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    NFL Picks - Super Bowl XLVI

    Last Updated: 1/31/2012 at 4:00 pm ET

    NFL Picks Pages:
    February 5: Predictalator Picks  Paul's Analysis
    Customize the Predictalator - Play the Games with Any Lines
    Buy Picks

    Refresh this page (F5 on most browsers) throughout the game to see live expected winning percentages and projected scores based on 50,000 simulations after the end of each play through the completion of the game. A money-line calculator is included to evaluate a team's likelihood of winning relative to odds. Calculating the projected score is also helpful for in-running, quarter-by-quarter and halftime ATS and O/U plays.

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    Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

    Rot Time (ET) ATS Pick Opp Line Margin Win% ATS Boxscore Calc Play
    101 6:30 PM NYG Paul's Pick Upset Watch Top ATS Play of the Day Lock of the Week vs. NE 3 1.4 58.6 Boxscore Calc --> Play


    Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

    Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opp Points For Points Against Win% Boxscore Play
    101 6:30 PM NYG vs NE 29.9 28.5 52.5 Boxscore Play


    Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

    Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% Boxscore Calc Play
    102 6:30 PM NYG vs NE 55 58.4 Over 54.7 Boxscore Calc --> Play

    In the picks above, Margin, Points For, Points Against and Total Points are averages from 50,000 games played. The Win% ATS is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted spread. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on "Calc" and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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    NFL Picks Pages:
    February 5: Predictalator Picks  Paul's Analysis
    Customize the Predictalator - Play the Games with Any Lines
    Buy Picks

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