56.1 Play
802 7:00 PM@Tor Orl 95.2 93.5 55.8 Play
809 7:30 PMInd @Cle 94.1 92.5 55.1 Play
804 7:00 PM@Phi Upset Watch Atl 94.5 93.2 54.2 Play


Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% Calc Play
818 10:30 PMCHA @ GS 205.5 200.1 Under 56.6 Calc --> Play
820 10:30 PMSAC @ LAC 200 196.9 Under 53.8 Calc --> Play
814 8:00 PMDAL @ MEM 188.5 191.2 Over 53.5 Calc --> Play
808 7:30 PMMIL @ BOS 190 192.2 Over 52.9 Calc --> Play
806 7:30 PMCHI @ NY 187.5 185.6 Under 52.5 Calc --> Play
816 8:30 PMNO @ SA 195 196.4 Over 51.8 Calc --> Play
802 7:00 PMORL @ TOR 187.5 188.7 Over 51.6 Calc --> Play
810 7:30 PMIND @ CLE 186 186.6 Over 50.8 Calc --> Play
812 7:30 PMWAS @ DET 185 184.7 Under 50.5 Calc --> Play
804 7:00 PMATL @ PHI 188 187.7 Under 50.3 Calc --> Play

In the picks above, Margin, Points For, Points Against and Total Points are averages from 50,000 games played. The Win% ATS is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted spread. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on "Calc" and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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