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NBA Picks - 12/23/12

Last Updated: 12/23/2012 1:00 PM ET

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Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

Rot Time (ET) ATS Pick Opponent Line Margin Win% ATS Calc Play
811 9:00 PM POR Upset Watch @SAC 1 1.6 56.4 Calc --> Play
803 5:00 PM MIN @NY 8.5 -6.5 55.1 Calc --> Play
805 6:00 PM UTA @ORL 1.5 -0.1 53.3 Calc --> Play
802 3:00 PM @BKN PHI -6 6.9 52.2 Calc --> Play
807 7:00 PM DAL @SA 11 -10.6 50.9 Calc --> Play
809 8:00 PM LAC @PHO -6.5 6.8 50.9 Calc --> Play


Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opponent Points For Points Against Win% Play
808 7:00 PM @SA Dal 107.4 96.8 79.4 Play
809 8:00 PM LAC @Pho 102.0 95.2 71.2 Play
802 3:00 PM @Bkn Phi 98.4 91.5 71.0 Play
804 5:00 PM @NY Min 99.7 93.2 70.5 Play
811 9:00 PM Por Upset Watch @Sac 100.1 98.5 54.9 Play
806 6:00 PM @Orl Uta 95.8 95.7 50.4 Play


Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% Calc Play
804 5:00 PM MIN @ NY 197 193.0 Under 55.2 Calc --> Play
802 3:00 PM PHI @ BKN 186 189.9 Over 55.1 Calc --> Play
806 6:00 PM UTA @ ORL 188 191.6 Over 54.5 Calc --> Play
812 9:00 PM POR @ SAC 195.5 198.6 Over 53.9 Calc --> Play
810 8:00 PM LAC @ PHO 196 197.2 Over 51.5 Calc --> Play
808 7:00 PM DAL @ SA 204.5 204.1 Under 50.4 Calc --> Play

In the picks above, Margin, Points For, Points Against and Total Points are averages from 50,000 games played. The Win% ATS is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted spread. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on "Calc" and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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